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Guimaraes vs Nacional: Home Form Faces Away Resilience in Primeira Liga Clash
Guimaraes hosts Nacional in a Primeira Liga encounter where the home side's recent struggles at home clash with Nacional's solid away form. Expect a tight contest, potentially decided by fine margins.
This fixture pits Guimaraes' attempts to build from the back against Nacional's more expansive approach away from home. Nacional's recent high possession figures and increased shot volume suggest they will look to control the game's rhythm. Guimaraes, on the other hand, might need to rely on quick transitions and exploiting any space Nacional leaves behind, especially given their recent home defensive frailties.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Guimaraes concede an average of 1.5 goals at home across the season.
- • Nacional has lost only 2 of their last 8 away games.
- • Both teams have shown recent scoring form, with Nacional drawing their last away match 2-2.
AI Prediction
The odds suggest a slight lean towards Guimaraes, but Nacional's robust away form and recent strong performances, especially their last away game, cannot be ignored. Guimaraes' home defence has been leaky, while Nacional has shown they can score on the road. This points towards a fixture where both teams are likely to find the net, making a draw a strong possibility.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U47%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Guimaraes Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Casa Pia | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Sporting CP | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Rio Ave | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | GIL Vicente | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | AVS | 4 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Tondela | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Benfica | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Famalicao | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Santa Clara | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Alverca | 0 - 2 |
Guimaraes, despite their overall season standing, have shown a concerning trend of conceding at home, letting in 1.5 goals per game on average. Their recent home form in the last three matches has seen them concede an average of 1.3 goals, including a heavy defeat in their last outing. While they manage a decent number of shots, their conversion rate and defensive solidity appear to be a worry for the home faithful.
Nacional Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | AVS | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Tondela | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Alverca | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Benfica | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Estrela | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Famalicao | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Estoril | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Moreirense | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | SC Braga | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Arouca | 1 - 2 |
Nacional presents a different picture when playing away from home. They've secured wins in 25% of their away fixtures, conceding just under a goal per game on average. Their recent away form is particularly encouraging, with two wins and a draw in their last three road trips, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3. They also demonstrated their potential in their last match, drawing 2-2 away from home with a significant increase in possession and shots.
Odds
Lineups
Guimaraes
(4-2-3-1)
Nacional
(4-2-3-1)