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Preview
Chico vs Deportes Tolima: Hosts Seek Home Resurgence Against Strong Visitors
Round 13 of Primera A sees Chico host Deportes Tolima. While Chico have found home comforts of late, their overall season form is concerning, contrasting with Tolima's robust unbeaten run, suggesting a stern test for the home side.
This match pits Chico's improved, albeit inconsistent, home form against Deportes Tolima's solid, resilient approach. Tolima's high possession statistics and passing accuracy suggest they will aim to control the game's rhythm and probe for openings. Chico, particularly at home, have shown an ability to be more direct and clinical in their recent matches, hitting over 11 shots on goal in their last three home games. The home side will likely look to exploit the flanks and build momentum from the start, while Tolima will aim to frustrate them and pick their moments to attack, possibly through quick transitions or set pieces.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Chico have lost 60% of their home games this season, but have won their last home outing.
- • Deportes Tolima are unbeaten in their last three matches overall.
- • Tolima's away games have seen a high draw percentage (66.7%) this season.
AI Prediction
Deportes Tolima's superior overall form and unbeaten streak make them the clear favourites, despite Chico's recent home improvements. Tolima's defensive solidity, particularly their low average goals conceded, suggests they can contain Chico's home threat. The odds also heavily favour the away side, aligning with the statistical analysis. Therefore, an away win with limited goals is the most logical outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U47%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Chico Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Deportivo Pasto | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Millonarios | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Once Caldas | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Águilas Doradas | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Jaguares | 5 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Junior | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Santa Fe | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Alianza Valledupar | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | America de Cali | 0 - 1 | - |
Chico present a starkly contrasting picture between their overall season and recent home performances. Over the entire campaign, they've struggled immensely, losing over 70% of their games and averaging less than a goal per outing. However, at home, they've shown signs of life, winning 40% of their matches and scoring a more respectable 1.4 goals. Their last outing at home was a positive 2-1 victory, suggesting they can indeed make it difficult for visitors on their own turf, though their away form remains dire.
Deportes Tolima Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | America de Cali | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cucuta | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Once Caldas | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Internacional de Bogota | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Alianza Valledupar | 2 - 0 | - |
Deportes Tolima have been the picture of consistency, boasting an impressive 45.5% win rate across the season and remaining unbeaten in their last three matches. They average over a goal per game while conceding less than one, indicating a well-drilled unit. Their away form, while not as dominant as their home record, sees them drawing over 66% of their road fixtures, showing a resilience that prevents them from losing many games. Their most recent match was a convincing 2-0 win, reinforcing their current strong standing.
Odds
Lineups
Chico
(4-3-2-1)
Deportes Tolima
(4-2-3-1)
