Guimaraes vs Sporting CP - AI Match Preview

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Portugal Primeira Liga

Guimaraes

Sporting CP

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

32'

Trincao

42'

F. Ioannidis

T. Arcanjo

50'

58'

Maximiliano Araújo

João Mendes

62'

63'

J. Castillo

76'

Eduardo Quaresma

79'

M. Araujo

Fabio Blanco

84'

87'

Salvador Blopa

Nélson Oliveira

87'

90'

Iván Fresneda

90'

Morten Hjulmand

Rodrigo Abascal

90'

Preview

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP: Can hosts weather the storm in Primeira Liga?

Guimaraes host league leaders Sporting CP in a fixture that pits the home side's recent defensive solidity against Sporting's relentless attacking power. The visitors are strong favourites, but Guimaraes will be buoyed by a resilient last outing.

This fixture presents a classic clash of styles, with Sporting expected to dominate possession and territory, utilizing their superior passing accuracy and high shot volume to break down the home defence. Guimaraes will likely adopt a compact shape, aiming to frustrate Sporting and perhaps exploit any rare transitional opportunities. The key will be Guimaraes' ability to weather the storm and avoid conceding early, while Sporting will aim to maintain their high tempo and exploit the wide areas through quick interplay.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga

Guimaraes

Sporting CP

Matches played

6 - 3 - 5

Results

11 - 2 - 1

42.9%

Win %

78.6%

1.1

Goals scored

2.7

1.2

Goals conceded

0.5

3.6

Shots on target

7.6

5.9

Shots off target

7.2

3.3

Blocked shots

4.7

49.1

Ball possession

62.6

81.6

Pass accuracy

Fouls

12.4

3.4

Goalkeeper saves

2.1

2.4

Yellow cards

2.1

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Sporting CP average 2.7 goals per game overall and 2.1 away from home.
• Guimaraes have a 42.9% win rate overall but have drawn 42.9% of their home games.
• Sporting CP have won 85.7% of their away matches this season.

AI Prediction

Sporting CP's overwhelming offensive statistics and near-perfect away record make them clear favourites. While Guimaraes have shown defensive grit recently, they face an opponent that scores for fun. The odds reflect this disparity, suggesting a comfortable away win. Given Sporting's defensive solidity (0.5 overall, 0.6 away average goals conceded), a clean sheet for the visitors is plausible, making 'BTTS: No' and 'Under 2.5' appealing.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

70%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

78%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

47%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

82%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

63%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

82%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

47%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

78%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

53%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

85%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

60%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

50%

BTTS

43%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

40%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

43%

BTTS

47%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

87%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

47%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

63%

O/U

43%

BTTS

53%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

81%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

47%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

57%

BTTS

47%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

88%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

63%

BTTS

50%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

88%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

60%

BTTS

43%

H2H

Primeira Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
5/17/2025	Guimaraes	L 0 - 2 W	Sporting CP AWAY	U	N
1/3/2025	HOME Guimaraes	D 4 - 4 D	Sporting CP	O	Y
4/21/2024	Guimaraes	L 0 - 3 W	Sporting CP AWAY	O	N
12/9/2023	HOME Guimaraes	W 3 - 2 L	Sporting CP	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Guimaraes

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Rio Ave	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	GIL Vicente	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	AVS	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Tondela	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Benfica	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Famalicao	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Santa Clara	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Alverca	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	SC Braga	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Estrela	2 - 0	W	U	N	N

Guimaraes have shown a mixed bag over the season, with their overall record sitting at a respectable but not dominant 42.9% win rate. Their home form, however, has been a bit more robust, managing a positive goal difference at home, though their recent home form shows a slight dip losing one and drawing one of their last three at the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. They are coming off a goalless draw in their last match, which, while not inspiring offensively, points to a solid defensive effort.

Sporting CP

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	AVS	6 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Benfica	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Estrela	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Santa Clara	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Alverca	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Tondela	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	SC Braga	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Estoril	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Moreirense	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Famalicao	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Sporting CP are the epitome of dominance in the Primeira Liga, boasting an exceptional 78.6% win rate overall and an even more formidable 85.7% win rate away from home. Their scoring prowess is staggering, averaging 2.7 goals per game across the season and a remarkable 2.1 away. Recent form has seen them continue this trend, with a blistering 3.7 goals per game in their last three, including a 6-0 thrashing in their most recent outing. Their only blemish is a rare draw from their last away match.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

6.25

DRAW

4.5

AWAY

1.44

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Guimaraes

(4-4-2)

J. Castillo

J. I. Mendes

R. Abascal

Thiago Balieiro

Maga

N. Saviolo

G. Nogueira

M. Mitrovic

Samu

O. Camara

A. Ndoye

L. Suarez

F. Ioannidis

M. Araujo

J. Simoes

M. Hjulmand

Trincao

R. Mangas

G. Inacio

E. Quaresma

I. Fresneda

R. Silva

Sporting CP

(4-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	16	15	1	0	35	4	31	46	WWWWW
2	Sporting CP	16	13	2	1	46	8	38	41	WWWDW
3	Benfica	16	10	6	0	33	10	23	36	DWWDW
4	GIL Vicente	16	7	6	3	21	11	10	27	DDDDL
5	SC Braga	16	7	5	4	28	15	13	26	DLWWW
6	Famalicao	16	6	5	5	20	13	7	23	LLWLD
7	Guimaraes	16	6	4	6	16	21	-5	22	DLWDW
8	Moreirense	15	6	3	6	21	24	-3	21	DLDDL
9	Estoril	16	5	5	6	27	26	1	20	WWLDL
10	Estrela	16	4	6	6	20	24	-4	18	WDLWL
11	Rio Ave	16	3	8	5	19	28	-9	17	LDLWD
12	Alverca	16	5	2	9	16	27	-11	17	LLLWW
13	Santa Clara	15	4	4	7	11	15	-4	16	DLWDL
14	Nacional	15	4	4	7	17	21	-4	16	DWLLD
15	Casa Pia	16	3	5	8	16	29	-13	14	DWDLL
16	Arouca	16	3	5	8	17	39	-22	14	DDWLL
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	9	27	-18	9	LLLWL
18	AVS	16	0	4	12	11	41	-30	4	LDLLL

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP: Can hosts weather the storm in Primeira Liga?

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Guimaraes Team recent

Sporting CP Team recent

Odds

Guimaraes

Sporting CP

Injuries / suspensions

League table