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Sunderland vs Chelsea: Final Day Premier League Showdown
With the season concluding, Sunderland host Chelsea in a Premier League fixture that offers little in terms of league position stakes but could still provide an entertaining contest. While Chelsea have held the edge statistically throughout the campaign, Sunderland's recent home form suggests they could make this a challenging afternoon for the visitors.
This fixture pits Chelsea's possession-based approach against Sunderland's more direct, home-focused style. The visitors typically look to build play through patient passing, leveraging their superior ball retention. Sunderland, especially at home, have shown a tendency to be more aggressive in their final third recently, evidenced by higher shot counts in their last few home matches, even if the last outing was a blank. Chelsea's recent defensive frailties, conceding 1.7 goals per game over their last three, might offer Sunderland opportunities to exploit the spaces behind their advancing midfielders.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Chelsea average 1.5 goals per game overall, compared to Sunderland's 1.1.
- • Sunderland's home record shows a slight positive goal difference (1.3 scored vs 1.1 conceded).
- • Both teams have had inconsistent recent form, with only one win in their last three matches overall.
AI Prediction
Chelsea's overall season stats and away form offer a slight statistical advantage, and the odds also favour them. Despite Sunderland's decent home record and recent encouraging performances, Chelsea's superior scoring average and possession game should eventually find a way through. Both teams have shown enough attacking intent and defensive lapses recently to suggest goals at both ends.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U43%BTTS53%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U57%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U70%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U60%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U63%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U50%BTTS40%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS47%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U57%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
Sunderland Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Everton | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Manchester United | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Wolves | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 5 | |||||
AWAY | Aston Villa | 3 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Tottenham | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Newcastle | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Brighton | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Leeds | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bournemouth | 1 - 1 |
Sunderland have endured a mixed season, finishing strongly at home despite a somewhat inconsistent overall campaign. Their home record shows a slight edge in wins over losses, and they've managed to score more goals than they concede on their own patch. Recent form at home has been particularly encouraging, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three, but the last fixture saw them fail to score despite a high shot count. They've shown more possession and passing accuracy in recent home outings, suggesting a desire to play with the ball.
Chelsea Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Tottenham | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Liverpool | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Brighton | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Manchester United | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Manchester City | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Everton | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Newcastle | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Aston Villa | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Arsenal | 1 - 2 |
Chelsea have had a typical season, hovering around the European qualification spots with a slight tendency towards more wins than losses overall. Their away form has been respectable, with more wins than defeats on the road, and they have a positive goal difference. However, their most recent performances have been concerning, mirroring Sunderland's inconsistency with a loss, a draw, and a win in their last three. Despite this, they still average a good number of shots and boast superior passing stats and ball possession across the season.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
