Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin - AI Match Preview

Special Event

Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!

Claim Benefit

Colombia Primera A

Deportes Tolima

Independiente Medellin

Match Events

D. Catano

16'

J. Montano

H. E. Martinez Yepez

41'

47'

J. Medina

S. Guzman

56'

57'

J. Cordoba

60'

J. Varela

S. Guzman

77'

J. Hernandez

84'

90'

B. Perlaza

Preview

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin: Clausura Clash Sees Hosts as Favourites

Deportes Tolima host Independiente Medellin in a Clausura fixture where the home side's strong season record and home form give them the edge. Medellin, despite recent positive results, face a stern test away from home.

This match is likely to see Deportes Tolima attempt to impose their control through higher ball possession and a structured build-up, a pattern evident in their overall and home statistics. They will aim to exploit the wider areas to create scoring opportunities, as suggested by their corner kick numbers. Independiente Medellin, on the other hand, may look to leverage their recent positive momentum and potentially counter-attack, especially if their possession numbers drop as they have on the road. Their tendency to pick up a high number of yellow cards could also be a factor, potentially disrupting their defensive shape.

Team statistics

Colombia Primera A

Deportes Tolima

Independiente Medellin

Matches played

12 - 7 - 6

Results

9 - 5 - 7

48%

Win %

42.9%

1.4

Goals scored

1.4

0.9

Goals conceded

1.2

League averages

Key points

• Deportes Tolima have won 69.2% of their home league games this season.
• Independiente Medellin have a 33.3% win rate in their away league matches.
• Both teams have averaged 1.4 goals per game overall this season.

AI Prediction

Deportes Tolima's overwhelming home advantage, coupled with their consistent scoring and solid defence, makes them the clear favourites. Independiente Medellin's recent improvement is noted, but their away struggles and defensive vulnerabilities against stronger opposition are significant drawbacks. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the statistical picture. Both teams have demonstrated an ability to score, pointing towards both teams finding the net.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)

by deepseek

83%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

67%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%

H2H

Primera A H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
1/28/2026	Deportes Tolima	D 2 - 2 D	Independiente Medellin HOME	O	Y
9/27/2025	HOME Deportes Tolima	L 2 - 3 W	Independiente Medellin	O	Y
6/15/2025	Deportes Tolima	L 1 - 2 W	Independiente Medellin HOME	O	Y
6/4/2025	HOME Deportes Tolima	L 1 - 3 W	Independiente Medellin	O	Y
5/16/2025	Deportes Tolima	W 1 - 0 L	Independiente Medellin HOME	U	N
9/22/2024	Deportes Tolima	W 1 - 0 L	Independiente Medellin HOME	U	N
3/10/2024	HOME Deportes Tolima	D 2 - 2 D	Independiente Medellin	O	Y
9/14/2023	HOME Deportes Tolima	D 1 - 1 D	Independiente Medellin	U	Y
4/1/2023	Deportes Tolima	D 1 - 1 D	Independiente Medellin HOME	U	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Deportes Tolima

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Alianza Valledupar	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
HOME	Junior	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
AWAY	Atletico Nacional	1 - 3	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Atletico Nacional	0 - 1	L	U	N	-
AWAY	Deportivo Pasto	2 - 0	W	U	N	-
HOME	Deportivo Pasto	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
HOME	Deportivo Cali	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
AWAY	Millonarios	0 - 2	L	U	N	-
HOME	Deportivo Pereira	2 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Deportivo Pasto	0 - 1	L	U	N	-

Deportes Tolima have built a solid campaign, boasting a nearly 50% win rate across the season and a formidable home record that sees them win over two-thirds of their matches. Their attacking output at home is impressive, averaging 1.7 goals, while their defence has been remarkably tight, conceding less than a goal per game. While their most recent outing saw a dip in possession and a slightly more open game, their overall home dominance is clear.

Independiente Medellin

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Deportivo Cali	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
HOME	Deportivo Pasto	3 - 2	W	O	Y	-
HOME	Águilas Doradas	1 - 2	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Fortaleza FC	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
HOME	Chico	2 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Alianza Valledupar	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
HOME	Atletico Nacional	2 - 3	L	O	Y	-
AWAY	Once Caldas	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
HOME	America de Cali	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
AWAY	Santa Fe	1 - 2	L	O	Y	-

Independiente Medellin present a more inconsistent picture. While their overall season goal average matches their opponents, their away form is a significant concern, with only a third of their away games resulting in victories and a near-even split of wins, draws, and losses. Recent form shows an upturn, with two wins in their last three overall, including a clean sheet in their latest fixture. However, their away possession has been low recently, and their passing accuracy on the road dips considerably.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.05

DRAW

3.2

AWAY

3.8

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.15

UNDER

1.67

BTTS

YES

1.91

1.8

Lineups

Deportes Tolima

(4-2-3-1)

6.43

Miguel Ortega

6.67

Cristian Arrieta

6.56

Yordan Osorio

6.77

Jan Ángulo

6.61

Jherson Mosquera

7.29

Sebastián Guzmán

6.83

Homer Martinez

6.66

Edwar López

7.09

Luis Sandoval

7.08

Jorge Hurtado

6.93

Adrián Parra

7.01

Daniel Cataño

6.73

Jeison Medina

6.93

John Edwin Montaño

7.17

Agustín Martegani

6.91

Didier Moreno

6.31

Yony González

6.8

Jhan Mena

6.05

Joaquin Varela

6.6

Luis Escorcia

6.61

Esneyder Mena

7.13

Eder Chaux

Independiente Medellin

(4-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Colombia Primera A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Apertura
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	20	40	LWWLW
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	7	35	LLLWW
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	4	34	LLLLL
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	10	33	WWWWL
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	9	33	DLDWD
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	10	31	WLWWL
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	7	29	WDLLD
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28	LWLLL
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	4	27	WLWDW
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	8	26	WWLDW
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WWWLW
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26	WWWDL
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	6	23	WDDWL
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22	WDWLD
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22	WLDDW
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18	DLLLW
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17	LLDDD
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17	LLWLL
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16	LDLLD
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10	DLLWL
Clausura
1	America de Cali	4	4	0	0	11	0	11	12	WWWWL
2	Independiente Medellin	3	3	0	0	7	4	3	9	WWWLW
3	Deportes Tolima	4	3	0	1	8	6	2	9	WLWWL
4	Bucaramanga	4	2	2	0	6	4	2	8	WDDWL
5	Llaneros	3	2	1	0	5	2	3	7	WDWLD
6	Deportivo Cali	3	2	0	1	4	1	3	6	WLWDW
7	Águilas Doradas	2	2	0	0	4	2	2	6	WWWDL
8	Millonarios	3	2	0	1	3	1	2	6	WWLDW
9	Once Caldas	4	1	2	1	8	5	3	5	DLDWD
10	Fortaleza FC	4	1	2	1	4	4	0	5	WLDDW
11	Santa Fe	3	1	1	1	5	4	1	4	WDLLD
12	Atletico Nacional	2	1	0	1	3	1	2	3	LWWLW
13	Internacional de Bogota	3	1	0	2	2	4	-2	3	LWLLL
14	Deportivo Pereira	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1	DLLWL
15	Alianza Valledupar	3	0	1	2	4	6	-2	1	LLDDD
16	Cucuta	3	0	1	2	2	8	-6	1	LDLLD
17	Jaguares	4	0	1	3	1	7	-6	1	DLLLW
18	Junior	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0	LLLWW
19	Deportivo Pasto	4	0	0	4	3	9	-6	0	LLLLL
20	Chico	2	0	0	2	0	9	-9	0	LLWLL

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin: Clausura Clash Sees Hosts as Favourites

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Deportes Tolima Team recent

Independiente Medellin Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Deportes Tolima

Independiente Medellin

Injuries / suspensions

League table