Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza FC - AI Match Preview

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Colombia Primera A

Deportes Tolima

Fortaleza FC

Match Events

J. Balanta

16'

J. Velasquez

J. P. Torres Patino

33'

L. Sandoval

53'

J. Mera

60'

J. Valencia

83'

Preview

Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza FC: Home Dominance Meets Away Struggles in Primera A

Deportes Tolima hosts Fortaleza FC in a Primera A fixture that pits the home side's formidable home record against Fortaleza's significant away-day difficulties. While Tolima are strong contenders, Fortaleza have shown resilience in recent weeks, hinting at a potentially tighter contest than the form book suggests.

This match is likely to see Deportes Tolima attempt to impose their possession-based style, using their superior home ball control to build attacks. They will aim to exploit the wide areas, leveraging their higher corner count and attacking shot volumes. Fortaleza, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more cautious approach away from home, possibly employing a compact defensive shape to frustrate Tolima. Their recent struggles suggest they may find it difficult to break down a well-drilled Tolima defence, and they'll hope to catch Tolima on the counter or through set pieces, though their own defensive record on the road is concerning.

Team statistics

Colombia Primera A

Deportes Tolima

Fortaleza FC

Matches played

4 - 4 - 2

Results

3 - 5 - 3

40%

Win %

27.3%

1.2

Goals scored

1.2

0.8

Goals conceded

1.5

League averages

Key points

• Deportes Tolima have won 75% of their home games this season, averaging 1.3 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded.
• Fortaleza FC are winless in six away matches, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game on the road.
• Both teams have a recent tendency to concede, with their last 3 games showing an average of 1.3 goals conceded each.

AI Prediction

Deportes Tolima's formidable home record and statistical dominance, particularly in terms of possession and defensive solidity at home, make them clear favourites. Fortaleza's poor away form, conceding heavily on the road, further strengthens this view. While Fortaleza have shown flashes of scoring ability, their defensive frailties away from home suggest Tolima should find the net, and with both teams showing a tendency to concede recently, goals at both ends appear probable.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

37%

O/U

53%

BTTS

37%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Primera A H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
12/8/2025	HOME Deportes Tolima	W 1 - 0 L	Fortaleza FC	U	N
11/18/2025	Deportes Tolima	W 1 - 0 L	Fortaleza FC HOME	U	N
8/31/2025	HOME Deportes Tolima	D 1 - 1 D	Fortaleza FC	U	Y
3/15/2025	Deportes Tolima	D 1 - 1 D	Fortaleza FC HOME	U	Y
7/20/2024	Deportes Tolima	D 1 - 1 D	Fortaleza FC HOME	U	Y
1/20/2024	HOME Deportes Tolima	L 1 - 2 W	Fortaleza FC	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Deportes Tolima

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	America de Cali	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
HOME	Atletico Nacional	1 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Cucuta	2 - 3	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Once Caldas	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
AWAY	Bucaramanga	0 - 0	D	U	N	-
HOME	Llaneros	0 - 1	L	U	N	-
AWAY	Internacional de Bogota	0 - 0	D	U	N	-
AWAY	Independiente Medellin	2 - 2	D	O	Y	-
HOME	Alianza Valledupar	2 - 0	W	U	N	-
AWAY	Junior	2 - 0	W	U	N	-

Deportes Tolima have established a strong base at home this season, boasting an impressive 75% win rate across four games. They average 1.3 goals scored and concede less than a goal per home fixture, demonstrating a solid all-around performance. Their recent home form mirrors this dominance, with two wins in their last three outings. The team also tends to dictate play on their own turf, enjoying over 62% possession and completing a higher percentage of passes, suggesting they control the rhythm of their home matches.

Fortaleza FC

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Junior	1 - 2	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Jaguares	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
AWAY	Deportivo Cali	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
AWAY	Once Caldas	2 - 4	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Chico	2 - 1	W	O	Y	-
AWAY	Atletico Nacional	1 - 4	L	O	Y	-
HOME	Santa Fe	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
AWAY	Cucuta	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
HOME	Llaneros	1 - 1	D	U	Y	-
AWAY	Deportivo Pereira	0 - 0	D	U	N	-

Fortaleza FC's away form presents a stark contrast to their home performances. In six away matches, they are yet to secure a victory, drawing three and losing three. They concede an average of two goals per away game, a figure that will be a major concern against a strong Tolima side. While their overall scoring rate is 1.2 goals per game, this dips significantly on the road. Despite a recent winless streak away from home, their last outing ended in a draw, showing a slight resistance, and they picked up a home win in their last overall fixture.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.62

DRAW

3.7

AWAY

5.75

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.15

UNDER

1.67

BTTS

YES

2.2

1.62

Lineups

Deportes Tolima

(4-2-3-1)

Neto Volpi

Junior Hernández

Jan Ángulo

Juan Mera

Cristian Arrieta

Brayan Rovira

Sebastián Guzmán

Adrián Parra

Juan Torres

Jersson González

Luis Sandoval

Juan Sebastian Herrera

Andrés Arroyo

Jhon Velásquez

Richardson Rivas

Leonardo Pico

Sebastián Navarro

Miguel Pernia

Jhon Balanta

Yesid Díaz

Jonathan Marulanda

Miguel Silva

Fortaleza FC

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Colombia Primera A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	49	21	28	55	WLWWW
2	Junior	25	13	5	7	38	28	10	44	LWWODD
3	Deportes Tolima	23	10	7	6	31	21	10	37	LLWWD
4	Santa Fe	23	8	11	4	35	24	11	35	LODWDW
5	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	33	25	8	34	DLWDW
6	America de Cali	21	10	4	7	26	20	6	34	LDWLW
7	Deportivo Pasto	21	10	4	7	29	28	1	34	LLLLW
8	Deportivo Cali	20	8	6	6	22	16	6	30	WDWLD
9	Internacional de Bogota	21	7	7	7	28	35	-7	28	LLLWL
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	8	26	DWLDL
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	LWWWL
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26	WDLLW
13	Llaneros	20	5	10	5	18	20	-2	25	WLDLD
14	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	6	23	LDLWL
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22	WLLWD
16	Jaguares	20	5	3	12	20	35	-15	18	LWDLL
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17	DDLLW
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17	WLLWL
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16	LDLWD
20	Deportivo Pereira	20	1	7	12	15	33	-18	10	LLWLD
Primera Division: Apertura
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	20	40	LLWWW
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	7	35	WDWWL
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	4	34	LLWWD
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	10	33	WLWWL
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	9	33	WDWDD
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	10	31	DLWLD
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	7	29	WWWDD
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28	LWLWD
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	4	27	DWLDW
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	8	26	DWLDL
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	LWWWL
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26	WDLLW
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	6	23	LDLWL
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22	LDLDW
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22	WLLWD
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18	WDLLW
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17	DDLLW
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17	WLLWL
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16	LDLWD
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10	LWLDL
Primera Division: Clausura
1	Deportivo Cali	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	3	W
2	Llaneros	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	W
3	Chico	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Independiente Medellin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	America de Cali	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Santa Fe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Internacional de Bogota	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atletico Nacional	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Bucaramanga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Cucuta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Deportivo Pasto	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportes Tolima	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Junior	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Millonarios	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Once Caldas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Águilas Doradas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Alianza Valledupar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Fortaleza FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Deportivo Pereira	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	L
20	Jaguares	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0	L

Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza FC AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza FC: Home Dominance Meets Away Struggles in Primera A

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Deportes Tolima Team recent

Fortaleza FC Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Deportes Tolima

Fortaleza FC

Injuries / suspensions

League table