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Alianza Valledupar vs Once Caldas: Hosts Seek Rare Win Against Undefeated Visitors
In a Primera A fixture, Alianza Valledupar hosts Once Caldas with the home side struggling for wins while the visitors remain unbeaten this season. Despite Alianza's home advantage and recent possession dominance, their defensive frailties and lack of consistent scoring may prove their undoing against a clinical Once Caldas.
This match pits Alianza Valledupar's desire to control possession, as evidenced by their 70% ball dominance in their home fixture, against Once Caldas' more balanced approach and clinical finishing. The visitors' ability to generate shots on target and their consistent scoring suggests they will look to exploit any defensive lapses from Alianza. The home side will need to drastically improve their defensive solidity and find a cutting edge, perhaps by using their midfield dominance to create clearer chances rather than just accumulating possession.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Once Caldas is undefeated in their last four league matches.
- • Alianza Valledupar has averaged just 0.3 goals per game this season.
- • Alianza Valledupar conceded an average of 2.7 goals in their last three matches.
AI Prediction
Once Caldas' unbeaten streak and consistent scoring, combined with Alianza Valledupar's defensive woes and struggles to find the net, point towards an away victory. However, Alianza's home possession stats and the visitors' tendency for draws suggest this could be tighter than expected. Both teams have shown capacity to score, making BTTS a plausible outcome, and the overall scoring averages hint at more than 2.5 goals.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x260%O/U40%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Alianza Valledupar Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Bucaramanga | 0 - 5 | - | ||||
HOME | Chico | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fortaleza FC | 0 - 1 | - |
Alianza Valledupar has endured a difficult start to the season, failing to secure a victory in their overall four games, with three losses and a single draw. Their recent form mirrors this struggle, picking up only one point from their last three outings and suffering a heavy defeat in their most recent match. While they demonstrated strong ball retention and created a notable 14 shots in their sole home game so far, their overall scoring average of 0.3 goals per game and susceptibility to conceding (2.3 overall, 2.7 recent) suggests significant issues at both ends of the pitch.
Once Caldas Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Jaguares | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | America de Cali | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Santa Fe | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cucuta | 2 - 1 | - |
Once Caldas presents a stark contrast, remaining undefeated across their four league fixtures, with one win and three draws. Their recent form is solid, with three consecutive draws, and they've shown an ability to both score (1.3 average overall, 1.5 away) and defend resolutely (1.0 conceded overall, 1.0 away). Their away record is particularly encouraging, boasting a 50% win rate and a respectable scoring average, indicating they can perform well on the road. They also generate a high volume of shots, averaging over 15 per game overall.
Odds
Lineups
Alianza Valledupar
(4-2-3-1)
Once Caldas
(4-4-2)