Motherwell vs Aberdeen - AI Match Preview

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Scotland Premiership

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Match Events

Callum Slattery

23'

E. Just

28'

32'

Liam Morrison

37'

Tom McIntyre

52'

Dennis Geiger

67'

Topi Keskinen

72'

Lyall Cameron

90'

Ante Palaversa

T. McIntyre

90'

Preview

Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Home Dominance Faces Away Struggles in Premiership

Motherwell host Aberdeen in a Premiership fixture where home form and recent attacking verve clash with Aberdeen's dismal away record. The Steelmen will look to build on a strong scoring run, while the Dons have struggled to find the net on the road.

This fixture sets up as a classic home advantage scenario. Motherwell's high possession stats and strong attacking output, especially in recent home games where they've averaged over two goals and nearly eight shots on target, suggest they will seek to dominate the ball and probe Aberdeen's defence. The visitors, conversely, have shown a tendency to drop possession away from home and have a significant scoring deficit on the road. Expect Motherwell to employ patient build-up play, potentially looking for wide overloads to break down the Dons, while Aberdeen will likely focus on a deep defensive block, hoping for transitional moments that have rarely materialised away from home.

Team statistics

Scotland Premiership

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Matches played

11 - 11 - 3

Results

8 - 4 - 12

44%

Win %

33.3%

1.5

Goals scored

1.1

0.7

Goals conceded

1.4

4.8

Shots on target

4.7

Shots off target

4.1

3.5

Blocked shots

4.2

59.2

Ball possession

48.2

85.3

Pass accuracy

78.3

11.8

Fouls

14.3

2.9

Goalkeeper saves

3.3

1.3

Yellow cards

2.4

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Motherwell have won 61.5% of their home games this season, scoring an average of 1.8 goals.
• Aberdeen have lost 66.7% of their away league matches this season, scoring just 0.6 goals per game.
• Motherwell's last home game saw them score 6 goals, indicating a significant recent attacking uplift.

AI Prediction

Motherwell's exceptional home form and recent attacking prowess, contrasted with Aberdeen's dire away record and scoring struggles, make the hosts the clear favourites. The odds also reflect this, with Motherwell heavily backed. While Aberdeen's recent home form has shown some fight, their last away performance was abysmal. Given Motherwell's offensive surge and solid defensive base at home, they are expected to control this match and secure all three points, likely contributing to a higher goal count.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

27%

O/U

53%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Premiership

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/9/2025	Motherwell	D 1 - 1 D	Aberdeen AWAY	U	Y
9/27/2025	HOME Motherwell	W 2 - 0 L	Aberdeen	U	N
3/29/2025	Motherwell	L 1 - 4 W	Aberdeen AWAY	O	Y
1/5/2025	HOME Motherwell	W 2 - 0 L	Aberdeen	U	N
9/14/2024	Motherwell	L 1 - 2 W	Aberdeen AWAY	O	Y
4/27/2024	Motherwell	L 0 - 1 W	Aberdeen AWAY	U	N
3/16/2024	HOME Motherwell	L 0 - 1 W	Aberdeen	U	N
2/14/2024	Motherwell	D 3 - 3 D	Aberdeen AWAY	O	Y
11/1/2023	HOME Motherwell	L 2 - 4 W	Aberdeen	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Motherwell

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Rangers	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Livingston	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Kilmarnock	4 - 0	W	O	N	N
AWAY	Hibernian	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	ST Mirren	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Celtic	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Rangers	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Dundee	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Dundee Utd	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Livingston	3 - 0	W	O	N	N

Motherwell have built a commanding home record this season, boasting a strong win percentage and averaging nearly two goals per game at home while conceding less than one. Their overall season performance is solid, but recent form has been exceptional. Over the last three matches, they've averaged over two goals scored and conceded a mere 0.3, showcasing a significant attacking surge and defensive solidity. This upward trend in performance, particularly at home where they've won two of their last three, suggests they are hitting a rich vein of form.

Aberdeen

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Livingston	6 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Rangers	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Rangers	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Falkirk	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Hibernian	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Dundee Utd	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Celtic	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Kilmarnock	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Dundee	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Aberdeen's season has been marred by inconsistency, particularly away from home where they have a concerningly high loss rate and struggle significantly in front of goal, averaging less than a goal per game. While their overall season stats show a moderate scoring ability at home, their away form is starkly different. Recent results also paint a bleak picture; they've lost two of their last three overall, conceding over two goals per game in that stretch. Their last outing was particularly poor, a heavy defeat where they failed to score and conceded three.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.6

DRAW

3.9

AWAY

5.5

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.73

UNDER

2.1

BTTS

YES

1.8

1.95

Lineups

Motherwell

(4-2-3-1)

C. Ward

E. Longelo

S. Welsh

P. McGinn

T. Sparrow

E. Watt

O. Priestman

C. Slattery

E. Just

I. Said

T. Maswanhise

K. Nisbet

T. Keskinen

D. Geiger

L. Cameron

T. Olusanya

A. Afeez

M. Frame

T. McIntyre

L. Morrison

A. Jensen

P. Bratveit

Aberdeen

(4-1-4-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Scotland Premiership

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Heart Of Midlothian	19	12	5	2	38	17	21	41	LWWWD
2	Celtic	19	12	2	5	33	18	15	38	LWWLL
3	Rangers	19	9	8	2	27	16	11	35	WWLWW
4	Motherwell	20	8	9	3	28	16	12	33	WLWDW
5	Hibernian	20	8	7	5	33	22	11	31	WWDLW
6	Dundee Utd	20	5	10	5	28	29	-1	25	WDDWD
7	Aberdeen	19	7	4	8	20	23	-3	25	LDLWW
8	Falkirk	19	6	6	7	20	27	-7	24	LWLLD
9	Dundee	20	5	4	11	18	33	-15	19	WWLDL
10	ST Mirren	18	4	6	8	16	24	-8	18	LDWWD
11	Kilmarnock	20	2	7	11	18	35	-17	13	LDLLL
12	Livingston	19	1	6	12	20	39	-19	9	LLLDL

Motherwell vs Aberdeen AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Home Dominance Faces Away Struggles in Premiership

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Motherwell Team recent

Aberdeen Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Injuries / suspensions

League table