Arouca vs Guimaraes - AI Match Preview

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Portugal Primeira Liga

Arouca

Guimaraes

Match Events

22'

Samu

26'

N. Saviolo

30'

O. Camara

A. Trezza

45'

Bas Kuipers

53'

I. Barbero

56'

73'

Beni Mukendi

H. Lee

74'

83'

Diogo Sousa

88'

Rodrigo Abascal

Preview

Arouca vs Guimaraes: Primeira Liga Clash of Contrasting Form

Arouca, buoyed by a significant upturn in recent form, hosts Guimaraes in a Primeira Liga fixture that pits improving home fortunes against a visitor struggling for consistency. This encounter looks set to be a keenly contested affair, with both sides showing signs of offensive capability.

This match could be defined by Arouca's recent surge against Guimaraes' overall steadiness but recent defensive lapses. Arouca's recent uptick in scoring and reduced goals conceded suggests a more cohesive unit, potentially employing a more aggressive pressing game to force turnovers. Guimaraes, despite their inconsistent recent results, still possess attacking threat, and their slightly better overall defensive numbers might indicate they try to absorb pressure and exploit transitions. The home side's recent improved attacking output, particularly in the last game, means they'll be looking to play on the front foot.

Team statistics

Portugal Primeira Liga

Arouca

Guimaraes

Matches played

5 - 5 - 10

Results

8 - 4 - 8

25%

Win %

40%

1.2

Goals scored

1.1

2.2

Goals conceded

1.4

3.3

Shots on target

3.5

4.8

Shots off target

6.1

2.4

Blocked shots

3.6

49.6

Ball possession

49.1

Pass accuracy

81.1

13.8

Fouls

15.3

2.8

Goalkeeper saves

3.2

2.8

Yellow cards

2.4

0.4

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Arouca has won 2 of their last 3 matches, scoring 1.7 goals per game in that spell, a significant improvement on their season average.
• Guimaraes has a poor away record this season, losing 50% of their away fixtures.
• Over 2.5 goals is favoured by the odds, aligning with Arouca's recent attacking surge and Guimaraes' defensive issues.

AI Prediction

Arouca's dramatic improvement in recent form, particularly their defensive solidity and increased scoring, contrasts sharply with Guimaraes' recent struggles and poor away record. The odds suggest a close contest, but Arouca's momentum, especially after their last dominant win, makes them the more compelling pick. Both teams have shown they can score, and Arouca's recent defensive improvements, while impressive, haven't yet erased their season-long concessions, pointing towards goals at both ends.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

23%

O/U

47%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Primeira Liga

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
8/30/2025	Arouca	D 1 - 1 D	Guimaraes AWAY	U	Y
1/18/2025	Arouca	D 2 - 2 D	Guimaraes AWAY	O	Y
8/12/2024	HOME Arouca	L 0 - 1 W	Guimaraes	U	N
5/18/2024	HOME Arouca	L 1 - 3 W	Guimaraes	O	Y
1/15/2024	Arouca	L 1 - 2 W	Guimaraes AWAY	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Arouca

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Rio Ave	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Sporting CP	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	AVS	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Tondela	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	GIL Vicente	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Santa Clara	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Alverca	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Estrela	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	SC Braga	0 - 4	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Estoril	3 - 4	L	O	Y	N

Arouca's season-long statistics paint a picture of a side conceding too many goals, with an average of 2.2 per game across the campaign. However, recent form suggests a dramatic shift. Over their last three matches, they've tightened up considerably, conceding just 0.7 goals per game while dramatically increasing their own scoring rate to 1.7. Their last outing, a dominant 3-0 victory, showcased this newfound attacking verve, even if their possession stats dipped in that particular fixture.

Guimaraes

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Moreirense	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Estoril	2 - 4	L	O	Y	N
HOME	FC Porto	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Nacional	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Casa Pia	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Sporting CP	1 - 4	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Rio Ave	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	GIL Vicente	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	AVS	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Tondela	1 - 0	W	U	N	N

Guimaraes, meanwhile, presents a more Jekyll-and-Hyde profile. While their overall season record shows a more balanced win/loss ratio and a slightly better defensive record than Arouca, their recent performances have been concerning. They've lost two of their last three, conceding 1.7 goals per game on average. Their last match was a particularly concerning 2-4 defeat, highlighting defensive frailties despite scoring twice. Their away form over the season is also particularly poor, with over half their games ending in defeat.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.75

DRAW

3.25

AWAY

2.55

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.15

UNDER

1.67

BTTS

YES

1.91

Lineups

Arouca

(4-2-3-1)

Ignacio de Arruabarrena

Bas Kuipers

Jose Fontán

Javi Sánchez

Tiago Esgaio

Taichi Fukui

Espen Van Ee

Naïs Djouahra

Hyun-ju Lee

Alfonso Trezza

Ivan Barbero

Nélson Oliveira

Oumar Camara

Samu

Noah Saviolo

Diogo Sousa

Beni Mukendi

João Mendes

Rodrigo Abascal

Miguel Nóbrega

Tony Strata

Charles

Guimaraes

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Portugal Primeira Liga

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Porto	16	15	1	0	35	4	31	46	WWWWW
2	Sporting CP	16	13	2	1	46	8	38	41	WWWDW
3	Benfica	16	10	6	0	33	10	23	36	DWWDW
4	GIL Vicente	16	7	6	3	21	11	10	27	DDDDL
5	SC Braga	16	7	5	4	28	15	13	26	DLWWW
6	Famalicao	16	6	5	5	20	13	7	23	LLWLD
7	Guimaraes	16	6	4	6	16	21	-5	22	DLWDW
8	Moreirense	15	6	3	6	21	24	-3	21	DLDDL
9	Estoril	16	5	5	6	27	26	1	20	WWLDL
10	Estrela	16	4	6	6	20	24	-4	18	WDLWL
11	Rio Ave	16	3	8	5	19	28	-9	17	LDLWD
12	Alverca	16	5	2	9	16	27	-11	17	LLLWW
13	Santa Clara	15	4	4	7	11	15	-4	16	DLWDL
14	Nacional	15	4	4	7	17	21	-4	16	DWLLD
15	Casa Pia	16	3	5	8	16	29	-13	14	DWDLL
16	Arouca	16	3	5	8	17	39	-22	14	DDWLL
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	9	27	-18	9	LLLWL
18	AVS	16	0	4	12	11	41	-30	4	LDLLL

Arouca vs Guimaraes AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Arouca vs Guimaraes: Primeira Liga Clash of Contrasting Form

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Arouca Team recent

Guimaraes Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Arouca

Guimaraes

Injuries / suspensions

League table