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Preview
Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe: Home Dominance Meets Struggling Visitors in Primera A
Deportes Tolima host Santa Fe in Primera A, with the home side boasting a formidable home record against a Santa Fe side that has struggled on the road. This fixture pits Tolima's attacking prowess and control against Santa Fe's recent defensive frailties and poor away form.
This match looks set to be a battle of contrasting styles and recent fortunes. Deportes Tolima will likely aim to leverage their home advantage by dominating possession and utilizing their superior passing game to break down Santa Fe. Expect them to push high and create numerous shooting opportunities, aiming to exploit Santa Fe's leaky defence, which has conceded an average of over two goals in their recent away matches. Santa Fe will need to find a way to disrupt Tolima's rhythm, perhaps by adopting a more compact defensive shape and looking for quick transitions, but their recent struggles suggest this will be a tough ask.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Deportes Tolima have won 75% of their home games this season.
- • Santa Fe have lost 40% of their away matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.
- • Deportes Tolima average over 60% possession at home with an 87% pass accuracy.
AI Prediction
Deportes Tolima's exceptional home record and statistical dominance, particularly in possession and defensive solidity, present a stark contrast to Santa Fe's recent away struggles. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the data. While Santa Fe's last outing showed attacking intent, their overall away form and defensive record suggest they will find it hard to breach Tolima's robust home defence, making a low-scoring home win the most probable outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Deportes Tolima Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Águilas Doradas | 4 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Jaguares | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Chico | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | America de Cali | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cucuta | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Once Caldas | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | - |
Deportes Tolima have been a force to be reckoned with at home this season, securing victory in three of their four matches played. They command possession, averaging over 60% of the ball and dictating play with an impressive passing accuracy of 87%. Their attacking output is solid, and their defence has been remarkably tight, conceding less than a goal per game on average when playing in front of their own fans. Recent form also reflects this dominance, with two wins in their last three home outings, suggesting they are building good momentum.
Santa Fe Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bucaramanga | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Alianza Valledupar | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Junior | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Jaguares | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | America de Cali | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 1 | - |
Santa Fe, on the other hand, are finding life difficult away from home. Their overall record shows a deficit in goals scored versus conceded, and this trend is amplified on their travels, where they've managed only one win from five. Recent form has been particularly concerning, with two losses in their last three away fixtures, including a heavy defeat in their most recent outing where they conceded three goals. Their possession drops significantly away from home, and their passing accuracy suffers, hinting at struggles to establish control and build attacks effectively.
Odds
Lineups
Deportes Tolima
(4-2-3-1)
Santa Fe
(4-3-2-1)