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England Premier League
Brighton logo
Brighton
Sunderland logo
Sunderland
Match Events
Brajan Gruda
19'
Diego Coppola
34'
79'
Daniel Ballard
86'
Enzo Le Fée

Preview

Brighton vs Sunderland: Seagulls Look to Leverage Home Form Against Struggling Black Cats

Brighton & Hove Albion host Sunderland in the Premier League, with the Seagulls aiming to capitalise on their strong home record against a Sunderland side that has found wins hard to come by on the road. This fixture pits Brighton's higher-octane offensive output against Sunderland's more conservative approach, potentially leading to a game defined by control and transition.

Brighton's game plan is often built around sustained possession and intricate build-up, aiming to draw opponents out and exploit spaces. Their high corner count and significant ball possession figures suggest they will look to dominate central areas and potentially use width to create overloads. Sunderland, conversely, typically operate with a deeper defensive block and look to transition quickly, though their away form indicates difficulty in executing this effectively. The hosts' tendency to commit players forward could leave them vulnerable to counter-attacks, but Sunderland's limited attacking threat on the road suggests this might not be a significant factor. Brighton's recent defensive fragility, however, means Sunderland might find opportunities if they can weather the initial storm and exploit any lapses.

Team statistics

England Premier League
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Brighton
VS
Sunderland
16
Matches played
16
6 - 5 - 5
Results
7 - 5 - 4
37.5%
Win %
43.8%
1.6
Goals scored
1.2
1.4
Goals conceded
1.1
4.6
Shots on target
2.9
5.3
Shots off target
3.7
3.6
Blocked shots
2.8
51.5
Ball possession
42.3
83.6
Pass accuracy
78.1
12.1
Fouls
9.8
2.7
Goalkeeper saves
3.4
2.4
Yellow cards
2.1
0
Red cards
0.1
League averages

Key points

  • • Brighton average 2 goals per home game, compared to Sunderland's 0.5 away.
  • • Sunderland have lost 50% of their away fixtures this season.
  • • Brighton's recent form shows a slight dip in results but increased attacking intent.

AI Prediction

Brighton's potent home scoring record and higher volume of shots, coupled with Sunderland's significant struggles away from home and limited goal threat, heavily favour the hosts. While Sunderland have shown flashes of competence, their defensive record on the road and recent poor form suggest they'll be up against it. The odds align, marking Brighton as clear favourites. Given Brighton's attacking inclination and Sunderland's recent defensive frailties, both teams scoring appears a reasonable prospect.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    20%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    23%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    70%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    27%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    17%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    70%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    17%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    30%
    O/U
    30%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    75%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    20%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    57%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    85%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    13%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    47%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    75%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    23%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    40%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    23%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    50%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    78%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    23%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    63%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    78%
    Brighton HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    17%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    53%

H2H

Premier League
No head-to-head data available.
Includes records from 2023 onwards.
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Brighton Team recent

Brighton logo
Brighton
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Liverpool0 - 2LUNN
HOME
West Ham1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Aston Villa3 - 4LOYY
AWAY
Nottingham Forest2 - 0WUNN
HOME
Brentford2 - 1WOYY
AWAY
Crystal Palace0 - 0DUNY
HOME
Leeds3 - 0WONN
AWAY
Manchester United2 - 4LOYY
HOME
Newcastle2 - 1WOYY
AWAY
Wolves1 - 1DUYY

Brighton have established themselves as a potent force at home this season, averaging two goals per game. While their overall win rate stands at a respectable 37.5%, their home form is significantly stronger, with 50% of their matches ending in victory and only one defeat. Recent performances show an uptick in attacking output, with 17.3 shots and over 60% possession in their last three home games, even if results have been mixed (one win, one draw, one loss). They can create chances, as evidenced by 22 shots in their last fixture, but defensive lapses remain a concern, conceding two goals in two of their last three home outings.

Sunderland Team recent

Sunderland logo
Sunderland
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Newcastle1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Manchester City0 - 3LONY
AWAY
Liverpool1 - 1DUYN
HOME
Bournemouth3 - 2WOYY
AWAY
Fulham0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Arsenal2 - 2DOYN
HOME
Everton1 - 1DUYN
AWAY
Chelsea2 - 1WOYN
HOME
Wolves2 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Manchester United0 - 2LUNN

Sunderland present a stark contrast, particularly away from home where they've secured only two wins in eight attempts, suffering 50% of their defeats. Their season-long goal-scoring average of 1.2 is respectable, but this drops to a mere 0.5 on the road, highlighting their struggles to break down opposition defences. Recent form mirrors this narrative, with one win, one draw, and two losses in their last three away matches, managing just 0.3 goals per game. Their last outing was a dismal 3-0 defeat, conceding heavily and struggling to create, managing only 8 shots and losing a player to a red card.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Brighton
HOME
1.7
DRAW
4
Sunderland
AWAY
4.75
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.8
UNDER
2
BTTS
YES
1.8
NO
1.95
Lineups
Brighton

Brighton

(4-2-3-1)

B. Verbruggen
F. Kadioglu
O. Boscagli
D. Coppola
M. Wieffer
J. Hinshelwood
Y. Ayari
M. De Cuyper
B. Gruda
Y. Minteh
G. Rutter
B. Brobbey
S. Adingra
E. Le Fee
C. Rigg
L. Geertruida
G. Xhaka
T. Hume
O. Alderete
D. Ballard
N. Mukiele
R. Roefs
Sunderland

Sunderland

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Brighton Injuries / suspensions

Brighton logo
Brighton
NameReasonTypeG/A
C. BalebaInternational dutyMissing Fixture0 / 0
L. DunkYellow CardsMissing Fixture1 / 0
D. GomezYellow CardsMissing Fixture5 / 1
S. MarchKnee InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
S. TzimasKnee InjuryMissing Fixture1 / 1
A. WebsterKnee InjuryMissing Fixture- / -

Sunderland Injuries / suspensions

Sunderland logo
Sunderland
NameReasonTypeG/A
A. AleseShoulder InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
H. DiarraInternational dutyMissing Fixture2 / 1
R. MandavaInternational dutyMissing Fixture0 / 1
A. MasuakuInternational dutyMissing Fixture0 / 0
L. O'NienRed CardMissing Fixture0 / 0
N. SadikiInternational dutyMissing Fixture0 / 1
C. TalbiInternational dutyMissing Fixture4 / 1
B. TraoreInternational dutyMissing Fixture1 / 0

League table

England Premier League
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal19143237122545WWWWL
2Manchester City18131443172640WWWWW
3Aston Villa1912343023739LWWWW
4Liverpool1810263026432WWWDD
5Chelsea1986532211130DLDWD
6Manchester United198653329430DWLDW
7Sunderland187742018228DDWLD
8Everton198472020028WDLLW
9Brentford188282826226WWDLL
10Newcastle197572624226WLDLW
11Crystal Palace187562120126LLLWW
12Fulham188282526-126WWWLL
13Tottenham187472723425WLLWD
14Brighton196762827125DLDLD
15Bournemouth195862935-623DLDDD
16Leeds185582532-720DWDDW
17Nottingham Forest1953111830-1218LLLWL
18West Ham1935112138-1714DLLLD
19Burnley1933132037-1712LDDLL
20Wolves1903161140-293DLLLL
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