Tottenham vs Newcastle - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Tottenham

Newcastle

Match Events

Pape Matar Sarr

41'

45'

Joe Willock

45'

M. Thiaw

59'

Dan Burn

Djed Spence

62'

A. Gray

64'

Xavi Simons

67'

68'

J. Ramsey

89'

Bruno Guimarães

Preview

Tottenham vs Newcastle: A Tale of Two Struggles in the Premier League

Tottenham host Newcastle in a Premier League clash where both sides are grappling with defensive frailties and inconsistent form. While Newcastle have shown flashes of attacking intent, their recent run has been concerning, and they face a Spurs side desperate to improve their dismal home record.

This fixture pits two teams struggling to impose their will consistently. Tottenham will likely try to use their home possession, aiming to build through the centre or exploit wide areas, but their recent defensive solidity at home has been non-existent. Newcastle, despite their poor run, still possess a more potent away scoring threat on paper and will look to capitalize on Spurs' defensive lapses. Expect a game where both sides attempt to establish control through possession, but the fragility in both defences could lead to a more open encounter than the season-long averages suggest, with transitional moments being critical.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Tottenham

Newcastle

Matches played

7 - 8 - 10

Results

9 - 6 - 10

28%

Win %

36%

1.4

Goals scored

1.4

Goals conceded

1.4

3.9

Shots on target

4.5

4.1

Shots off target

4.6

2.9

Blocked shots

3.8

50.9

Ball possession

53.5

81.4

Pass accuracy

82.5

Fouls

9.3

2.7

Goalkeeper saves

2.7

2.6

Yellow cards

1.5

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Tottenham have lost 50% of their home games this season.
• Newcastle have lost their last three matches in all competitions.
• Both teams have identical overall scoring averages of 1.4 goals per game.

AI Prediction

Both Tottenham and Newcastle are enduring difficult spells, particularly in defence. Spurs' home form is abysmal, while Newcastle's recent results are dire. The odds suggest a tight contest, but the underlying stats point towards goals. Given both sides concede frequently and have similar attacking outputs, a draw with goals at both ends feels like the most logical outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

27%

O/U

50%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Premier League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
12/2/2025	Tottenham	D 2 - 2 D	Newcastle AWAY	O	Y
8/3/2025	HOME Tottenham	D 1 - 1 D	Newcastle	U	Y
1/4/2025	HOME Tottenham	L 1 - 2 W	Newcastle	O	Y
9/1/2024	Tottenham	L 1 - 2 W	Newcastle AWAY	O	Y
5/22/2024	Tottenham	D 1 - 1 D	Newcastle AWAY	U	Y
4/13/2024	Tottenham	L 0 - 4 W	Newcastle AWAY	O	N
12/10/2023	HOME Tottenham	W 4 - 1 L	Newcastle	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Tottenham

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Manchester United	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Manchester City	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Burnley	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	West Ham	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Bournemouth	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Sunderland	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Brentford	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Crystal Palace	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Liverpool	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Nottingham Forest	0 - 3	L	O	N	N

Tottenham's season has been a story of stark contrasts, particularly at home. Despite an overall average of 1.4 goals scored, their home record paints a grim picture, with a meagre 1.3 goals per game and a worrying 50% of matches ending in defeat. They've struggled to convert their home possession into wins, and their recent form shows no signs of immediate recovery, with two draws and a loss in their last three home fixtures, conceding two or more in each. The last outing was particularly poor, a red card and a 0-2 defeat where they were thoroughly outplayed.

Newcastle

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Brentford	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Liverpool	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Aston Villa	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Wolves	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Leeds	4 - 3	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Crystal Palace	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Burnley	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Manchester United	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Chelsea	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Sunderland	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y

Newcastle arrive at Tottenham with a similarly worrying trend, having lost three on the bounce across all competitions. Their overall scoring average is identical to Spurs at 1.4, but their away form is equally concerning, managing only 0.9 goals per game and losing half of their away fixtures. While they possess a strong overall possession game and generate a decent number of shots, their recent performances have seen them concede more goals than they score, and their last match was a clear defensive breakdown, conceding three goals.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

3.1

DRAW

3.6

AWAY

2.15

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.62

UNDER

2.3

BTTS

YES

1.53

2.38

Lineups

Tottenham

(4-3-3)

G. Vicario

D. Spence

M. van de Ven

R. Dragusin

A. Gray

P. M. Sarr

Y. Bissouma

C. Gallagher

X. Simons

D. Solanke

W. Odobert

H. Barnes

A. Gordon

A. Elanga

J. Ramsey

Bruno Guimaraes

J. Willock

D. Burn

S. Botman

M. Thiaw

K. Trippier

N. Pope

Newcastle

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Tottenham

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
R. Bentancur	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
L. Bergvall	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 3
K. Danso	Toe Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
B. Davies	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
M. Kudus	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 5
D. Kulusevski	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Maddison	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
P. Porro	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 2
Richarlison	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	11 / 4
C. Romero	Red Card	Missing Fixture	4 / 1
D. Udogie	Muscle Injury	Questionable	0 / 1
D. Spence	Calf Injury	Questionable	0 / 0

Newcastle

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
Joelinton	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 1
E. Krafth	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
V. Livramento	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
F. Schar	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Gordon	Thigh Injury	Questionable	6 / 2
L. Miley	Knee Injury	Questionable	1 / 4

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Tottenham vs Newcastle AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Tottenham vs Newcastle: A Tale of Two Struggles in the Premier League

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Tottenham Team recent

Newcastle Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Tottenham

Newcastle

Injuries / suspensions

Tottenham Injuries / suspensions

Newcastle Injuries / suspensions

League table