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Newcastle vs West Ham: Hosts Seeking Home Advantage in Final Premier League Fixture
Newcastle host West Ham on the final day of the Premier League season. The Magpies have shown strong home form recently, while West Ham's away record is less convincing, suggesting a potential home victory.
Newcastle, particularly at home, will likely look to leverage their attacking capabilities and maintain a higher tempo. They average more shots on goal and possess a more accurate passing game overall. West Ham's away record suggests they are more comfortable playing on the counter, but their recent struggles in scoring and conceding heavily on the road may force them into a more defensive posture. The home side's ability to generate chances through wider play, indicated by their corner kick count, could be a key factor, while West Ham's high foul count on the road might disrupt their defensive shape.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Newcastle average 1.8 goals per game at home this season.
- • West Ham have lost 50% of their away matches this season.
- • Newcastle's last home game saw them score 3 goals.
AI Prediction
Newcastle's strong home record, especially their recent offensive output at St. James' Park, contrasts sharply with West Ham's poor away form and recent goal-scoring drought. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the statistical picture. Despite Newcastle's overall inconsistent season, their home advantage and West Ham's struggles on the road make a home win the most logical outcome. Both teams have shown they can concede, suggesting goals at both ends are likely.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon75% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U63%BTTS47%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama82% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U70%BTTS60%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U63%BTTS57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai75% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS53%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai82% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U70%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Newcastle Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Brighton | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Arsenal | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bournemouth | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Crystal Palace | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Sunderland | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Chelsea | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Manchester United | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Everton | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Manchester City | 1 - 2 |
Newcastle have endured a mixed season overall, with their overall goal difference suggesting they've been neither spectacular in attack nor defensively solid. However, their home form presents a much brighter picture, averaging almost two goals per game and securing wins in half of their home fixtures. Recent home form, while showing a dip in draws, highlights an ability to score, netting 1.7 goals in their last three home games, though their defence has also conceded at the same rate. Their last outing was a dominant 3-1 home win, showcasing attacking intent, though possession was unusually low.
West Ham Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Arsenal | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Brentford | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Everton | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Crystal Palace | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Wolves | 4 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Aston Villa | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Manchester City | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Fulham | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Liverpool | 2 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Bournemouth | 0 - 0 |
West Ham's season has been characterized by inconsistency, with a negative goal difference reflecting struggles at both ends. Their away form mirrors this general trend, with losses outnumbering wins and draws, and they concede more goals on the road than they score. Recent away form has been particularly concerning, failing to win any of their last three away matches and struggling to find the net, scoring only seven goals across these games. Their last match was a disappointing 0-3 home defeat, where they barely registered on the score sheet and conceded frequently.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.