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Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pasto: A Crucial Primera A Encounter
Alianza Valledupar host Deportivo Pasto in a Primera A fixture where recent form offers contrasting signals. While the hosts have tightened up considerably at the back, Deportivo Pasto possess a potent attack that has served them well on the road this season.
This looks like a classic battle between a defensively improving home side and a potent away attack. Alianza Valledupar's recent shift towards a more compact structure, evidenced by reduced possession and fewer shots conceded in their latest games, will be tested by Deportivo Pasto's willingness to push forward. Expect the hosts to try and frustrate Pasto, perhaps employing a mid-block to deny space, while Pasto will look to exploit any gaps with quick transitions and crosses from wide areas, aiming to leverage their superior attacking statistics.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Alianza Valledupar have dramatically reduced their goals conceded in their last three matches (0.3 per game).
- • Deportivo Pasto maintain a strong scoring record away from home, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season.
- • Odds indicate a closely contested match, with minimal differentiation between the home and away win probabilities.
AI Prediction
The data presents a fascinating clash: Alianza Valledupar's recent defensive improvement at home against Deportivo Pasto's consistent away-day scoring threat. While Pasto have the better overall record, Alianza's recent resilience makes them hard to beat. The odds suggest a very close match, and the statistical trends point towards a low-scoring affair where both teams might find the net, making a draw a plausible outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U63%BTTS73%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Alianza Valledupar Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Águilas Doradas | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Jaguares | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santa Fe | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Junior | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | America de Cali | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Cucuta | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Once Caldas | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bucaramanga | 0 - 5 | - |
Alianza Valledupar's season has been a tale of two halves, with their overall record showing a defensive fragility that has seen them lose more than they win. However, their last three outings, particularly the most recent home win, suggest a significant turnaround. They have drastically improved their defensive output, conceding just 0.3 goals per game in their last three, a stark contrast to their season average. While their attacking threat remains modest, this newfound solidity at home, with two wins and three draws in their last six, makes them a difficult proposition.
Deportivo Pasto Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Chico | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Once Caldas | 2 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | America de Cali | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Cucuta | 3 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Pereira | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Internacional de Bogota | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Llaneros | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | - |
Deportivo Pasto have been a more consistent performer this season, boasting a strong win rate and an effective attack that averages 1.5 goals per game away from home. Their recent form, however, is a mixed bag, with two draws and a loss in their last three. Despite this slight dip, their away scoring record remains impressive, and they've shown an ability to create chances, evidenced by a significant number of shots on goal even in their recent, less convincing performances. Discipline has been an issue, with a high number of red cards, which could be a factor.
Odds
Lineups
Alianza Valledupar
(3-4-3)
Deportivo Pasto
(4-3-3)