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Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros: Hosts Seek Home Advantage in Clausura
Alianza Valledupar hosts Llaneros in a Clausura fixture where the home side has shown resilience, particularly at home. Llaneros, however, have a solid overall record and have been competitive on the road, setting up a potentially tight contest.
Alianza Valledupar's overall possession numbers are low, suggesting they often play on the counter or are forced onto the back foot. Their recent home games have seen them win the shot count but concede heavily, indicating potential defensive frailties under pressure. Llaneros, while also not dominating possession, have a more stable defensive record on the road and tend to be more accurate with their passing. This could lead to Llaneros trying to exploit Alianza's defensive gaps with patient build-up, while the hosts might look for quick transitions when possession is regained.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Alianza Valledupar concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game overall, with their home defence being particularly leaky in recent matches.
- • Llaneros have a solid away record, winning 28.6% of their away games and scoring 0.8 goals per game on average.
- • The last match for Alianza Valledupar at home saw them concede 5 goals, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
AI Prediction
While Alianza Valledupar's overall record is poor, their home form is slightly better, and they've shown they can score. Llaneros are a solid side, particularly on the road, and have a balanced record. Given Alianza's recent home defensive struggles and Llaneros' ability to score away, both teams finding the net seems probable. A draw feels like the most likely outcome, reflecting the balanced nature of the fixture.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U63%BTTS57%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek72%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U53%BTTS33%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Alianza Valledupar Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 5 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cucuta | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportivo Pereira | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Bucaramanga | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Millonarios | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Llaneros | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Independiente Medellin | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Internacional de Bogota | 1 - 2 | - |
Alianza Valledupar have endured a tough season overall, with more losses than wins and a negative goal difference. However, their home form offers a glimmer of hope, where they've managed to secure a higher points-per-game ratio and score slightly more often than their away record suggests. Recent home form has been concerning, however, with two losses in their last three home games, including a heavy defeat in their very last outing.
Llaneros Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Águilas Doradas | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Fortaleza FC | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bucaramanga | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Chico | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Alianza Valledupar | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Junior | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 1 | - |
Llaneros present a more balanced profile across the season, with a near even split between wins, draws, and losses. They've been effective on the road, averaging a respectable points haul and conceding only marginally more than they score. Their recent form has been inconsistent, mirroring the season's trend with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three matches. Their last outing saw them concede two goals away from home.