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Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: Relegation Battle Heats Up
Aberdeen host Kilmarnock in a crucial Premiership relegation clash. While Aberdeen's home form shows signs of life, Kilmarnock's away struggles are stark, making this a must-win for the visitors.
This fixture pits a home side looking to solidify their position against a struggling away team desperate for points. Aberdeen will likely aim to leverage their slightly better home performance, pushing higher up the pitch and utilizing their superior shot volume. They'll seek to exploit Kilmarnock's porous away defence, which has conceded nearly 2.5 goals per away game on average. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, might adopt a more cautious approach, attempting to frustrate the hosts and hit them on the counter, though their recent away record suggests this strategy has yielded little success. The home side's ability to control possession and create chances will be key.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Aberdeen have won 31.3% of their home games, compared to Kilmarnock's dismal 6.3% away win rate.
- • Kilmarnock have lost 56.3% of their away matches this season.
- • Aberdeen's last home game resulted in a 2-0 victory, while Kilmarnock's last away match was a 3-0 defeat.
AI Prediction
Aberdeen's home advantage and Kilmarnock's dire away form make the hosts the clear favourites. While Kilmarnock have shown fight in recent home games, their away performances are deeply concerning. Aberdeen's recent home win, coupled with their superior overall home scoring record, suggests they have the edge, and with both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities recently, goals at both ends are likely.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x263%O/U57%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U60%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x257%O/U63%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x257%O/U57%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U57%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U50%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U50%BTTS60%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U60%BTTS43%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x260%O/U50%BTTS50%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U53%BTTS40%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U43%BTTS40%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U50%BTTS50%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U53%BTTS43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x257%O/U53%BTTS50%
mimo-v2-flash (id)by xiaomi78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U53%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Aberdeen Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Hibernian | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | ST Mirren | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Rangers | 1 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Falkirk | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Celtic | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Heart Of Midlothian | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Dundee Utd | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Dundee | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Motherwell | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Kilmarnock | 0 - 3 |
Aberdeen's season has been a tale of two halves, with their overall record showing a concerning number of defeats. However, their home form offers a glimmer of hope, as they've secured more wins and conceded fewer goals than on the road. Recent form has been mixed, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three, though their last outing was a dominant 2-0 victory at home. They show a willingness to attack at home, averaging over 1.6 goals, but their defence still lets in more than a goal per game.
Kilmarnock Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Dundee | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Hibernian | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Livingston | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Heart Of Midlothian | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Falkirk | 1 - 5 | |||||
AWAY | Dundee Utd | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Celtic | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | ST Mirren | 4 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Rangers | 1 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Aberdeen | 3 - 0 |
Kilmarnock's overall season record paints a grim picture, with over half their games ending in defeat and a significant deficit in goals scored versus conceded. Their away form is particularly worrying, with a woeful win percentage and a staggering number of losses. Recent performances have not offered much respite; they are on a three-game winless streak, conceding three goals per game on average in that period. Their last away match was a heavy 3-0 defeat, highlighting their defensive frailties on the road where they struggle to find the net.
Odds
Aberdeen
(3-4-1-2)
Kilmarnock
(4-4-2)
