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Portugal Primeira Liga
Nacional logo
Nacional
FC Porto logo
FC Porto

Match Events

Francisco Gonçalves
45'
60'
J. Bednarek
Liziero
84'
Kaique
87'
Lenny Vallier
90'

Preview

FC Porto Heavy Favorites to Overcome Nacional in Primeira Liga Clash

FC Porto arrive at Nacional's ground as overwhelming favorites, boasting a formidable league record. Nacional will need to defy expectations and their own inconsistent form to get anything from this encounter.

This match is set up to be an exercise in Porto's dominance versus Nacional's potential resilience. Porto's typical approach involves patient buildup and leveraging their superior ball possession to create chances. Nacional, who have shown a tendency to hold possession in recent games, will likely find it difficult to maintain this against Porto's higher pressing game. The home side will need to be exceptionally organized defensively, perhaps employing a deep block to stifle Porto's attack, and look to exploit any rare transitional moments.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Nacional
VS
FC Porto
21
Matches played
21
5 - 6 - 10
Results
18 - 2 - 1
23.8%
Win %
85.7%
1.3
Goals scored
2
1.4
Goals conceded
0.3
4
Shots on target
5.3
5.5
Shots off target
5.2
2.6
Blocked shots
3.5
45.1
Ball possession
56.3
74.7
Pass accuracy
84.6
15
Fouls
13.7
3.1
Goalkeeper saves
1.7
2.8
Yellow cards
2.3
0.2
Red cards
0.1
League averages

Key points

  • • FC Porto have won 90.9% of their away league games this season, conceding only 0.4 goals per match.
  • • Nacional have lost 50% of their home league games this season.
  • • FC Porto's overall defence has been outstanding, conceding just 0.3 goals per game across the season.

AI Prediction

FC Porto's dominant league form, especially their exceptional away record and stingy defence, makes them clear favourites. Nacional's overall win rate and concessions suggest they are outmatched. While Nacional's recent draw and possession stats are encouraging, Porto's sheer quality and historical dominance in this fixture should prevail, likely keeping the home side scoreless.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    78%
    FC Porto AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    82%
    FC Porto AWAY
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    70%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    85%
    FC Porto AWAY
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    70%

H2H

Primeira Liga
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
9/13/2025
Nacional
L 0 - 1 W
FC Porto
AWAY
UN
5/17/2025
Nacional
L 0 - 3 W
FC Porto
AWAY
ON
1/12/2025HOME
Nacional
W 2 - 0 L
FC Porto
UN
7/13/2024
Nacional
L 1 - 4 W
FC Porto
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Nacional Team recent

Nacional logo
Nacional
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Casa Pia0 - 0DUNY
AWAY
Sporting CP1 - 2LOYN
HOME
Rio Ave4 - 0WONY
AWAY
GIL Vicente1 - 2LOYY
HOME
Santa Clara3 - 3DOYN
AWAY
Guimaraes1 - 2LOYN
AWAY
AVS2 - 2DOYN
HOME
Tondela3 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Alverca0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Benfica1 - 2LOYN

Nacional present a mixed picture across their season, struggling for consistent wins with nearly half their games ending in defeat. While they showed some attacking promise at home, averaging 1.6 goals, their defence has also been porous, conceding 1.7. Recent form offers a glimmer of hope, with the team unbeaten in their last three, including a notable draw in their most recent outing where they dominated possession and shots. However, this recent upturn needs to be sustained against a significantly tougher opponent.

FC Porto Team recent

FC Porto logo
FC Porto
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Sporting CP1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
Casa Pia1 - 2LOYY
HOME
GIL Vicente3 - 0WONY
AWAY
Guimaraes1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Santa Clara1 - 0WUNY
HOME
AVS2 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Alverca3 - 0WONN
HOME
Estrela3 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Tondela2 - 0WUNN
HOME
Estoril1 - 0WUNY

FC Porto are in imperious form, demonstrating why they are title contenders. Their overall record is exceptional, with a staggering 85.7% win rate, built on a potent attack that nets 2 goals per game while conceding a mere 0.3. This defensive solidity is particularly impressive away from home, where they've won 10 of 11 matches, conceding less than half a goal on average. Despite a slight dip in their most recent match, drawing 1-1, their recent scoring output remains strong.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Nacional
HOME
6.5
DRAW
4.75
FC Porto
AWAY
1.42
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.75
UNDER
2.05
BTTS
YES
2
NO
1.75

Lineups

Nacional

Nacional

(4-3-3)

Kaique Pereira
Jose Gomes
Ze Vitor
C. Goncalves
A. Nunez
Liziero
Matheus Dias
J. Silva
Paulinho Boia
J. Ramirez
Witi
O. Pietuszewski
D. Gul
Pepê
R. Mora
A. Varela
V. Froholdt
Zaidu
J. Bednarek
Thiago Silva
A. Costa
D. Costa
FC Porto

FC Porto

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto1615103543146WWWWW
2Sporting CP1613214683841WWWDW
3Benfica16106033102336DWWDW
4GIL Vicente1676321111027DDDDL
5SC Braga1675428151326DLWWW
6Famalicao166552013723LLWLD
7Guimaraes166461621-522DLWDW
8Moreirense156362124-321DLDDL
9Estoril165562726120WWLDL
10Estrela164662024-418WDLWL
11Rio Ave163851928-917LDLWD
12Alverca165291627-1117LLLWW
13Santa Clara154471115-416DLWDL
14Nacional154471721-416DWLLD
15Casa Pia163581629-1314DWDLL
16Arouca163581739-2214DDWLL
17Tondela152310927-189LLLWL
18AVS1604121141-304LDLLL
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