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Scotland Premiership
Heart Of Midlothian logo
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk logo
Falkirk

Preview

Hearts vs Falkirk: Home Dominance Meets Falkirk's Away Struggles in Premiership

Heart of Midlothian host Falkirk in a Premiership fixture that pits the league's formidable home record against a Falkirk side that has found away wins hard to come by. Hearts will be looking to continue their impressive home form, while Falkirk aim to stem their defensive frailties on the road.

Hearts are expected to dominate possession, leveraging their higher ball-possession average, particularly at home. They will likely aim to build attacks patiently, exploiting space in wide areas given their corner kick count. Falkirk, on the other hand, might adopt a more defensive posture, looking to absorb pressure and potentially counter. However, their recent tendency to concede multiple goals suggests their compact block could be susceptible to Hearts' consistent attacking threat. The home side's ability to sustain pressure and their superior defensive organisation should give them the edge.

Team statistics

Scotland Premiership
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Heart Of Midlothian
VS
Falkirk
36
Matches played
36
23 - 8 - 5
Results
14 - 7 - 15
63.9%
Win %
38.9%
1.8
Goals scored
1.3
0.9
Goals conceded
1.5
5.2
Shots on target
3.9
5.3
Shots off target
4.9
3.9
Blocked shots
3.5
53.6
Ball possession
51.2
76.2
Pass accuracy
76.8
11.1
Fouls
11.9
2
Goalkeeper saves
3.1
1.9
Yellow cards
2.1
0.1
Red cards
0
League averages

Key points

  • • Heart of Midlothian are undefeated in 18 home league games this season.
  • • Falkirk have lost 8 of their 17 away league matches.
  • • Hearts average 1.9 goals scored at home while conceding only 0.6.

AI Prediction

Heart of Midlothian's exceptional home record, combined with their strong attacking and defensive statistics, makes them clear favourites. Falkirk's struggles away from home, particularly their defensive record, suggest they will find it difficult to contain Hearts. The odds also strongly favour the home side, aligning with the statistical picture. Given Hearts' scoring prowess and Falkirk's recent defensive lapses, an 'over 2.5 goals' outcome and 'both teams to score' seems plausible.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    72%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    75%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    37%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    82%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    88%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    57%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    88%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    50%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    88%
    Heart Of Midlothian HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    50%

H2H

Premiership
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
2/21/2026HOME
Heart Of Midlothian
W 1 - 0 L
Falkirk
UN
1/17/2026HOME
Heart Of Midlothian
D 1 - 1 D
Falkirk
UY
12/13/2025
Heart Of Midlothian
W 2 - 0 L
Falkirk
AWAY
UN
9/27/2025HOME
Heart Of Midlothian
W 3 - 0 L
Falkirk
ON
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Heart Of Midlothian Team recent

Heart Of Midlothian logo
Heart Of Midlothian
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Motherwell1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Rangers2 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Hibernian2 - 1WOYY
HOME
Motherwell3 - 1WOYY
AWAY
Livingston2 - 2DOYY
HOME
Dundee1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Kilmarnock0 - 1LUNY
HOME
Aberdeen1 - 0WUNY
HOME
Falkirk1 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Rangers2 - 4LOYN

Heart of Midlothian have been a fortress at home this season, boasting an undefeated record in 18 league games, securing 14 wins. They average a healthy 1.9 goals per game at home while conceding a mere 0.6, demonstrating a strong offensive capability coupled with defensive solidity. Even their most recent home outing saw them score twice. This consistent home dominance is built on a solid overall season performance, where they've secured over 60% of their points at Tynecastle.

Falkirk Team recent

Falkirk logo
Falkirk
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Hibernian1 - 3LOYY
HOME
Motherwell1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Celtic1 - 3LOYY
HOME
Rangers3 - 6LOYN
AWAY
Motherwell3 - 2WOYN
HOME
ST Mirren1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Aberdeen1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Kilmarnock5 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Heart Of Midlothian0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Dundee Utd2 - 3LOYN

Falkirk's season has been defined by inconsistency, particularly when travelling. They've lost 8 of their 17 away league matches, conceding 1.5 goals per game on average, a stark contrast to their home form. While they managed a draw in their last away fixture, their recent form overall has seen them lose two of their last three matches, conceding a worrying 2 goals per game in that period. Their overall season stats show they concede more than they score, highlighting potential vulnerabilities.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Heart Of Midlothian
HOME
1.44
DRAW
4.75
Falkirk
AWAY
6.5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.67
UNDER
2.2
BTTS
YES
1.91
NO
1.91
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Scotland Premiership
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heart Of Midlothian19125238172141LWWWD
2Celtic19122533181538LWWLL
3Rangers1998227161135WWLWW
4Motherwell2089328161233WLWDW
5Hibernian2087533221131WWDLW
6Dundee Utd2051052829-125WDDWD
7Aberdeen197482023-325LDLWW
8Falkirk196672027-724LWLLD
9Dundee2054111833-1519WWLDL
10ST Mirren184681624-818LDWWD
11Kilmarnock2027111835-1713LDLLL
12Livingston1916122039-199LLLDL
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