Chelsea vs Burnley - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Chelsea

Burnley

Match Events

-5'

Josh Laurent

Joao Pedro

30'

Hannibal Mejbri

Wesley Fofana

34'

Wesley Fofana

72'

Wesley Fofana

72'

Jorrel Hato

90'

Robert Sánchez

90'

Z. Flemming

Preview

Chelsea vs Burnley: Stamford Bridge Test for Struggling Clarets

Chelsea host Burnley in the Premier League, with the home side seeking to build on recent momentum against a Clarets outfit that has found life tough on the road this season. Expect Chelsea to dominate possession and create numerous chances, while Burnley will likely focus on defensive solidity and quick transitions.

This fixture is likely to be a classic case of possession dominance versus a deep defensive block. Chelsea, with their superior ball retention and attacking output, will aim to play on the front foot, utilizing their wider areas to stretch Burnley's defense. The Clarets, on the other hand, will probably adopt a compact shape, hoping to frustrate Chelsea and hit them on the counter-attack. However, Burnley's poor away defensive record and Chelsea's recent attacking surge suggest the home side will dictate the flow and create sustained pressure.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Chelsea

Burnley

Matches played

12 - 8 - 6

Results

4 - 6 - 16

46.2%

Win %

15.4%

1.8

Goals scored

1.1

1.2

Goals conceded

4.8

Shots on target

2.9

4.7

Shots off target

3.1

4.2

Blocked shots

58.4

Ball possession

41.3

86.4

Pass accuracy

76.5

Fouls

9.8

2.6

Goalkeeper saves

3.8

2.4

Yellow cards

1.7

0.2

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Chelsea average 1.7 goals at home this season, while Burnley concede 2.5 goals per away game.
• Burnley have lost 69.2% of their away league matches this season.
• Chelsea's recent form shows an uptick in scoring, netting 2.7 goals per game in their last three.

AI Prediction

Chelsea's overall and recent form, combined with their strong home statistics, makes them heavy favourites. Burnley's woeful away record and defensive struggles suggest they will find it extremely difficult to contain the home side's potent attack. The odds reflect this, with Chelsea heavily backed. Given Chelsea's scoring potential and Burnley's tendency to concede, an over 2.5 goals bet looks appealing, and with Burnley capable of snatching a goal, BTTS 'yes' also presents value.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

88%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Premier League H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/22/2025	Chelsea	W 2 - 0 L	Burnley HOME	U	N
3/30/2024	HOME Chelsea	D 2 - 2 D	Burnley	O	Y
10/7/2023	Chelsea	W 4 - 1 L	Burnley HOME	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Chelsea

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Leeds	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Wolves	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	West Ham	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Crystal Palace	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Brentford	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Fulham	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Manchester City	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Bournemouth	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Aston Villa	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Newcastle	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N

Chelsea have established themselves as a strong Premier League force this season, averaging nearly two goals per game and conceding just over one. Their home form is solid, mirroring their overall record with a similar scoring and conceding rate. Recent results, however, show an upturn, with an unbeaten streak and a significant increase in goals scored and shots generated over their last three outings. Their last fixture was a draw, but the volume of chances created suggests they are building attacking momentum.

Burnley

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Crystal Palace	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	West Ham	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Sunderland	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Tottenham	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Liverpool	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Manchester United	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Brighton	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Newcastle	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Everton	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Bournemouth	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N

Burnley face a daunting trip to Stamford Bridge, burdened by a dismal away record that has seen them lose nine of their thirteen away league games. Their overall statistics paint a picture of a team struggling for results, with a low goals scored average and a concerning number of goals conceded. While their recent form has seen a slight uptick in scoring, their defensive frailties, particularly away from home, remain a significant concern, as evidenced by their high concession rate on the road.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.22

DRAW

6.5

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.44

UNDER

2.75

BTTS

YES

1.95

1.8

Lineups

Chelsea

(4-2-3-1)

R. Sanchez

M. Gusto

T. Chalobah

W. Fofana

R. James

Andrey Santos

M. Caicedo

P. Neto

E. Fernandez

C. Palmer

Joao Pedro

Z. Flemming

J. Anthony

M. Edwards

B. Humphreys

H. Mejbri

L. Ugochukwu

J. Laurent

M. Esteve

J. Worrall

K. Walker

M. Dubravka

Burnley

(3-4-2-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Chelsea

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
L. Colwill	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
D. Essugo	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
J. Gittens	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 2
R. Lavia	Thigh Injury	Questionable	0 / 0
M. Cucurella	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 4
M. Mudryk	Suspended	Missing Fixture	- / -
F. Jorgensen	Injury	Questionable	0 / 0
C. Wiley	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -

Burnley

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
Z. Amdouni	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Beyer	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Broja	Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
J. Cullen	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
C. Roberts	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Tuanzebe	Achilles Tendon Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Premier League
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Chelsea vs Burnley AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Chelsea vs Burnley: Stamford Bridge Test for Struggling Clarets

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Chelsea Team recent

Burnley Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Chelsea

Burnley

Injuries / suspensions

Chelsea Injuries / suspensions

Burnley Injuries / suspensions

League table