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Dundee vs Aberdeen: Relegation Showdown with Form Swings
In a crucial Premiership relegation group fixture, Dundee host Aberdeen in a match where recent form suggests a home advantage, despite the visitors' overall season struggles. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but Dundee's home form and offensive surge in their last outing offer significant promise.
This match feels like a clash of desperate teams with contrasting recent trajectories. Dundee's recent offensive explosion, particularly their performance in the last home game with a high shot count and increased possession, suggests they will aim to impose themselves offensively. Aberdeen, historically struggling away from home, might adopt a more cautious approach, trying to leverage their slightly better recent possession stats to control the ball. However, their poor defensive record away from home, conceding nearly 3 goals in their last 3 away matches, could be exploited by a Dundee side now apparently finding its attacking rhythm.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Dundee's last home game saw them score 3 goals from 16 shots.
- • Aberdeen have lost 67% of their away games this season.
- • Dundee's recent 3-game form shows 2 wins and a significant increase in goals scored.
AI Prediction
Dundee's recent home form, culminating in a dominant win and a surge in attacking statistics, contrasts sharply with Aberdeen's dire away record. While Aberdeen's overall season numbers are slightly better, their recent away performances have been very poor. The odds also suggest a relatively close contest, but Dundee's last outing offers a compelling reason to back them, especially with the expectation that both teams will contribute goals.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U60%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U63%BTTS47%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U70%BTTS60%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U63%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai78% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U60%BTTS53%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U70%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Dundee Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Kilmarnock | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Livingston | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | ST Mirren | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Dundee Utd | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Kilmarnock | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Celtic | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Heart Of Midlothian | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Dundee Utd | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Motherwell | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Hibernian | 3 - 3 | - |
Dundee have endured a tough season overall, reflected in a negative goal difference and more losses than wins. However, their home record shows a respectable ability to pick up points, with more wins than losses at home this campaign. Encouragingly, their last fixture was a dominant 3-0 victory, showcasing a significant upturn in attacking output with 16 shots and 4 on target. This recent offensive spark, coupled with a solid defensive performance in that single game, could signal a late-season surge.
Aberdeen Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | ST Mirren | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Dundee Utd | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Livingston | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Kilmarnock | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Hibernian | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | ST Mirren | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Rangers | 1 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | Falkirk | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Celtic | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Heart Of Midlothian | 0 - 1 | - |
Aberdeen's season has been one of disappointment, with a losing record and a deficit in goals scored and conceded. Their away form is particularly concerning, having lost two-thirds of their away fixtures and scoring less than a goal per game on average. Although they managed a draw in their most recent away match, the underlying statistics from that game show limited attacking threat with only 1 goal from 7 shots. Their overall discipline is also an issue, with a high number of yellow cards per game.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.