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Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas: Hosts Look to Bounce Back in Clausura
Deportivo Pasto host Águilas Doradas in a Clausura fixture that sees the home side aiming to recover from a poor recent run. Águilas Doradas arrive with mixed recent form, and the statistical picture suggests a contest that could hinge on Pasto's ability to regain their attacking spark.
Pasto's home games typically see them enjoy slightly more possession and build-up play, averaging over 350 passes per game with good accuracy. Their challenge will be to break down an Águilas Doradas side that, while often defensively sound away, has recently shown an increased attacking intent. The visitors' away possession drops significantly, suggesting they may adopt a more reactive approach, looking to exploit transitions. Given Pasto's recent defensive fragility and Águilas Doradas' improved scoring form, the home side must re-establish their defensive solidity and find a way to create higher-quality chances, perhaps by leveraging their corner-kick advantage.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Deportivo Pasto has a strong home record this season, winning 54.5% of their matches.
- • Águilas Doradas' recent form shows an increase in scoring, averaging 2 goals in their last three games.
- • The odds suggest a home win is the most likely outcome, with home_win_odds at 1.85.
AI Prediction
Despite Pasto's recent dire run, their home record and the odds suggest they are favourites. Águilas Doradas have shown attacking promise recently, and their last game was a win, indicating they can score. This points towards a game where both teams find the net, potentially exceeding 2.5 goals. Pasto's overall home strength and the market favouring them give them a slight edge to secure three points, though their recent defensive issues and Águilas' improved scoring make it far from a certain outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U47%BTTS63%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek72%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U67%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U40%BTTS47%
H2H
Team recent
Deportivo Pasto Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Junior | 3 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | Santa Fe | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Jaguares | 3 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Alianza Valledupar | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 1 | - |
Deportivo Pasto's overall season record paints a picture of a solid, if unspectacular, side, averaging 1.4 goals and conceding the same number. At home, they have a better record, with a 54.5% win rate and a tighter defence, conceding just 0.9 goals per game on average. However, their last three matches have been a significant downturn, with three consecutive losses and a mere 0.7 goals scored per outing, highlighting a recent struggle to find the net and a leaky defence that shipped 2 goals in each of those games. Their most recent outing saw them fail to score and concede twice, a worrying trend.
Águilas Doradas Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Santa Fe | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Once Caldas | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fortaleza FC | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Junior | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Bucaramanga | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | Alianza Valledupar | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Jaguares | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | America de Cali | 0 - 1 | - |
Águilas Doradas present a more balanced, though less dominant, overall profile, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 on average across the season. Their away form is respectable, having secured three wins and three draws from nine games, while averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Recent form shows an uptick in their attacking output, scoring 2 goals per game across their last three fixtures, though this was coupled with conceding 1.3. Their last match was a 2-1 victory, which suggests a potential resurgence in form, especially in the final third, where they registered 9 shots on goal.
Odds