FC Porto vs Estrela - AI Match Preview

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Portugal Primeira Liga

FC Porto

Estrela

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

48'

Bernardo Schappo

Jan Bednarek

53'

60'

A. Marcus

F. Moura

63'

65'

Abraham Marcus

65'

Renan Ribeiro

Samu

73'

86'

Jovane Cabral

90'

Otavio

Preview

FC Porto vs Estrela: Unbeaten Giants Host Struggling Visitors in Primeira Liga

FC Porto welcome Estrela to the Estádio do Dragão in a Primeira Liga fixture that pits an almost perfect home record against a side struggling for consistency on the road. Porto's formidable defence and potent attack suggest a difficult afternoon for the visitors.

This fixture is set up to be a demonstration of Porto's attacking prowess against Estrela's defensive struggles. Porto typically dominate possession, aiming to build patiently through midfield and exploit wide areas. Estrela, especially away from home, are likely to adopt a more compact, defensive shape, attempting to frustrate Porto and potentially catch them on a rare transition. However, Porto's ability to control the game through their superior passing accuracy and high shot volume suggests they will likely break down Estrela's resistance, particularly given Estrela's recent defensive collapses on the road.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga

FC Porto

Estrela

Matches played

12 - 1 - 0

Results

3 - 5 - 5

92.3%

Win %

23.1%

2.1

Goals scored

1.2

0.2

Goals conceded

1.5

5.8

Shots on target

5.5

Shots off target

5.2

3.2

Blocked shots

3.2

54.5

Ball possession

50.7

84.3

Pass accuracy

80.5

13.5

Fouls

13.9

1.5

Goalkeeper saves

2.6

2.5

Yellow cards

2.4

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• FC Porto have lost zero league games this season, winning 12 out of 13.
• Estrela have won only one away league game this season, scoring just one goal in their last three away matches.
• Porto's defence has been exceptionally strong, conceding an average of just 0.2 goals per game across all matches.

AI Prediction

FC Porto's unbeaten run and near-perfect defensive record, especially at home, makes them overwhelming favourites. Estrela's poor away form, coupled with their recent heavy defeat, suggests they will struggle significantly. The odds strongly favour a Porto win, and the data indicates a low-scoring affair where Porto's defence will likely keep Estrela at bay.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

50%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

88%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

88%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

63%

O/U

57%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

88%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

88%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

40%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

90%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

50%

BTTS

47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

47%

BTTS

40%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

47%

BTTS

43%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

88%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

40%

BTTS

47%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

43%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

40%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

88%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

63%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

90%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

60%

BTTS

57%

H2H

Primeira Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
4/26/2025	FC Porto	L 0 - 2 W	Estrela AWAY	U	N
12/16/2024	HOME FC Porto	W 2 - 0 L	Estrela	U	N
2/17/2024	HOME FC Porto	W 2 - 0 L	Estrela	U	N
9/15/2023	FC Porto	W 1 - 0 L	Estrela AWAY	U	N
7/26/2023	HOME FC Porto	D 3 - 3 D	Estrela	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

FC Porto

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Tondela	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Estoril	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Famalicao	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	SC Braga	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Moreirense	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Benfica	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Arouca	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Rio Ave	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Nacional	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Sporting CP	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

FC Porto have been nothing short of dominant this season, remaining unbeaten after 13 league games. Their season-long stats paint a picture of absolute control, with an impressive 2.1 goals scored and a stingy 0.2 conceded per match. While their home form shows a slight dip in goal output compared to their away record, they are still winning 83.3% of their home fixtures, conceding just 0.2 goals per game. Recent form also shows them winning their last three, with a clean sheet in each, indicating their defensive solidity is currently at its peak.

Estrela

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Arouca	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Sporting CP	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
HOME	Nacional	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Casa Pia	5 - 3	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Rio Ave	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	GIL Vicente	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	AVS	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Tondela	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Guimaraes	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Santa Clara	0 - 0	D	U	N	N

Estrela find themselves in a precarious position, with their overall league record showing more draws and losses than wins. Their away form is particularly concerning, managing only one victory in six games, scoring a meagre 1 goal per game while conceding 1.7. Recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last three matches yielding one win, one draw, and one loss. However, their most recent outing saw a concerning 0-4 defeat on the road, highlighting their defensive frailties away from home.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.17

DRAW

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.53

UNDER

2.4

BTTS

YES

2.2

1.62

Lineups

FC Porto

(4-3-3)

Diogo Costa

Francisco Moura

Jakub Kiwior

Jan Bednarek

Alberto Costa

Rodrigo Mora

Alan Varela

Victor Froholdt

Borja Sainz

Samu Aghehowa

Pepê

Alex Sola

Kikas

Abraham Marcus

Ianis Stoica

Oumar Ngom

Paulo Moreira

Sidny Lopes Cabral

Otavio

Bernardo Schappo

Luan Patrick

Renan Ribeiro

Estrela

(3-4-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	16	15	1	0	35	4	31	46	WWWWW
2	Sporting CP	16	13	2	1	46	8	38	41	WWWDW
3	Benfica	16	10	6	0	33	10	23	36	DWWDW
4	GIL Vicente	16	7	6	3	21	11	10	27	DDDDL
5	SC Braga	16	7	5	4	28	15	13	26	DLWWW
6	Famalicao	16	6	5	5	20	13	7	23	LLWLD
7	Guimaraes	16	6	4	6	16	21	-5	22	DLWDW
8	Moreirense	15	6	3	6	21	24	-3	21	DLDDL
9	Estoril	16	5	5	6	27	26	1	20	WWLDL
10	Estrela	16	4	6	6	20	24	-4	18	WDLWL
11	Rio Ave	16	3	8	5	19	28	-9	17	LDLWD
12	Alverca	16	5	2	9	16	27	-11	17	LLLWW
13	Santa Clara	15	4	4	7	11	15	-4	16	DLWDL
14	Nacional	15	4	4	7	17	21	-4	16	DWLLD
15	Casa Pia	16	3	5	8	16	29	-13	14	DWDLL
16	Arouca	16	3	5	8	17	39	-22	14	DDWLL
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	9	27	-18	9	LLLWL
18	AVS	16	0	4	12	11	41	-30	4	LDLLL

FC Porto vs Estrela AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

FC Porto vs Estrela: Unbeaten Giants Host Struggling Visitors in Primeira Liga

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

FC Porto Team recent

Estrela Team recent

Odds

FC Porto

Estrela

Injuries / suspensions

League table