Famalicao vs Alverca - AI Match Preview

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Portugal Primeira Liga

Famalicao

Alverca

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Preview

Famalicao vs Alverca: Hosts Aim to Solidify Home Form in Final League Stanza

Famalicao host Alverca in the final round of the Primeira Liga, with the home side looking to leverage their stronger overall record and home advantage. Alverca, particularly away from home, have struggled for consistency, setting the stage for a contest where the hosts are favoured.

Famalicao's possession-based approach, averaging over 50% of the ball and a high pass completion rate, is likely to be a key factor. They will aim to build from the back and exploit spaces, particularly through their wider attacking play. Alverca, who struggle with possession and completion rates away from home, may adopt a more reactive stance, possibly looking for transitional opportunities. However, their defensive frailties on the road suggest they will find it difficult to contain Famalicao's sustained pressure and attacking volume.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga

Famalicao

Alverca

Matches played

14 - 11 - 8

Results

10 - 9 - 14

42.4%

Win %

30.3%

1.2

Goals scored

1.1

0.9

Goals conceded

1.5

4.4

Shots on target

3.6

4.8

Shots off target

3.7

3.2

Blocked shots

2.4

51.4

Ball possession

44.7

81.5

Pass accuracy

79.8

15.9

Fouls

12.7

2.9

Goalkeeper saves

2.9

2.6

Yellow cards

2.2

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Famalicao average 1.6 goals per game at home compared to Alverca's 1.1 away.
• Alverca have lost 56.3% of their away matches this season.
• Famalicao's home possession stands at 53.9% while Alverca's away possession is just 42.2%.

AI Prediction

Famalicao's superior home form and offensive statistics, combined with Alverca's significant struggles away from home, point towards a home victory. The odds also favour the hosts, reinforcing this view. While Alverca have shown moments of scoring ability, their defence on the road is porous, suggesting a game with at least three goals and likely for the home side to find the net more than once.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

60%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

73%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

70%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

77%

BTTS

67%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

67%

BTTS

63%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)

by openai

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

82%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

63%

BTTS

63%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

67%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Primeira Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
1/4/2026	Famalicao	L 0 - 1 W	Alverca AWAY	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Famalicao

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Estrela	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Benfica	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Estoril	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	SC Braga	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Moreirense	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	FC Porto	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Nacional	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Guimaraes	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Arouca	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Rio Ave	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y

Famalicao have demonstrated a solid campaign, securing over 40% of their matches across the season. Their home form has been particularly encouraging, winning half of their games played at their own stadium and averaging a healthy 1.6 goals scored. While their recent form shows a slight dip in scoring to 1 goal per game over the last three, their overall home record suggests they are more than capable of finding the net against Alverca.

Alverca

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Estoril	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	FC Porto	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Arouca	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Nacional	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Casa Pia	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Rio Ave	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Sporting CP	1 - 4	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	GIL Vicente	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	AVS	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Guimaraes	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Alverca have endured a difficult season, with over 40% of their games ending in defeat. Their away record is particularly concerning, having lost more than half of their road fixtures and conceding nearly two goals per game on average. Although their most recent outing ended in a draw, the underlying statistics show a team that struggles to impose itself offensively away from home, with their scoring average dropping to just over 1 goal per game on the road.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.62

DRAW

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.67

UNDER

2.15

BTTS

YES

1.7

2.05

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	16	15	1	0	35	4	31	46	WWWWW
2	Sporting CP	16	13	2	1	46	8	38	41	WWWDW
3	Benfica	16	10	6	0	33	10	23	36	DWWDW
4	GIL Vicente	16	7	6	3	21	11	10	27	DDDDL
5	SC Braga	16	7	5	4	28	15	13	26	DLWWW
6	Famalicao	16	6	5	5	20	13	7	23	LLWLD
7	Guimaraes	16	6	4	6	16	21	-5	22	DLWDW
8	Moreirense	15	6	3	6	21	24	-3	21	DLDDL
9	Estoril	16	5	5	6	27	26	1	20	WWLDL
10	Estrela	16	4	6	6	20	24	-4	18	WDLWL
11	Rio Ave	16	3	8	5	19	28	-9	17	LDLWD
12	Alverca	16	5	2	9	16	27	-11	17	LLLWW
13	Santa Clara	15	4	4	7	11	15	-4	16	DLWDL
14	Nacional	15	4	4	7	17	21	-4	16	DWLLD
15	Casa Pia	16	3	5	8	16	29	-13	14	DWDLL
16	Arouca	16	3	5	8	17	39	-22	14	DDWLL
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	9	27	-18	9	LLLWL
18	AVS	16	0	4	12	11	41	-30	4	LDLLL

Famalicao vs Alverca AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Famalicao vs Alverca: Hosts Aim to Solidify Home Form in Final League Stanza

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Famalicao Team recent

Alverca Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

League table