Burnley vs Brentford - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Burnley

Brentford

Match Events

-5'

Yehor Yarmolyuk

M. Damsgaard

25'

I. Thiago

34'

K. Schade

M. Kayode

45'

J. Anthony

47'

Z. Flemming

60'

77'

Igor Thiago

Zian Flemming

81'

Bashir Humphreys

86'

Ashley Barnes

90'

M. Damsgaard

Lyle Foster

90'

Preview

Burnley vs Brentford: Clarets Face Tough Home Test Against Bees

Burnley host Brentford in a Premier League clash where the Clarets' persistent struggles at home meet a Brentford side seeking to improve their away form. Recent performances suggest a game where the visitors hold a statistical edge, but Burnley's last outing showed signs of defensive improvement.

This fixture pits Burnley's defensive struggles, particularly at home, against Brentford's inconsistent away form but generally more potent attack. The Clarets seem to favour a higher volume of shots but struggle with accuracy, while Brentford are more clinical. Burnley's recent tendency to concede at home, coupled with Brentford's ability to find the net away, points towards the visitors trying to exploit spaces in transition. Brentford's pressing game, evident in their recent fouls and possession stats, could disrupt Burnley's attempts to build from the back, especially given Burnley's lower ball possession figures.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Burnley

Brentford

Matches played

4 - 7 - 16

Results

12 - 4 - 11

14.8%

Win %

44.4%

1.1

Goals scored

1.5

1.9

Goals conceded

1.4

Shots on target

3.2

Shots off target

4.1

Blocked shots

2.4

Ball possession

46.6

76.6

Pass accuracy

78.7

9.9

Fouls

11.1

3.7

Goalkeeper saves

2.7

1.7

Yellow cards

0.1

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Burnley have lost over half of their home league games this season.
• Brentford have won 38.5% of their away league matches, scoring more than a goal per game on average.
• Both teams have conceded more than 1.5 goals per game on average across their last three fixtures.

AI Prediction

Brentford's superior overall form and attacking potential, especially when contrasted with Burnley's persistent defensive issues at home, make them the favourites. While Burnley showed some attacking intent and defensive improvement in their last home outing, they still conceded, and their overall season record is poor. Brentford's ability to score away, coupled with Burnley's susceptibility, suggests goals at both ends and an away win.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

78%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

27%

O/U

47%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Premier League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/29/2025	Burnley	L 1 - 3 W	Brentford AWAY	O	Y
3/16/2024	HOME Burnley	W 2 - 1 L	Brentford	O	Y
10/21/2023	Burnley	L 0 - 3 W	Brentford AWAY	O	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Burnley

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Chelsea	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Crystal Palace	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	West Ham	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Sunderland	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Tottenham	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Liverpool	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Manchester United	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Brighton	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Newcastle	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Everton	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y

Burnley have endured a difficult season, with their overall record showing a high number of losses and a low win percentage. Their home form mirrors this struggle, conceding more than 1.5 goals per game on average and securing only two wins from thirteen attempts. Despite a slight uptick in attacking output in their last three games, including scoring one goal in their most recent fixture at home, they still shipped two goals. This suggests that while they can muster chances, their defensive frailties persist, especially when hosting.

Brentford

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Brighton	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Arsenal	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Newcastle	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Aston Villa	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Nottingham Forest	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Chelsea	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Sunderland	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Everton	4 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Tottenham	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Bournemouth	4 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Brentford present a more balanced profile, with a solid win rate across the season and a respectable scoring record. Their away form, however, has been a concern, with over 60% of their games on the road ending in defeat. Despite this, they have managed to score over a goal per game away from home, indicating they are not entirely toothless. Their most recent away performance saw them secure a victory with a promising attacking display, scoring three goals, which offers a positive sign for their travels.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

4.33

DRAW

3.9

AWAY

1.75

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Burnley

(3-4-2-1)

M. Dubravka

M. Esteve

J. Worrall

B. Humphreys

Lucas Pires

H. Mejbri

J. Ward-Prowse

J. Laurent

J. Anthony

J. Bruun Larsen

Z. Flemming

I. Thiago

K. Schade

M. Damsgaard

D. Ouattara

M. Jensen

Y. Yarmolyuk

R. Henry

S. van den Berg

K. Ajer

M. Kayode

H. R. Valdimarsson

Brentford

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Burnley

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Broja	Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 1
J. Cullen	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
C. Roberts	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Tuanzebe	Achilles Tendon Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
Z. Amdouni	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
J. Beyer	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -

Brentford

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
F. Carvalho	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
J. Dasilva	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Milambo	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Hickey	Injury	Questionable	0 / 0
M. Kayode	Injury	Questionable	1 / 1

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Burnley vs Brentford AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Burnley vs Brentford: Clarets Face Tough Home Test Against Bees

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Burnley Team recent

Brentford Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Burnley

Brentford

Injuries / suspensions

Burnley Injuries / suspensions

Brentford Injuries / suspensions

League table