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Leeds vs Crystal Palace: A Tale of Two Forms in the Premier League
Leeds United host Crystal Palace in a Premier League fixture that pits the home side's recent uplift against the visitors' formidable away form. While Leeds have shown signs of life in their last three outings, Crystal Palace have been remarkably consistent on the road, setting up a fascinating tactical battle.
This encounter pits Leeds' recent attacking resurgence, particularly evident in their increased shot volume and goal output in the last three games, against Crystal Palace's stingy away defence. Expect Leeds to try and build from the back with patient possession, but their average possession figures suggest they'll struggle to dominate the ball against Palace. The visitors, while having lower possession stats overall, have shown an ability to be clinical on the counter-attack and exploit spaces. Leeds' high yellow card count at home in recent matches could also be a factor, potentially disrupting their rhythm and giving Palace opportunities from set pieces.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Crystal Palace have won 62.5% of their away games this season, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.
- • Leeds United have averaged 2.3 goals scored in their last three matches, a significant increase from their season average.
- • The odds suggest a close game, with minimal separation between the home and away win probabilities.
AI Prediction
While Crystal Palace's away form is exceptional, Leeds have shown a significant improvement in their last three games, particularly offensively. The odds suggest a tight contest, and given both teams' recent scoring trends and the defensive records, a match with goals at both ends seems likely. The draw therefore appears to be the most balanced outcome, reflecting Leeds' home advantage and recent form against Palace's superior away record.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U47%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google65%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U50%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U57%BTTS60%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U57%BTTS63%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama75%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U43%BTTS60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U67%BTTS70%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft78%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U53%BTTS43%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai70%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U60%BTTS63%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U57%BTTS63%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen80%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai70%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U67%BTTS63%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U50%BTTS63%
H2H
Team recent
Leeds Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Brentford | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Liverpool | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Chelsea | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Manchester City | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Aston Villa | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Brighton | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | West Ham | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Burnley | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Tottenham | 1 - 2 |
Leeds United have endured a difficult season overall, struggling for consistency and often finding themselves on the wrong side of results, particularly at home where they've lost a quarter of their games. However, a recent upturn in form, evidenced by an unbeaten streak in their last three matches, suggests a potential shift. Their scoring average has notably increased in this period, though their defensive frailties persist, conceding nearly two goals per home game on average over the season. The last outing was a 3-3 draw, indicating a willingness to push forward but also a continued vulnerability at the back.
Crystal Palace Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Manchester City | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Fulham | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Burnley | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Manchester United | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Wolves | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Brighton | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Brentford | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Arsenal | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bournemouth | 3 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Everton | 1 - 2 |
Crystal Palace present a stark contrast in recent fortunes. While their overall season record is respectable, their away form has been particularly potent, boasting a win rate of over 60% on the road. They've managed to score more goals away than they concede, a significant achievement. Their last three matches have been overwhelmingly positive, with three consecutive wins and a much-improved attacking output, scoring 1.7 goals per game. Their most recent fixture saw them secure a 2-1 victory, continuing their impressive run and demonstrating a solid defensive structure that has conceded very few goals away from home.
Odds
Leeds
(3-5-2)
Crystal Palace
(3-4-2-1)
Injuries / suspensions
Leeds Injuries / suspensions
Crystal Palace Injuries / suspensions
