Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Match Events
Preview
Nacional vs Tondela: Hosts Seek Home Spark Amidst Struggles
Nacional hosts Tondela in a Primeira Liga clash where both sides have shown significant defensive frailties throughout the season. While Nacional has a particularly dismal home record, Tondela's recent form offers a glimmer of hope, though their away performances have been inconsistent.
This fixture pits Nacional's desperate need to salvage points at home against Tondela's challenge to build on recent away draws. Nacional's possession numbers, though below 50% overall, do creep up slightly at home, suggesting they might try to establish a rhythm. However, their porous defence, evidenced by a high number of shots faced and conceded goals, will likely be tested by Tondela's attempts to counter. Expect Nacional to push forward, potentially leaving gaps that Tondela might exploit, though the visitors' own offensive output has been limited.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Nacional has lost 83.3% of their home games this season.
- • Tondela has won only 28.6% of their away fixtures.
- • Both teams concede an average of over 1.4 goals per game across the season.
AI Prediction
The odds suggest a relatively tight contest, with Nacional slightly favoured at home. However, Nacional's abysmal home record, combined with Tondela's recent ability to secure draws away from home, points towards a shared outcome. Both teams concede frequently, making a 'yes' for both teams to score and an 'over' on 2.5 goals a strong consideration, despite Tondela's generally low scoring output.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x263%O/U40%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Nacional Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Alverca | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Benfica | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Estrela | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Famalicao | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Estoril | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Moreirense | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | SC Braga | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Arouca | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | FC Porto | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Casa Pia | 2 - 0 |
Nacional's season has been a tough watch, especially at home. Despite averaging a goal per game on their own turf, they've suffered a remarkable five losses in six outings, conceding over two goals on average. Their recent form mirrors this struggle, with two losses in their last three home matches and a heavy defeat in their most recent outing where they failed to score and were dominated in possession. The overall defensive record, with over 1.4 goals conceded per game across the season, paints a concerning picture.
Tondela Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | FC Porto | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | GIL Vicente | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Guimaraes | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | AVS | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Sporting CP | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Rio Ave | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Santa Clara | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Estrela | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Alverca | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Estoril | 2 - 2 |
Tondela, meanwhile, sits precariously in the league standings, with over 60% of their games ending in defeat. Their away form isn't much better, having lost four of seven played, though they have managed two wins. Recently, Tondela has shown some resilience, drawing two of their last three away fixtures, but their overall scoring record remains low at 0.5 goals per game. Their last match was a solitary win, but the statistics from that game showed very little attacking threat and low possession.
Odds
Lineups
Nacional
(4-3-3)
Tondela
(4-2-3-1)