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Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto: Hosts Aim to Extend Dominance in Primera A
Once Caldas host Deportivo Pasto in a Primera A fixture that pits the league's in-form side against a solid, if less spectacular, opponent. The home side's recent scoring surge suggests a potentially high-octane encounter, though Pasto's resilience shouldn't be underestimated.
This match could hinge on Once Caldas' ability to maintain their recent attacking intensity against a Deportivo Pasto side that has shown it can be defensively vulnerable on the road. The hosts' high average of shots and possession at home suggests they will look to dominate the ball and create numerous chances. Pasto, on the other hand, might adopt a more patient approach, aiming to absorb pressure and exploit any transitional opportunities, especially given their tendency to commit more fouls and receive more cards away from home. The battle for central midfield control will be crucial, as Caldas' higher passing accuracy could allow them to dictate the rhythm.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Once Caldas are unbeaten at home this season, winning 60% of their home fixtures.
- • The hosts have scored an average of 3 goals per game in their last three matches.
- • Deportivo Pasto's away games have seen them concede an average of 1.5 goals.
AI Prediction
Once Caldas' current form, particularly their explosive scoring rate in the last three matches, makes them a clear favourite. Their unbeaten home record and strong offensive statistics align with the odds favouring them. Deportivo Pasto's recent defensive record and away vulnerabilities, coupled with Caldas' home dominance, point towards a home victory. Both teams have shown they can score, making BTTS a strong possibility in what is expected to be a game with several goals.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U53%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Once Caldas Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Deportivo Cali | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Chico | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Fortaleza FC | 4 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Junior | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Alianza Valledupar | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Jaguares | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | America de Cali | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Santa Fe | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cucuta | 2 - 1 | - |
Once Caldas are in formidable form, evidenced by three consecutive wins, scoring a remarkable three goals per game in that span. Their overall season record is also impressive, with a 50% win rate and a strong home record where they remain unbeaten. At home, they average over two goals scored and concede just one, showcasing a potent attack backed by a relatively robust defence. The recent uptick in shots on goal and overall possession indicates they are playing with significant confidence and control.
Deportivo Pasto Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | America de Cali | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Cucuta | 3 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Pereira | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Internacional de Bogota | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Llaneros | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Cali | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Millonarios | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Águilas Doradas | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | - |
Deportivo Pasto present a more mixed, yet largely positive, picture. They boast a strong overall win percentage of 60%, driven by an effective home record. However, their away form shows they can pick up results, with two wins and one draw from four road outings, though they do concede more on their travels. Their recent form has seen them score in two of their last three, but they've also conceded more frequently, suggesting a slight dip in defensive solidity compared to their season average. The last match saw a draw away from home with a significant increase in shots taken.
Odds
Lineups
Once Caldas
(4-1-4-1)
Deportivo Pasto
(4-2-3-1)
