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Portugal Primeira Liga
SC Braga logo
SC Braga
Estrela logo
Estrela

Preview

SC Braga vs Estrela: Hosts Aim to Secure Home Advantage in Final League Showdown

SC Braga host Estrela on the final day of the Primeira Liga season, with the home side looking to solidify their strong campaign against a visiting team struggling for form. Braga's superior overall statistics and home advantage suggest they should control this encounter, though Estrela's recent defensive resilience might offer some resistance.

SC Braga will likely aim to set the rhythm of the game through their superior ball possession, looking to build attacks patiently and exploit the flanks. Their average of over five corner kicks per home game suggests they will press for set-piece opportunities. Estrela, on the other hand, may adopt a more defensive posture, aiming to frustrate Braga and perhaps catch them on a quick transition. However, their lower ball possession and passing accuracy figures suggest they will struggle to retain the ball for extended periods, potentially inviting sustained pressure from the home side.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga
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Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
SC Braga
VS
Estrela
33
Matches played
33
16 - 10 - 7
Results
6 - 11 - 16
48.5%
Win %
18.2%
1.9
Goals scored
1.1
1
Goals conceded
1.6
4.7
Shots on target
3.5
3.9
Shots off target
4.7
3
Blocked shots
2.8
62.5
Ball possession
47.4
86.7
Pass accuracy
79.6
11.7
Fouls
14.6
2.2
Goalkeeper saves
2.9
2.3
Yellow cards
2.6
0.1
Red cards
0.1
League averages

Key points

  • • SC Braga averages 1.9 goals per game overall, compared to Estrela's 1.1.
  • • Estrela have lost 56.3% of their away league matches this season.
  • • Braga's home games average 3 goals, while Estrela's away games average 2.8 goals.

AI Prediction

SC Braga's overall season statistics and home form indicate a clear advantage over Estrela, who have struggled significantly, especially away from home. While Braga's recent form has been inconsistent, their underlying quality and the odds favour them strongly. Estrela's last away game showed some attacking spark, and Braga's recent defensive record isn't impenetrable, suggesting both teams could find the net in a potentially open encounter.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    65%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    72%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    73%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    70%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    77%
    BTTS
    67%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    63%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    82%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    63%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    85%
    SC Braga HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    70%

H2H

Primeira Liga
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
1/3/2026
SC Braga
D 3 - 3 D
Estrela
AWAY
OY
1/19/2025
SC Braga
W 1 - 0 L
Estrela
AWAY
UN
8/11/2024HOME
SC Braga
D 1 - 1 D
Estrela
UY
3/2/2024HOME
SC Braga
W 3 - 0 L
Estrela
ON
9/28/2023
SC Braga
W 4 - 2 L
Estrela
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

SC Braga Team recent

SC Braga logo
SC Braga
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Benfica2 - 2DOYN
HOME
Estoril1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
Santa Clara1 - 2LOYN
AWAY
Casa Pia1 - 0WUNY
HOME
Famalicao2 - 2DOYY
HOME
Arouca1 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Moreirense1 - 0WUNY
HOME
FC Porto1 - 2LOYN
HOME
Sporting CP2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
Nacional2 - 1WOYY

SC Braga have enjoyed a solid Primeira Liga season, consistently averaging nearly two goals per game while conceding just one. Their overall statistics paint a picture of a dominant side, with high possession numbers and a structured passing game. While their recent form has seen a dip in scoring and an increase in goals conceded over the last three matches, their home record remains respectable, with a decent win percentage and consistent goal threat. The last outing ended in a draw, but the underlying numbers showed more offensive intent at home compared to their general recent trend.

Estrela Team recent

Estrela logo
Estrela
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Famalicao0 - 0DUNN
AWAY
Moreirense2 - 3LOYN
HOME
FC Porto1 - 2LOYN
AWAY
Arouca0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Sporting CP0 - 1LUNN
AWAY
Nacional0 - 2LUNY
HOME
Casa Pia4 - 0WONY
AWAY
Rio Ave1 - 2LOYN
HOME
GIL Vicente2 - 2DOYN
AWAY
AVS0 - 0DUNY

Estrela's season has been a challenging one, marked by a significant number of losses and a low win rate. They concede considerably more goals than they score, and their away record is particularly concerning, with over half of their away fixtures ending in defeat. Recent form has not offered much encouragement either, with a winless streak stretching across their last three games. Despite a slight improvement in their last match away from home, where they managed to score, their overall offensive output has been minimal, and defensive frailties persist.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
SC Braga
HOME
1.6
DRAW
3.9
Estrela
AWAY
5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.75
UNDER
2.05
BTTS
YES
1.8
NO
1.95
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto1615103543146WWWWW
2Sporting CP1613214683841WWWDW
3Benfica16106033102336DWWDW
4GIL Vicente1676321111027DDDDL
5SC Braga1675428151326DLWWW
6Famalicao166552013723LLWLD
7Guimaraes166461621-522DLWDW
8Moreirense156362124-321DLDDL
9Estoril165562726120WWLDL
10Estrela164662024-418WDLWL
11Rio Ave163851928-917LDLWD
12Alverca165291627-1117LLLWW
13Santa Clara154471115-416DLWDL
14Nacional154471721-416DWLLD
15Casa Pia163581629-1314DWDLL
16Arouca163581739-2214DDWLL
17Tondela152310927-189LLLWL
18AVS1604121141-304LDLLL
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