Benfica vs Alverca - AI Match Preview

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Portugal Primeira Liga

Benfica

Alverca

Match Events

Lincoln

A. Schjelderup

16'

Sidny Lopes Cabral

23'

30'

Figueiredo

39'

Matheus Mendes

Vangelis Pavlidis

63'

Gianluca Prestianni

66'

A. Cabral

86'

Tomás Araújo

90'

Preview

Benfica vs Alverca: Eagles Look to Continue Dominance at Home

League leaders Benfica host Alverca in a fixture that, on paper, presents a stark contrast in form and pedigree. The Eagles are enjoying a dominant season, particularly at home, while Alverca arrive with a poor away record and significant defensive concerns.

This matchup is expected to see Benfica dominate possession, likely exceeding their season average of 59.5% and perhaps pushing towards the 70% mark seen in their last game. They will aim to use patient build-up play, seeking to unlock Alverca's defence through wide attacks or quick combinations. Alverca, who struggle with possession away from home (averaging 40.2%), will likely adopt a deep defensive block, attempting to frustrate Benfica and perhaps catch them on a rare transition. However, Alverca's heavy conceding rate away from home suggests their defensive organisation might struggle to withstand sustained pressure.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga

Benfica

Alverca

Matches played

13 - 7 - 0

Results

7 - 3 - 10

65%

Win %

35%

2.1

Goals scored

0.6

Goals conceded

1.7

6.2

Shots on target

3.6

6.2

Shots off target

3.6

4.1

Blocked shots

59.5

Ball possession

43.9

85.3

Pass accuracy

79.8

11.6

Fouls

13.2

2.3

Goalkeeper saves

2.6

2.1

Yellow cards

2.5

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Benfica average 2.3 goals at home this season, conceding just 0.7.
• Alverca have lost 67% of their away league games, conceding 2.1 goals per match.
• Benfica are unbeaten in 20 league games, while Alverca have won only twice away.

AI Prediction

Benfica's unbeaten league run and formidable home scoring record against Alverca's dire away form and defensive frailties present a clear imbalance. The odds strongly favour the hosts, and the statistical disparity in goals scored and conceded, as well as shot volumes, points towards a dominant home win. Alverca's struggles to score away from home suggest they will likely fail to find the net, making 'no' for BTTS a strong proposition, while Benfica's attacking prowess points to an 'over' on the goal line.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

60%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%

H2H

Primeira Liga H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
8/31/2025	Benfica	W 2 - 1 L	Alverca HOME	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Benfica

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Tondela	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Estrela	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Rio Ave	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Estoril	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	SC Braga	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Famalicao	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Moreirense	4 - 0	W	O	N	N
HOME	Sporting CP	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Nacional	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Casa Pia	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y

Benfica are having a stellar season, remaining unbeaten after 20 league games. Their overall scoring rate of 2.1 goals per game is impressive, and this is bolstered by an even stronger home record where they net 2.3 goals on average. Recent form shows they are still creating plenty, with a remarkable 23 shots in their last outing, even if the goal return was zero that day. Their defence has been exceptionally stout, conceding just 0.6 goals per game overall and a mere 0.7 at home. They've been particularly ruthless in their last three home games, scoring an average of 2.7.

Alverca

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Estrela	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	SC Braga	0 - 5	L	O	N	N
HOME	Moreirense	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Famalicao	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Estoril	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	FC Porto	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Arouca	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Nacional	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Casa Pia	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Rio Ave	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Alverca's season has been a struggle, marked by a 50% loss rate overall. Their away form is particularly concerning, with two wins from nine games and conceding over two goals per match on average. While they managed a draw in their most recent outing, the underlying statistics were dire: only three shots, none on target, and a heavy defeat in their last away game. Their recent form has seen a dip in offensive output, scoring just once in their last three matches overall, and they've conceded 3.3 goals per game in their last three away fixtures.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.17

DRAW

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.5

UNDER

2.5

BTTS

YES

2.38

1.53

Lineups

Benfica

(4-2-3-1)

Anatoliy Trubin

Samuel Dahl

Nicolás Otamendi

Tomás Araújo

Sidny Lopes Cabral

Fredrik Aursnes

Leandro Barreiro

Andreas Schjelderup

Rafa Silva

Gianluca Prestianni

Vangelis Pavlidis

Chiquinho

Marko Milovanović

Figueiredo

Francisco Chissumba

Lincoln

Vasco Moreira

Nabil Touaizi

Bastien Meupiyou

Sergi Gómez

Kaiky Naves

Matheus Mendes

Alverca

(3-4-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	16	15	1	0	35	4	31	46	WWWWW
2	Sporting CP	16	13	2	1	46	8	38	41	WWWDW
3	Benfica	16	10	6	0	33	10	23	36	DWWDW
4	GIL Vicente	16	7	6	3	21	11	10	27	DDDDL
5	SC Braga	16	7	5	4	28	15	13	26	DLWWW
6	Famalicao	16	6	5	5	20	13	7	23	LLWLD
7	Guimaraes	16	6	4	6	16	21	-5	22	DLWDW
8	Moreirense	15	6	3	6	21	24	-3	21	DLDDL
9	Estoril	16	5	5	6	27	26	1	20	WWLDL
10	Estrela	16	4	6	6	20	24	-4	18	WDLWL
11	Rio Ave	16	3	8	5	19	28	-9	17	LDLWD
12	Alverca	16	5	2	9	16	27	-11	17	LLLWW
13	Santa Clara	15	4	4	7	11	15	-4	16	DLWDL
14	Nacional	15	4	4	7	17	21	-4	16	DWLLD
15	Casa Pia	16	3	5	8	16	29	-13	14	DWDLL
16	Arouca	16	3	5	8	17	39	-22	14	DDWLL
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	9	27	-18	9	LLLWL
18	AVS	16	0	4	12	11	41	-30	4	LDLLL

Benfica vs Alverca AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Benfica vs Alverca: Eagles Look to Continue Dominance at Home

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Benfica Team recent

Alverca Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Benfica

Alverca

Injuries / suspensions

League table