Sunderland vs Newcastle - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Sunderland

Newcastle

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

Brian Brobbey

27'

Nordi Mukiele

34'

N. Woltemade

46'

57'

Sandro Tonali

Reinildo Mandava

58'

Enzo Le Fée

86'

Wilson Isidor

90'

Malick Thiaw

90'

Joe Willock

90'

Bruno Guimarães

Preview

Sunderland vs Newcastle: Black Cats' Home Strength Tested by Improving Magpies

Sunderland host Newcastle in a Premier League clash where the home side's formidable home record faces a stern examination from a Magpies outfit showing recent signs of resurgence. Expect a competitive encounter, though recent trends suggest a slight edge for the visitors.

This match pits Sunderland's impressive home scoring record against Newcastle's recent attacking surge. The home side typically operates with a slightly lower possession share, relying on their ability to generate chances in front of their own fans. Newcastle, conversely, prefer to dominate possession and create overloads, especially evident in their recent matches where they averaged over 50% ball possession and a high number of shots. Expect Sunderland to be compact defensively when out of possession, looking to transition quickly, while Newcastle will aim to stretch the home defence with their wider attacking play and patient build-up.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Sunderland

Newcastle

Matches played

6 - 5 - 4

Results

6 - 4 - 5

40%

Win %

40%

1.2

Goals scored

1.4

1.1

Goals conceded

1.3

Shots on target

4.5

3.8

Shots off target

4.4

2.8

Blocked shots

3.7

Ball possession

51.3

78.2

Pass accuracy

81.7

9.8

Fouls

3.5

Goalkeeper saves

2.9

1.9

Yellow cards

1.1

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Sunderland remain unbeaten at home this season, scoring on average two goals per game on their own turf.
• Newcastle have won two of their last three matches, scoring an average of 2.7 goals during this period.
• Both teams have a 40% win rate across the season, but Newcastle's recent form suggests a stronger current trajectory.

AI Prediction

Newcastle's recent upturn in form, particularly their potent attack, combined with their slightly better overall goal-scoring record, gives them an edge. While Sunderland are formidable at home, their recent defensive fragility and the visitors' impressive recent offensive output suggest goals are likely at both ends. The odds also favour a narrow visitor victory, aligning with this assessment.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

33%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

53%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

63%

O/U

57%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

37%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

72%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

63%

O/U

47%

BTTS

33%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

47%

BTTS

40%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

47%

BTTS

23%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

75%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

33%

BTTS

40%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

37%

BTTS

33%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

33%

BTTS

37%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

50%

BTTS

60%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

78%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

53%

BTTS

63%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

23%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

72%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

63%

BTTS

63%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%

H2H

Premier League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
1/6/2024	HOME Sunderland	L 0 - 3 W	Newcastle	O	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Sunderland

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Manchester City	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
AWAY	Liverpool	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Bournemouth	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Fulham	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Arsenal	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Everton	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Chelsea	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Wolves	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Manchester United	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Nottingham Forest	1 - 0	W	U	N	N

Sunderland have built a solid reputation at the Stadium of Light this season, remaining unbeaten across their seven home fixtures. They average a healthy two goals per game on their own turf, a stark contrast to their struggles on the road. While their overall season form shows a 40% win rate, their recent three-game spell has been more inconsistent, with only one win and a concerning increase in goals conceded. The last outing at home was a dominant 3-2 victory, showcasing attacking intent, but it also highlighted a defence that can be breached.

Newcastle

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Burnley	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Tottenham	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Everton	4 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Manchester City	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Brentford	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	West Ham	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Fulham	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Brighton	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Nottingham Forest	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Arsenal	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y

Newcastle present a mixed picture, mirroring Sunderland's 40% win rate across the season but with a more even split between home and away performance. Their recent form, however, is much more encouraging, boasting two wins and a draw in their last three matches, scoring an impressive 2.7 goals per game. This attacking verve was underlined by a comprehensive 4-2 victory in their most recent outing. Despite a weaker away record overall, their last away match saw them score four, indicating they can find the net on the road.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

3.5

DRAW

3.4

AWAY

2.1

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

UNDER

1.8

BTTS

YES

1.8

1.95

Lineups

Sunderland

(4-2-3-1)

R. Roefs

R. Mandava

O. Alderete

D. Ballard

N. Mukiele

N. Sadiki

G. Xhaka

C. Talbi

E. Le Fee

B. Traore

B. Brobbey

A. Gordon

N. Woltemade

A. Elanga

L. Miley

S. Tonali

Bruno Guimaraes

L. Hall

D. Burn

M. Thiaw

V. Livramento

A. Ramsdale

Newcastle

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Sunderland

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Alese	Shoulder Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
H. Diarra	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 1
L. O'Nien	Red Card	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
R. Mandava	Muscle Injury	Questionable	0 / 1

Newcastle

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
S. Botman	Lower Back Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
E. Krafth	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
W. Osula	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	5 / 0
K. Trippier	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
Joelinton	Injury	Questionable	2 / 1
N. Pope	Muscle Injury	Questionable	0 / 0

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Sunderland vs Newcastle AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Sunderland vs Newcastle: Black Cats' Home Strength Tested by Improving Magpies

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Sunderland Team recent

Newcastle Team recent

Odds

Sunderland

Newcastle

Injuries / suspensions

Sunderland Injuries / suspensions

Newcastle Injuries / suspensions

League table