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Burnley vs Brentford: Clarets Face Tough Home Test Against Bees
Burnley host Brentford in a Premier League clash where the Clarets' persistent struggles at home meet a Brentford side seeking to improve their away form. Recent performances suggest a game where the visitors hold a statistical edge, but Burnley's last outing showed signs of defensive improvement.
This fixture pits Burnley's defensive struggles, particularly at home, against Brentford's inconsistent away form but generally more potent attack. The Clarets seem to favour a higher volume of shots but struggle with accuracy, while Brentford are more clinical. Burnley's recent tendency to concede at home, coupled with Brentford's ability to find the net away, points towards the visitors trying to exploit spaces in transition. Brentford's pressing game, evident in their recent fouls and possession stats, could disrupt Burnley's attempts to build from the back, especially given Burnley's lower ball possession figures.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Burnley have lost over half of their home league games this season.
- • Brentford have won 38.5% of their away league matches, scoring more than a goal per game on average.
- • Both teams have conceded more than 1.5 goals per game on average across their last three fixtures.
AI Prediction
Brentford's superior overall form and attacking potential, especially when contrasted with Burnley's persistent defensive issues at home, make them the favourites. While Burnley showed some attacking intent and defensive improvement in their last home outing, they still conceded, and their overall season record is poor. Brentford's ability to score away, coupled with Burnley's susceptibility, suggests goals at both ends and an away win.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U47%BTTS40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Burnley Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Chelsea | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Crystal Palace | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | West Ham | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Sunderland | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Tottenham | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Liverpool | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Manchester United | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Brighton | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Newcastle | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Everton | 0 - 0 |
Burnley have endured a difficult season, with their overall record showing a high number of losses and a low win percentage. Their home form mirrors this struggle, conceding more than 1.5 goals per game on average and securing only two wins from thirteen attempts. Despite a slight uptick in attacking output in their last three games, including scoring one goal in their most recent fixture at home, they still shipped two goals. This suggests that while they can muster chances, their defensive frailties persist, especially when hosting.
Brentford Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Brighton | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Arsenal | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Newcastle | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Aston Villa | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Chelsea | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Sunderland | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Everton | 4 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Bournemouth | 4 - 1 |
Brentford present a more balanced profile, with a solid win rate across the season and a respectable scoring record. Their away form, however, has been a concern, with over 60% of their games on the road ending in defeat. Despite this, they have managed to score over a goal per game away from home, indicating they are not entirely toothless. Their most recent away performance saw them secure a victory with a promising attacking display, scoring three goals, which offers a positive sign for their travels.
Odds
Lineups
Burnley
(3-4-2-1)
Brentford
(4-2-3-1)
Injuries / suspensions
Burnley Injuries / suspensions
Brentford Injuries / suspensions
