Estrela vs Estoril - AI Match Preview

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Portugal Primeira Liga

Estrela

Estoril

Match Events

J. Carvalho

Abraham Marcus

45'

51'

Y. Begraoui

54'

Y. Begraoui

64'

A. Marques

70'

Y. Begraoui

Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho

73'

81'

Jandro Orellana

84'

Peixinho

Jovane Cabral

90'

Preview

Estrela vs Estoril: Hosts Aim to Leverage Home Form Against Struggling Visitors

Estrela, buoyed by a strong home record and recent positive momentum, hosts Estoril who have been in dire form away from home. This Primeira Liga encounter pits the hosts' improved offensive output against a visiting side desperate to halt a worrying losing streak.

This match presents a classic home advantage versus away fragility scenario. Estrela, who average over 54% possession at home and have been increasing their shot volume recently, will likely aim to set the rhythm of the game through patient buildup, using their higher corner count to their advantage. Estoril, who have shown a tendency to concede heavily on the road and have struggled to create chances away from home recently, may adopt a more defensive posture, looking to frustrate the hosts and exploit any defensive lapses on the counter. The home side's recent surge in attacking intent, particularly in the last 1st match where they scored 4 goals, suggests they will push hard.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga

Estrela

Estoril

Matches played

4 - 7 - 6

Results

5 - 5 - 7

23.5%

Win %

29.4%

1.4

Goals scored

1.6

Goals conceded

1.7

3.8

Shots on target

4.3

4.8

Shots off target

5.1

3.1

Blocked shots

48.4

Ball possession

50.4

79.5

Pass accuracy

14.3

Fouls

13.3

3.1

Goalkeeper saves

2.8

2.6

Yellow cards

2.9

0.1

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Estrela have averaged 1.3 goals conceded at home but have recently increased their attacking threat.
• Estoril's away form is a major concern, with only one win in eight road games this season.
• Estrela's last home game saw them score 4 goals, signaling an offensive improvement.

AI Prediction

Estrela's home form, combined with their recent offensive surge and Estoril's dismal away defensive record, points towards a home victory. Both teams have shown the capacity to score, and Estoril's last outing saw them concede four, while Estrela also hit four in their most recent home fixture. The odds slightly favour Estoril, but the recent data strongly suggests Estrela will capitalize on their home advantage.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

72%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

27%

O/U

50%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Primeira Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
8/11/2025	Estrela	D 1 - 1 D	Estoril AWAY	U	Y
5/17/2025	Estrela	L 0 - 4 W	Estoril AWAY	O	N
1/5/2025	HOME Estrela	L 2 - 4 W	Estoril	O	Y
7/24/2024	HOME Estrela	W 2 - 1 L	Estoril	O	Y
2/4/2024	Estrela	L 0 - 1 W	Estoril AWAY	U	N
8/25/2023	HOME Estrela	W 2 - 1 L	Estoril	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Estrela

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	SC Braga	3 - 3	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Famalicao	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Moreirense	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	FC Porto	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Arouca	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Sporting CP	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
HOME	Nacional	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Casa Pia	5 - 3	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Rio Ave	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	GIL Vicente	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y

Estrela have been a tough nut to crack at home this season, consistently securing draws but struggling to convert them into wins, evidenced by just 22.2% of their home games ending in victory. However, their recent form suggests a shift, with an unbeaten streak in their last three overall matches, and a notable uptick in attacking output, scoring two goals per game in that period. Their home performances in the last three games show an impressive 16 shots per game and an average of 5.3 shots on target, indicating a significant offensive push.

Estoril

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Benfica	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Alverca	4 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	SC Braga	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Famalicao	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Moreirense	3 - 3	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	FC Porto	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Arouca	4 - 3	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Rio Ave	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Nacional	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Casa Pia	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y

Estoril's overall season record paints a picture of a team that struggles for consistency, particularly away from home where they've managed only one win in eight attempts. Their recent form away from home has been particularly concerning, with two losses in their last three away matches seeing them concede a worrying average of three goals per game. Despite a decent overall scoring average on the season, their recent away scoring has dried up, with only 0.3 goals per game in their last three away fixtures.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.8

DRAW

3.4

AWAY

2.38

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

1.62

2.2

Lineups

Estrela

(4-2-3-1)

Renan Ribeiro

Otavio

Bernardo Schappo

Luan Patrick

Jefferson Encada

Alex Sola

Paulo Moreira

Ianis Stoica

Jorge Meireles

Abraham Marcus

Kikas

Alejandro Marqués

Yanis Begraoui

João Carvalho

Jordan Holsgrove

Jandro Orellana

Rafik Guitane

Pedro Amaral

Felix Bacher

Kévin Boma

Ricard Sánchez

Joel Robles

Estoril

(4-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	16	15	1	0	35	4	31	46	WWWWW
2	Sporting CP	16	13	2	1	46	8	38	41	WWWDW
3	Benfica	16	10	6	0	33	10	23	36	DWWDW
4	GIL Vicente	16	7	6	3	21	11	10	27	DDDDL
5	SC Braga	16	7	5	4	28	15	13	26	DLWWW
6	Famalicao	16	6	5	5	20	13	7	23	LLWLD
7	Guimaraes	16	6	4	6	16	21	-5	22	DLWDW
8	Moreirense	15	6	3	6	21	24	-3	21	DLDDL
9	Estoril	16	5	5	6	27	26	1	20	WWLDL
10	Estrela	16	4	6	6	20	24	-4	18	WDLWL
11	Rio Ave	16	3	8	5	19	28	-9	17	LDLWD
12	Alverca	16	5	2	9	16	27	-11	17	LLLWW
13	Santa Clara	15	4	4	7	11	15	-4	16	DLWDL
14	Nacional	15	4	4	7	17	21	-4	16	DWLLD
15	Casa Pia	16	3	5	8	16	29	-13	14	DWDLL
16	Arouca	16	3	5	8	17	39	-22	14	DDWLL
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	9	27	-18	9	LLLWL
18	AVS	16	0	4	12	11	41	-30	4	LDLLL

Estrela vs Estoril AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Estrela vs Estoril: Hosts Aim to Leverage Home Form Against Struggling Visitors

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Estrela Team recent

Estoril Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Estrela

Estoril

Injuries / suspensions

League table