Sunderland vs Leeds - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Sunderland

Leeds

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

S. Adingra

28'

47'

D. Calvert-Lewin

Trai Hume

61'

Preview

Sunderland vs Leeds: Contrasting Fortunes at the Stadium of Light

Sunderland host Leeds in a Premier League clash that pits the Black Cats' formidable home record against Leeds's struggles on the road. While Leeds have shown attacking promise recently, their defensive frailties away from home could be their undoing against a Sunderland side that rarely drops points on their own turf.

This fixture sets up an interesting tactical battle. Sunderland will likely aim to leverage their strong home form, pushing to establish an early rhythm and utilize their attacking prowess. Leeds, despite their struggles away, have shown an ability to create chances and score goals, particularly in their most recent outing where they netted four. The visitors might look to exploit any spaces Sunderland leave behind as they push forward. However, Leeds's defensive fragility on the road suggests they could be vulnerable to Sunderland's efficient home scoring, potentially leading to a game where the hosts try to control proceedings through sustained pressure in attacking areas.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Sunderland

Leeds

Matches played

7 - 6 - 4

Results

5 - 4 - 8

41.2%

Win %

29.4%

1.1

Goals scored

1.4

Goals conceded

1.8

3.1

Shots on target

4.1

3.7

Shots off target

5.5

2.8

Blocked shots

3.5

42.4

Ball possession

46.3

Pass accuracy

80.4

10.1

Fouls

10.4

3.5

Goalkeeper saves

2.4

2.1

Yellow cards

1.6

0.1

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Sunderland are yet to lose a home game this season, winning 62.5% of their matches.
• Leeds have lost 75% of their away league fixtures.
• Leeds's average goals conceded away from home stands at a high 2.4 per game.

AI Prediction

Sunderland's unbeaten home record and strong scoring average at the Stadium of Light are compelling factors against a Leeds side that has been woeful on their travels. While Leeds's recent form has shown an uptick in scoring, their away defensive record is a significant concern. The odds slightly favour the home side, aligning with the statistical disparity, and suggest a game with potential for goals at both ends.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

63%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

73%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

60%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

67%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

50%

BTTS

63%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

57%

BTTS

70%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

37%

BTTS

40%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

57%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

57%

BTTS

53%

H2H

Premier League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
2/17/2025	Sunderland	L 1 - 2 W	Leeds AWAY	O	Y
10/4/2024	HOME Sunderland	D 2 - 2 D	Leeds	O	Y
4/9/2024	Sunderland	D 0 - 0 D	Leeds AWAY	U	N
12/12/2023	HOME Sunderland	W 1 - 0 L	Leeds	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Sunderland

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Brighton	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Newcastle	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Manchester City	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
AWAY	Liverpool	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Bournemouth	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Fulham	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Arsenal	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Everton	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Chelsea	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Wolves	2 - 0	W	U	N	N

Sunderland have built a fortress at the Stadium of Light this season, remaining unbeaten in eight home games. They average nearly two goals per game at home, showcasing a potent attack that has been well-supported by the fans. Despite their overall possession figures being below average, they've managed to convert chances effectively in front of their supporters. Recent form has seen an uptick in scoring, with two wins and a draw in their last three home fixtures, suggesting they're hitting a strong stride at a critical juncture of the season.

Leeds

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Crystal Palace	4 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Brentford	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Liverpool	3 - 3	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Chelsea	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Manchester City	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Aston Villa	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Nottingham Forest	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Brighton	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
HOME	West Ham	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Burnley	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y

Leeds United present a starkly different picture when travelling. Their away record is a cause for concern, with a dismal one win and six losses from eight matches. Conceding an average of 2.4 goals away from home highlights significant defensive vulnerabilities. Although their overall statistics show a decent scoring rate and a competitive number of shots, these haven't consistently translated into positive results on the road. Recent form shows them unbeaten in three overall, but this includes two draws and a last-match win, with their away form in that small sample still looking shaky.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.7

DRAW

3.2

AWAY

2.7

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.38

UNDER

1.57

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Sunderland

(4-2-3-1)

R. Roefs

D. Cirkin

O. Alderete

N. Mukiele

T. Hume

L. Geertruida

G. Xhaka

S. Adingra

E. Le Fee

C. Rigg

B. Brobbey

N. Okafor

D. Calvert-Lewin

G. Gudmundsson

A. Stach

E. Ampadu

B. Aaronson

J. Bogle

P. Struijk

J. Bijol

J. Rodon

Lucas Perri

Leeds

(3-5-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Sunderland

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Alese	Shoulder Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
H. Diarra	International duty	Missing Fixture	2 / 1
R. Mandava	International duty	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
A. Masuaku	International duty	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
L. O'Nien	Red Card	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
N. Sadiki	International duty	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
C. Talbi	International duty	Missing Fixture	4 / 1
B. Traore	International duty	Missing Fixture	1 / 0

Leeds

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
D. James	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
S. Longstaff	Calf Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
L. Nmecha	Thigh Injury	Questionable	6 / 1

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Sunderland vs Leeds AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Sunderland vs Leeds: Contrasting Fortunes at the Stadium of Light

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Sunderland Team recent

Leeds Team recent

Odds

Sunderland

Leeds

Injuries / suspensions

Sunderland Injuries / suspensions

Leeds Injuries / suspensions

League table