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Newcastle vs Crystal Palace: Magpies Aim to Leverage Home Advantage
Newcastle United host Crystal Palace in the Premier League, with the Magpies looking to build on their solid home record against a Crystal Palace side that has found significant success on the road. This fixture could see Newcastle attempt to control possession and create chances, while Palace will hope to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities.
Newcastle will likely look to assert their dominance through possession-based football, aiming to build attacks patiently and exploit the wider areas, as indicated by their higher corner count. Their ability to generate shots on goal suggests they can break down compact defences. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, have shown they can be effective on the counter-attack away from home, but their recent struggles and the last result may force a more cautious approach. The home side's higher average shots and possession figures suggest they'll try to tilt the flow of play their way, while Palace might seek to absorb pressure and strike quickly, though their recent offensive output is a concern.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Newcastle averages 1.8 goals per home game, significantly higher than their overall average.
- • Crystal Palace has won 55.6% of their away matches this season.
- • Newcastle's last match saw them score 3 goals from 20 shots, indicating strong recent attacking form.
AI Prediction
Newcastle's strong home scoring record and their recent attacking surge, particularly in their latest fixture, give them a clear edge. While Crystal Palace have a surprisingly robust away record, their recent dip in form and defensive vulnerabilities in their last outing, combined with Newcastle's overall statistical advantage at home, points towards a home victory. The odds favour the hosts, aligning with this statistical assessment, and the potential for both teams to score makes it a more open affair.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U63%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U70%BTTS63%
H2H
Team recent
Newcastle Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Burnley | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Manchester United | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Chelsea | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Sunderland | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Burnley | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Tottenham | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Everton | 4 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Manchester City | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Brentford | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | West Ham | 1 - 3 |
Newcastle United have established a respectable home record this season, securing more than half of their victories on familiar turf. While their overall scoring average hovers around 1.4 goals per game, this figure jumps to 1.8 when playing at home, suggesting an offensive uplift in front of their own supporters. Despite drawing the last two home matches, they remain a formidable proposition, consistently generating a high volume of shots and corners. Their recent form shows an uptick in attacking output, with the last outing yielding a dominant three goals from 20 shots, hinting at their potential to overwhelm opponents when clicking.
Crystal Palace Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Fulham | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Tottenham | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Leeds | 1 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Manchester City | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Fulham | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Burnley | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Manchester United | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Wolves | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Brighton | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Brentford | 2 - 0 |
Crystal Palace present an interesting paradox: their away form is considerably stronger than their home record, boasting a winning percentage well over 50% on the road compared to just 20% at home. They average a respectable 1.3 goals away from home and have been defensively tighter, conceding just one goal per away fixture on average. However, their overall recent form has been concerning, with two losses in their last three games and a significant drop in scoring ability, managing only 0.7 goals per match in that period. Their last away match ended in a heavy defeat, conceding four goals, which casts some doubt on their defensive solidity.
Odds
Lineups
Newcastle
(4-3-3)
Crystal Palace
(3-4-2-1)
Injuries / suspensions
Newcastle Injuries / suspensions
Crystal Palace Injuries / suspensions
