Newcastle vs Everton - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Newcastle

Everton

Match Events

19'

J. Branthwaite

J. Ramsey

32'

34'

Beto

53'

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

Joe Willock

61'

67'

James Garner

J. Murphy

82'

83'

T. Barry

Dan Burn

88'

Lewis Hall

90'

Thierno Barry

Preview

Newcastle vs Everton: Magpies Seek Home Advantage Against Resurgent Toffees

Newcastle United host Everton in the Premier League, with the Magpies looking to leverage their home form despite recent struggles. The Toffees arrive on a strong recent run, but face a stern test away from home where their record is less convincing.

This fixture pits Newcastle's desire to control possession and build from the back, as suggested by their higher ball possession stats, against an Everton side that has recently found success through sharper attacking play and a more compact approach away from home. The Magpies will likely try to utilise their wider attacking threat, indicated by their high corner count, aiming to break down the visitors. However, Everton's recent surge suggests they are capable of exploiting transitional moments, and given Newcastle's defensive vulnerabilities in recent home games, the visitors might find opportunities to strike.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Newcastle

Everton

Matches played

10 - 6 - 11

Results

10 - 7 - 10

37%

Win %

37%

1.4

Goals scored

1.1

1.4

Goals conceded

1.1

4.6

Shots on target

3.3

4.6

Shots off target

4.2

Blocked shots

3.5

52.9

Ball possession

44.1

82.4

Pass accuracy

79.1

9.5

Fouls

10.7

2.7

Goalkeeper saves

2.7

1.7

Yellow cards

1.9

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Newcastle averages 1.8 goals per game at home this season, compared to Everton's 1 goal per game away.
• Everton have won two of their last three matches, scoring 1.3 goals per game in that period.
• Newcastle's last home game saw them concede 3 goals, despite a higher shot count.

AI Prediction

Newcastle's home record and overall offensive capability, combined with Everton's recent upturn and strong away form, suggest a competitive encounter. The odds favour the hosts, and while Everton's recent form is impressive, Newcastle's ability to create chances at home, evidenced by their shot volume, should give them the edge. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities defensively recently, making goals for both sides likely.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

72%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

30%

O/U

57%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

53%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%

H2H

Premier League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/29/2025	Newcastle	W 4 - 1 L	Everton AWAY	O	Y
5/25/2025	HOME Newcastle	L 0 - 1 W	Everton	U	N
10/5/2024	Newcastle	D 0 - 0 D	Everton AWAY	U	N
4/2/2024	HOME Newcastle	D 1 - 1 D	Everton	U	Y
12/7/2023	Newcastle	L 0 - 3 W	Everton AWAY	O	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Newcastle

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Manchester City	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Tottenham	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Brentford	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Liverpool	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Aston Villa	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Wolves	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	Leeds	4 - 3	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Crystal Palace	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Burnley	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Manchester United	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y

Newcastle United have shown a decent, if uneven, campaign overall, scoring around 1.4 goals per game and conceding the same. Their home form is more encouraging, with a higher scoring average of 1.8 and a respectable win percentage. However, recent results paint a concerning picture; they've lost two of their last three matches, conceding heavily at home against opponents they would expect to beat. Despite this dip, they still possess a potent attacking threat, averaging over 16 shots in their last three games, though their defence has appeared fragile.

Everton

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Manchester United	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Bournemouth	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Fulham	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Brighton	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Leeds	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Aston Villa	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Wolves	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Brentford	2 - 4	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Nottingham Forest	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Burnley	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y

Everton present a curious case. Their overall season statistics are remarkably balanced, with an identical goals scored and conceded average of 1.1 per game. Crucially, their away form has been a significant strength, defying their overall win record with a healthy 46.2% win rate on the road, while conceding less than a goal per game. This contrasts sharply with their recent form, which has seen them pick up two wins and a draw in their last three, scoring more freely and tightening up defensively. Their last outing, a 2-1 win, showcased an attacking edge they'll need to replicate.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.75

DRAW

3.9

AWAY

4.33

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.73

UNDER

2.1

BTTS

YES

1.7

2.05

Lineups

Newcastle

(4-2-3-1)

N. Pope

L. Hall

D. Burn

M. Thiaw

K. Trippier

S. Tonali

J. Ramsey

Joelinton

N. Woltemade

A. Elanga

A. Gordon

Beto

I. Ndiaye

K. Dewsbury-Hall

D. McNeil

I. Gueye

J. Garner

V. Mykolenko

J. Branthwaite

J. Tarkowski

J. O'Brien

J. Pickford

Everton

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Newcastle

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
Bruno Guimaraes	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
E. Krafth	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
V. Livramento	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
L. Miley	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
F. Schar	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -

Everton

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
C. Alcaraz	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Grealish	Foot Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Travers	Finger Injury	Questionable	- / -

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Newcastle vs Everton AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Newcastle vs Everton: Magpies Seek Home Advantage Against Resurgent Toffees

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Newcastle Team recent

Everton Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Newcastle

Everton

Injuries / suspensions

Newcastle Injuries / suspensions

Everton Injuries / suspensions

League table