Burnley vs Everton - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Burnley

Everton

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

80'

Tim Iroegbunam

86'

Tyler Dibling

Preview

Burnley vs Everton: Clarets Face Tough Test as Toffees Seek Away Improvement

Burnley host Everton in a Premier League clash where the Clarets' struggles at home are starkly contrasted with the Toffees' inconsistent away form. Despite Everton's recent away wins, their overall defensive record suggests this could still be a stern test.

This fixture pits Burnley's possession-based approach, evidenced by higher ball possession and passing accuracy in their recent home games, against an Everton side that also favours building from the back but struggles to translate that into consistent attacking threat away from home. The Clarets' high volume of shots in their last home game, despite the loss, suggests they might try to overwhelm Everton with attacking intent, but their defensive frailties, conceding two goals per game on average, are a significant vulnerability that Everton will aim to exploit. Everton's recent away struggles, particularly in their last outing, indicate they might adopt a more cautious approach, looking to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, though their overall defensive numbers suggest they can be breached.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Burnley

Everton

Matches played

3 - 2 - 12

Results

7 - 3 - 7

17.6%

Win %

41.2%

1.1

Goals scored

1.1

Goals conceded

1.2

3.2

Shots on target

2.9

2.5

Shots off target

4.1

2.8

Blocked shots

3.4

40.6

Ball possession

43.3

75.8

Pass accuracy

78.9

9.9

Fouls

10.4

3.5

Goalkeeper saves

2.6

1.5

Yellow cards

2.1

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Burnley have lost 12 of their 17 league games this season, with a heavy home defeat record.
• Everton have won more than half of their away games this season, but their defence concedes over a goal per game on average.
• Both teams concede over a goal per game on average, suggesting a strong possibility of goals from both sides.

AI Prediction

Everton's overall league form and superior win rate give them a slight edge, despite Burnley's recent home attacking numbers. The odds also favour the visitors, suggesting the market sees them as stronger. Both teams concede frequently, pointing towards goals at both ends and a potentially higher-scoring encounter, making 'yes' for BTTS and 'over' 2.5 goals attractive propositions.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

33%

O/U

63%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

50%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

43%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

65%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

72%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

57%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

70%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

47%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

53%

BTTS

67%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

72%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

53%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

53%

BTTS

53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

80%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

47%

BTTS

53%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

37%

BTTS

47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

66%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

50%

BTTS

67%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

78%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

57%

BTTS

60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

72%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

30%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

78%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

47%

BTTS

57%

H2H

Premier League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
4/6/2024	Burnley	L 0 - 1 W	Everton AWAY	U	N
12/16/2023	HOME Burnley	L 0 - 2 W	Everton	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Burnley

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Bournemouth	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Fulham	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Newcastle	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Crystal Palace	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Brentford	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Chelsea	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	West Ham	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Arsenal	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Wolves	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Leeds	2 - 0	W	U	N	N

Burnley's season has been a difficult one, particularly on home soil where they've managed just two wins from eight games. Their overall scoring rate of just over a goal per game is further hampered by a leaky defence that concedes two on average. Recent form offers little respite, with three consecutive defeats in their last three outings, and the last home game saw them concede three goals despite a more encouraging shot count.

Everton

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Arsenal	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Chelsea	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Nottingham Forest	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Bournemouth	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Newcastle	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Manchester United	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Fulham	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Sunderland	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Tottenham	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
AWAY	Manchester City	0 - 2	L	U	N	N

Everton present a more balanced, though still inconsistent, picture. They've secured more wins overall than Burnley and boast a slightly better scoring record, though their defence has also been porous, conceding 1.2 goals per game on average. Their away form shows three wins from eight, indicating they can pick up points on the road, but a heavy defeat in their last away fixture, conceding twice and failing to score, raises questions about their ability to consistently perform away from home.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

3.6

DRAW

3.2

AWAY

2.2

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.2

UNDER

1.67

BTTS

YES

1.95

1.8

Lineups

Burnley

(3-4-3)

M. Dubravka

B. Humphreys

H. Ekdal

J. Laurent

Lucas Pires

J. Cullen

L. Ugochukwu

K. Walker

J. Bruun Larsen

A. Broja

M. Edwards

Beto

D. McNeil

C. Alcaraz

T. Dibling

J. Garner

T. Iroegbunam

V. Mykolenko

M. Keane

J. Tarkowski

J. O'Brien

J. Pickford

Everton

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Burnley

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
B. Humphreys	Thigh problems	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
Z. Amdouni	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Beyer	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
L. Foster	International duty	Missing Fixture	3 / 2
H. Mejbri	Suspended	Missing Fixture	1 / 4
C. Roberts	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Tuanzebe	International duty	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
M. Esteve	Knock	Questionable	0 / 0

Everton

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
J. Branthwaite	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
S. Coleman	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
K. Dewsbury-Hall	Hamstring Injury	Missing Fixture	8 / 4
I. Gueye	International duty	Missing Fixture	2 / 3
I. Ndiaye	International duty	Missing Fixture	6 / 3

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Burnley vs Everton AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Burnley vs Everton: Clarets Face Tough Test as Toffees Seek Away Improvement

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Burnley Team recent

Everton Team recent

Odds

Burnley

Everton

Injuries / suspensions

Burnley Injuries / suspensions

Everton Injuries / suspensions

League table