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Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares: Home Struggles Meet Dire Away Form in Clausura
Deportivo Pasto host Jaguares in a Primera A Clausura clash that pits a home side struggling for wins at their own ground against a Jaguares team that simply cannot win away from home. Expecting a cagey affair, neither side has been particularly prolific in attack.
This match likely hinges on whether Deportivo Pasto can finally convert their home possession into tangible results against a Jaguares side that often folds away from home. Pasto's tendency to dominate the ball and pass accurately, particularly at home, could allow them to probe Jaguares' weak defence. However, Pasto's own recent struggles to find the net, especially in their last three home games where they've been shut out twice, suggest they might not be able to punish Jaguares' defensive shortcomings. Expect Pasto to try and build from the back, using their midfield control, while Jaguares will likely be forced into a deep defensive block, hoping for transition opportunities that are rare given their poor attacking output on the road.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Jaguares have lost 81.8% of their away games this season.
- • Deportivo Pasto have lost their last three home matches, scoring only one goal in total.
- • Jaguares average just 0.5 goals per away game this season.
AI Prediction
Deportivo Pasto's home advantage, despite their poor recent run, is significant against a Jaguares side that has been dreadful away from home all season. Jaguares' inability to score on the road and Pasto's recent scoring drought suggest a low-scoring game. While Pasto's home form is concerning, their overall possession and the sheer weakness of Jaguares' away record make them the more likely winners. Both teams' recent scoring records indicate BTTS is unlikely.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%- gemini-3.1-flash-lite (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
Deportivo Pasto Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Alianza Valledupar | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Internacional de Bogota | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportivo Cali | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Millonarios | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Águilas Doradas | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 2 | - |
Deportivo Pasto have a decidedly mixed record over the season, but their home form has been a particular concern, with more losses than wins on their own turf. While their recent form has seen a sharp dip, losing their last three matches, all at home and scoring a mere 0.3 goals per game in that stretch, their overall possession and passing accuracy suggest they can control periods of play. However, conceding 1.3 goals at home over the season indicates defensive frailties that have been exploited.
Jaguares Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | America de Cali | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Chico | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Once Caldas | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Internacional de Bogota | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Cali | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Cucuta | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bucaramanga | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportivo Pasto | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | - |
Jaguares present a stark picture of inefficiency on the road. Their season-long away record is abysmal, with a staggering 81.8% of their away matches ending in defeat and a meagre 0.5 goals scored per away fixture. While their last outing saw them draw 2-2 at home, their away form in the last three games has seen them score less than a goal per game and concede nearly two. Their possession stats away from home are also alarmingly low, highlighting a team that struggles to impose itself.