Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Preview
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar: Hosts Aim to Reverse Poor Run at Home
Deportivo Pasto hosts Alianza Valledupar in a Clausura fixture where the home side desperately needs to arrest a worrying home streak. Alianza Valledupar, struggling overall, faces an opponent that has also seen better days, setting up a potentially cagey affair.
This encounter pits a Deportivo Pasto side that has recently suffered defensive collapses at home against an Alianza Valledupar team that routinely concedes on the road and struggles to find the net. Pasto's higher average possession and passing accuracy suggest they will try to build from the back and control the tempo, but their recent home defensive record implies a vulnerability to direct attacks or transitions. Alianza Valledupar’s low possession stats away from home indicate they may adopt a more reactive posture, perhaps looking to frustrate Pasto and hit them on the counter, though their overall offensive output has been very limited.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Deportivo Pasto has lost their last 3 home games, conceding 1.7 goals per game in that period.
- • Alianza Valledupar has won only 9.1% of their away games this season, scoring just 0.5 goals per game.
- • Both teams have averaged under 1.5 goals scored across their last 3 matches.
AI Prediction
While both teams are in poor recent form and Alianza Valledupar's away record is dire, Deportivo Pasto's home advantage and slightly better overall statistics, combined with the odds, suggest they should edge this. Pasto's recent home defeats are concerning, but Alianza's inability to score away from home makes them a less threatening proposition. The market appears to favour the hosts, and despite the recent struggles, they should have enough to secure a narrow win.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon65% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U63%BTTS60%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek78% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U50%BTTS33%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U60%BTTS60%
H2H
Team recent
Deportivo Pasto Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Internacional de Bogota | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportivo Cali | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Millonarios | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Águilas Doradas | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Junior | 3 - 4 | - |
Deportivo Pasto's season has been a mixed bag, marked by a slight deficit in goals scored compared to those conceded. While their home record shows a modest winning percentage, recent form paints a grim picture. They have lost their last three home matches, conceding heavily in each, and their overall scoring has dipped significantly in their last three outings, managing only 0.3 goals per game. Despite this, they still tend to dominate possession and maintain decent passing accuracy, suggesting a capacity for control that hasn't translated into results.
Alianza Valledupar Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 5 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cucuta | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportivo Pereira | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Bucaramanga | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Millonarios | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Llaneros | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Independiente Medellin | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Internacional de Bogota | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Pereira | 3 - 2 | - |
Alianza Valledupar's season has been largely defined by an inability to secure victories, with half of their games ending in defeat. Their away form is particularly concerning, where they struggle to score and concede nearly two goals per game on average. Recent form mirrors this struggle, with only one draw in their last three matches and a dismal scoring record of just 0.3 goals per game. Last time out, they suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat, highlighting defensive frailties and a lack of offensive bite.
Odds