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Scotland Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Kilmarnock
Falkirk logo
Falkirk

Match Events

36'
Henry Cartwright
54'
B. Graham
Liam Polworth
61'
Lewis Mayo
90'

Preview

Kilmarnock vs Falkirk: A Statistical Stalemate in the Premiership

This Premiership encounter pits Kilmarnock against Falkirk in a fixture that, statistically, points towards a closely contested affair. Both sides have shown similar struggles in recent form, making it difficult to pick a clear favourite.

This match is likely to be a battle of attrition, with neither side demonstrating a consistent ability to dominate. Kilmarnock's possession numbers are low, suggesting they may adopt a more direct approach when they do have the ball, aiming to exploit spaces quickly. Falkirk, who typically enjoy more possession, might find it difficult to implement their usual build-up play against a potentially compact home defence, especially given their recent dip in attacking form. Expect a midfield tussle where turnovers could be crucial, and neither side will want to overcommit and be caught on the counter.

Team statistics

Scotland Premiership
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Kilmarnock
VS
Falkirk
17
Matches played
17
2 - 6 - 9
Results
5 - 6 - 6
11.8%
Win %
29.4%
1
Goals scored
1.1
1.9
Goals conceded
1.5
3.8
Shots on target
3.9
3.8
Shots off target
3.9
2.8
Blocked shots
3.1
38.4
Ball possession
50.1
69.7
Pass accuracy
75.4
13.1
Fouls
12.6
3
Goalkeeper saves
3.7
2.4
Yellow cards
2.3
0.1
Red cards
0
League averages

Key points

  • • Kilmarnock have lost 9 of their 17 league games this season.
  • • Falkirk concede an average of 1.5 goals per game across the season.
  • • Both teams have only secured one win in their last three respective home and away fixtures.

AI Prediction

The data suggests a highly balanced fixture. Both teams have struggled for wins and consistency, particularly in recent outings. Kilmarnock's home form is poor, while Falkirk's away record is also vulnerable. The odds reflect this tightness, offering little separation. Given the recent scoring droughts and defensive records, a low-scoring draw where both teams find the net once seems the most probable outcome.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    Falkirk AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    20%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    65%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    23%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%

H2H

Premiership
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
11/1/2025
Kilmarnock
L 1 - 3 W
Falkirk
AWAY
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Kilmarnock Team recent

Kilmarnock logo
Kilmarnock
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Aberdeen1 - 2LOYN
HOME
Rangers0 - 3LONY
AWAY
Heart Of Midlothian1 - 1DUYN
HOME
Dundee Utd1 - 1DUYN
HOME
Motherwell1 - 3LOYN
AWAY
Celtic0 - 4LONY
AWAY
Falkirk1 - 3LOYY
HOME
Aberdeen0 - 1LUNY
AWAY
Rangers1 - 3LOYN
HOME
Heart Of Midlothian0 - 3LONN

Kilmarnock's season-long numbers paint a picture of a team that finds it hard to win, with over half of their games ending in defeat. While they generate a decent volume of shots, converting them into goals has been a persistent issue, averaging just one per game. Their home record is particularly concerning, with only one win from nine outings, and they are conceding nearly two goals at Rugby Park. Recent form has done little to inspire confidence, with two losses and a draw in their last three, highlighting defensive frailties and a stark inability to find the net.

Falkirk Team recent

Falkirk logo
Falkirk
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Heart Of Midlothian0 - 2LUNN
AWAY
Hibernian0 - 3LONN
HOME
Motherwell0 - 0DUNY
AWAY
Rangers0 - 0DUNY
AWAY
Dundee Utd3 - 0WONY
HOME
Livingston1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Kilmarnock3 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Celtic0 - 4LONN
HOME
Dundee2 - 1WOYY
AWAY
Motherwell2 - 1WOYN

Falkirk, meanwhile, present a similarly inconsistent profile. Their overall record is marginally better than Kilmarnock's, but they also hover around a 35% win rate, with an equal number of draws and losses. Defensively, they concede more than a goal per game on average, a trend that worsens away from home where they've lost four of eight fixtures. Recent form has also been a struggle, with no wins in their last three, though they have managed to secure a couple of draws. Their attacking output has also dipped significantly in recent weeks.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Kilmarnock
HOME
2.6
DRAW
3.3
Falkirk
AWAY
2.7
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
2
UNDER
1.8
BTTS
YES
1.75
NO
2

Lineups

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

(4-4-1-1)

T. Oluwayemi
D. Thompson
R. Deas
L. Mayo
J. Brown
G. Kiltie
L. Polworth
B. Lyons
T. John-Jules
D. Watson
B. Anderson
B. Graham
C. Miller
D. Tait
K. Wilson
H. Cartwright
B. Spencer
L. McCann
L. Henderson
C. Allan
F. Lissah
S. Bain
Falkirk

Falkirk

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Scotland Premiership
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heart Of Midlothian19125238172141LWWWD
2Celtic19122533181538LWWLL
3Rangers1998227161135WWLWW
4Motherwell2089328161233WLWDW
5Hibernian2087533221131WWDLW
6Dundee Utd2051052829-125WDDWD
7Aberdeen197482023-325LDLWW
8Falkirk196672027-724LWLLD
9Dundee2054111833-1519WWLDL
10ST Mirren184681624-818LDWWD
11Kilmarnock2027111835-1713LDLLL
12Livingston1916122039-199LLLDL
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