Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Preview
El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla: Relegation Battle Tightens
This crucial Premier League relegation group clash sees El Geish host Ghazl El Mehalla. Both sides are coming off draws in their last outing, but Ghazl El Mehalla have shown more attacking spark recently, while El Geish have struggled to find the net.
El Geish have endured a difficult season, reflected in their low scoring average of just 0.6 goals per game overall. While they possess the ball for over 51% of the time, this possession often doesn't translate into clear chances, with only 3 shots on target per game on average. Their home form shows a slight improvement, scoring 0.8 goals, but they've still lost 5 of their 13 home fixtures. Recent form is a concern; they are winless in their last three, managing only 0.3 goals per game, and are coming off a 1-2 home defeat where they failed to score.
Ghazl El Mehalla present a curious case. Their overall season record is not spectacular, but they are incredibly hard to beat, with a staggering 67.9% of their games ending in a draw. Their away form is also characterized by draws, with 80% of their home games finishing level. Recent form, however, shows a different story: they've drawn their last three matches, but their away form in that period has seen them score 1.7 goals per game, a significant uptick from their season average. Their last match was a 1-1 draw away from home, where they registered a respectable 5 shots on target.
This fixture is likely to be a battle of contrasting recent trends. El Geish, despite their possession statistics, have struggled to convert that into goals, suggesting a potential difficulty in breaking down a resilient Ghazl El Mehalla defence. The visitors, on the other hand, have found some attacking impetus in their recent away games, which might see them looking to exploit El Geish’s defensive frailties. Expect El Geish to try and build patiently from the back, but Ghazl El Mehalla’s recent uptick in attacking output could mean they are more direct when opportunities arise, perhaps looking to exploit wide channels.
Ghazl El Mehalla's remarkable draw record, particularly their recent streak of draws and improved away scoring, makes them a tough opponent. El Geish's inability to consistently score, despite their possession, suggests they will struggle to break them down. The odds also point to a tight affair with a slight lean towards the hosts. Both teams have shown some ability to score recently, making BTTS a possibility, but the overall low scoring nature of El Geish makes the under 2.5 goals the more appealing prospect.
Key points
- Ghazl El Mehalla have drawn 67.9% of their matches this season.
- El Geish average just 0.6 goals per game across the season.
- Ghazl El Mehalla have scored 1.7 goals per game in their last 3 away matches.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
AI Prediction
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U53%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U47%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U57%BTTS47%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U47%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U67%BTTS63%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U63%BTTS73%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS63%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U40%BTTS40%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U43%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
El Geish Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Haras El Hodood | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Future FC | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Kahraba Ismailia | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | El Mokawloon | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Petrojet | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | National Bank of Egypt | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Ismaily SC | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Masr | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Al Ahly | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Petrojet | 2 - 1 | - |
Ghazl El Mehalla Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Ismaily SC | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | El Mokawloon | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Petrojet | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Kahraba Ismailia | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Wadi Degla | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | El Gouna FC | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Pharco | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | National Bank of Egypt | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Pharco | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Al Ittihad | 0 - 2 | - |
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
