Chelsea vs Aston Villa - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Chelsea

Aston Villa

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

30'

Matty Cash

Joao Pedro

37'

Reece James

57'

Morgan Rogers

63'

O. Watkins

Trevoh Chalobah

68'

Liam Delap

71'

Moisés Caicedo

71'

78'

Boubacar Kamara

84'

O. Watkins

Enzo Fernández

90'

Preview

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: Title Contenders Clash in Premier League Showdown

Chelsea host Aston Villa in a pivotal Premier League fixture. While Chelsea have shown recent resilience with a strong home run, Aston Villa arrive in formidable form, boasting a perfect winning streak. This encounter promises tactical intrigue and a battle for crucial points.

This fixture pits Chelsea's patient build-up play and desire to control possession against Aston Villa's potent attacking transitions and recent surge. Villa's ability to score multiple goals recently, even away from home, will test Chelsea's defence, which has been solid overall but showed cracks in the last game. Chelsea's home advantage, evidenced by their strong corner count and higher shot volume at Stamford Bridge, could see them trying to pin Villa back. However, Villa's recent away form suggests they are more than capable of hitting Chelsea on the counter, exploiting any space left by Chelsea's possession-heavy approach.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Chelsea

Aston Villa

Matches played

8 - 5 - 4

Results

11 - 3 - 3

47.1%

Win %

64.7%

1.7

Goals scored

1.6

Goals conceded

1.1

5.1

Shots on target

4.2

4.9

Shots off target

3.7

4.1

Blocked shots

3.6

58.5

Ball possession

52.4

85.8

Pass accuracy

83.9

11.8

Fouls

2.1

Goalkeeper saves

2.8

2.2

Yellow cards

1.5

0.2

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Aston Villa are on a three-match winning streak, scoring at least two goals in each.
• Chelsea boast a strong home record, conceding less than a goal per game on average at Stamford Bridge.
• The odds suggest a competitive encounter, with Chelsea slightly favoured, but with a strong likelihood of goals.

AI Prediction

Chelsea's strong overall home record and the odds favouring them suggest they have the edge in this crucial clash. Aston Villa's blistering recent form cannot be ignored, however, making a home win and both teams scoring the most probable outcome. The data points towards a game with significant goal-scoring potential from both sides.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

63%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

63%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

67%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

67%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

72%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

63%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

50%

BTTS

47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

75%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

70%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

80%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

50%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

43%

BTTS

63%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

40%

BTTS

47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

57%

BTTS

67%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

47%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%

H2H

Premier League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
2/22/2025	Chelsea	L 1 - 2 W	Aston Villa AWAY	O	Y
12/1/2024	HOME Chelsea	W 3 - 0 L	Aston Villa	O	N
4/27/2024	Chelsea	D 2 - 2 D	Aston Villa AWAY	O	Y
2/7/2024	Chelsea	W 3 - 1 L	Aston Villa AWAY	O	Y
1/26/2024	HOME Chelsea	D 0 - 0 D	Aston Villa	U	N
9/24/2023	HOME Chelsea	L 0 - 1 W	Aston Villa	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Chelsea

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Newcastle	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Everton	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Bournemouth	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Leeds	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Arsenal	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Burnley	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Wolves	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Tottenham	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Sunderland	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Nottingham Forest	3 - 0	W	O	N	N

Chelsea have carved out a decent season overall, averaging 1.7 goals while conceding 1 per game. Their home form offers a steadier platform, with half of their home fixtures ending in victory and a notably tighter defence at Stamford Bridge, conceding less than a goal on average. However, their most recent three outings have seen a dip in scoring, averaging just 1.3 goals, but remarkably, they remain unbeaten in that stretch, with two draws and a win. The last match itself saw them concede two goals, a slight concern.

Aston Villa

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Manchester United	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	West Ham	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Arsenal	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Brighton	4 - 3	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Wolves	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Leeds	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Bournemouth	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Liverpool	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Manchester City	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Tottenham	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y

Aston Villa have been the season's surprise package, mounting a serious challenge with an impressive 64.7% win rate. They score freely, netting 1.6 goals per game on average, though their away defence can be permeable, allowing 1.4 goals per away outing. Their recent form is nothing short of sensational: three wins from their last three matches, scoring an eye-watering average of 2.3 goals. This attacking prowess continued into their last fixture, where they netted three goals away from home.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.8

DRAW

3.9

AWAY

4.33

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Chelsea

(4-2-3-1)

Robert Sánchez

Marc Cucurella

Benoît Badiashile

Trevoh Chalobah

Reece James

Enzo Fernández

Moisés Caicedo

Alejandro Garnacho

Cole Palmer

Pedro Neto

João Pedro

Morgan Rogers

Donyell Malen

Emiliano Buendía

Youri Tielemans

Boubacar Kamara

John McGinn

Ian Maatsen

Victor Lindelöf

Ezri Konsa

Matty Cash

Emiliano Martínez

Aston Villa

(4-4-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Chelsea

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
L. Colwill	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
D. Essugo	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
R. Lavia	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
M. Mudryk	Suspended	Missing Fixture	- / -

Aston Villa

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
R. Barkley	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 0
E. Guessand	International duty	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
T. Mings	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
P. Torres	Calf Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
H. Elliott	Illness	Questionable	0 / 0

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Chelsea vs Aston Villa AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: Title Contenders Clash in Premier League Showdown

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Chelsea Team recent

Aston Villa Team recent

Odds

Chelsea

Aston Villa

Injuries / suspensions

Chelsea Injuries / suspensions

Aston Villa Injuries / suspensions

League table