Estoril vs Alverca - AI Match Preview

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Portugal Primeira Liga

Estoril

Alverca

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

B. Meupiyou

36'

Y. Begraoui

43'

Y. Begraoui

47'

49'

Lincoln

Pedro Carvalho

52'

55'

Nabil Touaizi

B. Meupiyou

60'

67'

Amorim

86'

Julián Jose Martinez

Antef Tsoungui

90'

Preview

Estoril vs Alverca: Hosts Seek Home Advantage in Primeira Liga Clash

Estoril host Alverca in a Primeira Liga encounter where the home side's recent home form contrasts sharply with Alverca's struggles on the road. This fixture promises an intriguing tactical battle, with the hosts looking to build on a strong offensive showing in their last home outing.

Estoril's recent home surge suggests they will look to impose themselves offensively, likely employing a strategy of building from the back and looking for quick transitions to exploit Alverca's defensive frailties away from home. Alverca, conversely, have shown a tendency to lose possession under pressure when playing away, and their last away performance was a defensive capitulation. The hosts' increased corner count recently might also offer a route to goal. Alverca will need to be exceptionally disciplined and efficient on the counter if they are to avoid another defeat.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga

Estoril

Alverca

Matches played

4 - 5 - 6

Results

5 - 2 - 8

26.7%

Win %

33.3%

1.5

Goals scored

1.7

Goals conceded

1.5

4.3

Shots on target

3.5

5.4

Shots off target

3.5

3.1

Blocked shots

2.1

49.6

Ball possession

44.5

77.9

Pass accuracy

79.2

13.3

Fouls

12.9

2.7

Goalkeeper saves

2.7

3.1

Yellow cards

2.5

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Estoril have won two of their last three home games, scoring 2.7 goals per match in that period.
• Alverca have lost four of their seven away league games this season, conceding an average of 1.4 goals.
• The odds suggest a competitive match, but Estoril's home form and recent attacking output give them the edge.

AI Prediction

Estoril's recent home form, particularly their goal-scoring output, stands in stark contrast to Alverca's consistent struggles on the road. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the statistical picture. While Alverca have shown they can score away, their defence has been too porous, and Estoril's recent attacking displays suggest they can exploit this. Both teams have odds favouring BTTS, and Estoril's recent home games have seen goals, pointing towards an over 2.5 outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

75%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

67%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

73%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

67%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

63%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

73%

BTTS

67%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

43%

BTTS

63%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

50%

BTTS

67%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

40%

BTTS

43%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

53%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

78%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%

H2H

Primeira Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
7/19/2025	HOME Estoril	L 1 - 2 W	Alverca	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Estoril

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	SC Braga	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Famalicao	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Moreirense	3 - 3	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	FC Porto	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Arouca	4 - 3	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Rio Ave	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Nacional	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Casa Pia	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Sporting CP	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	GIL Vicente	0 - 2	L	U	N	N

Estoril have shown a decent home record this season, securing more wins than losses at their own ground. Their average of 1.6 goals scored per home game is respectable, and this has been amplified recently, with two wins and a draw in their last three home matches, featuring a striking 2.7 goals per game. The last outing at home saw them register 13 shots on target, indicating a willingness to push forward and create chances.

Alverca

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	FC Porto	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Arouca	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Nacional	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Casa Pia	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Rio Ave	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Sporting CP	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	GIL Vicente	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
AWAY	AVS	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Guimaraes	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Santa Clara	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N

Alverca's season has been blighted by an inability to secure away victories, with four losses in seven away league games. Their scoring record on the road, averaging just 1.3 goals per game, has been a significant issue, and this has worsened recently with only one win in their last three away fixtures, netting a mere 0.7 goals per game. Their last away match was particularly concerning, conceding four goals and struggling to retain possession.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.25

DRAW

3.3

AWAY

3.1

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.9

UNDER

1.9

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Estoril

(4-2-3-1)

Joel Robles

Pedro Amaral

Felix Bacher

Kévin Boma

Pedro Carvalho

Jordan Holsgrove

Jandro Orellana

João Carvalho

Yanis Begraoui

Rafik Guitane

Alejandro Marqués

Cédric Nuozzi

Sandro Lima

Lincoln

Francisco Chissumba

Alexsandro Amorim

Sabit Abdulai

Nabil Touaizi

Bastien Meupiyou

Julián Jose Martinez

Kaiky Naves

André Gomes

Alverca

(3-4-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	16	15	1	0	35	4	31	46	WWWWW
2	Sporting CP	16	13	2	1	46	8	38	41	WWWDW
3	Benfica	16	10	6	0	33	10	23	36	DWWDW
4	GIL Vicente	16	7	6	3	21	11	10	27	DDDDL
5	SC Braga	16	7	5	4	28	15	13	26	DLWWW
6	Famalicao	16	6	5	5	20	13	7	23	LLWLD
7	Guimaraes	16	6	4	6	16	21	-5	22	DLWDW
8	Moreirense	15	6	3	6	21	24	-3	21	DLDDL
9	Estoril	16	5	5	6	27	26	1	20	WWLDL
10	Estrela	16	4	6	6	20	24	-4	18	WDLWL
11	Rio Ave	16	3	8	5	19	28	-9	17	LDLWD
12	Alverca	16	5	2	9	16	27	-11	17	LLLWW
13	Santa Clara	15	4	4	7	11	15	-4	16	DLWDL
14	Nacional	15	4	4	7	17	21	-4	16	DWLLD
15	Casa Pia	16	3	5	8	16	29	-13	14	DWDLL
16	Arouca	16	3	5	8	17	39	-22	14	DDWLL
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	9	27	-18	9	LLLWL
18	AVS	16	0	4	12	11	41	-30	4	LDLLL

Estoril vs Alverca AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Estoril vs Alverca: Hosts Seek Home Advantage in Primeira Liga Clash

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Estoril Team recent

Alverca Team recent

Odds

Estoril

Alverca

Injuries / suspensions

League table