Brighton vs Chelsea - AI Match Preview

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England Premier League

Brighton

Chelsea

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

F. Kadioglu

45'

Wesley Fofana

J. Hinshelwood

56'

Yankuba Minteh

58'

D. Welbeck

90'

Preview

Brighton vs Chelsea: Seagulls Seek Home Advantage Against Struggling Blues

Brighton host Chelsea in a Premier League clash where the Seagulls' robust home form clashes with the visitors' recent defensive frailty. Despite Chelsea's overall statistical edge, Brighton's home comfort and recent upturn present a significant challenge.

This fixture pits Brighton's settled home approach against Chelsea's struggling away form. The Seagulls will likely look to leverage their superior home performance, aiming to keep the match played on their terms through patient build-up and exploiting width with their corner-kick count suggesting attacking intent. Chelsea, despite their possession dominance and passing accuracy, will need to shore up a defence that has shipped heavily in recent weeks, potentially looking to transition quickly when opportunities arise, but their current defensive structure seems fragile.

Team statistics

England Premier League

Brighton

Chelsea

Matches played

12 - 11 - 10

Results

13 - 9 - 11

36.4%

Win %

39.4%

1.4

Goals scored

1.6

1.2

Goals conceded

1.3

4.5

Shots on target

4.6

4.8

Shots off target

4.8

3.5

Blocked shots

4.5

52.7

Ball possession

58.4

83.1

Pass accuracy

86.8

Fouls

10.9

2.9

Goalkeeper saves

2.8

2.5

Yellow cards

2.5

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Brighton have a strong home record, averaging 1.5 goals scored and conceding just 1.1 per game.
• Chelsea have lost their last three matches, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game.
• Despite overall possession dominance, Chelsea's recent attacking output has been severely lacking, failing to score in their last three games.

AI Prediction

Brighton's formidable home record and recent positive momentum, coupled with Chelsea's alarming dip in form and defensive issues, point towards a home victory. The odds, which suggest a very tight contest, don't fully reflect the recent form disparity. Both teams have shown they can score, making BTTS a strong possibility, and Chelsea's defensive struggles suggest goals are likely.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

20%

O/U

50%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

57%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

53%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

53%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

43%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

37%

BTTS

43%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

72%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

47%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

27%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

53%

BTTS

57%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

40%

BTTS

40%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

78%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

33%

O/U

47%

BTTS

60%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

47%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

75%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

37%

O/U

67%

BTTS

57%
mimo-v2-flash (id)

by xiaomi

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

43%

BTTS

53%

H2H

Premier League

Match date	Team	Score	Team	OVER/UNDER 2.5	BTTS
9/27/2025	Brighton	W 3 - 1 L	Chelsea AWAY	O	O
2/14/2025	HOME Brighton	W 3 - 0 L	Chelsea	O	U
2/8/2025	HOME Brighton	W 2 - 1 L	Chelsea	O	O
9/28/2024	Brighton	L 2 - 4 W	Chelsea AWAY	O	O
5/15/2024	HOME Brighton	L 1 - 2 W	Chelsea	O	O
12/3/2023	Brighton	L 2 - 3 W	Chelsea AWAY	O	O

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Brighton

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Tottenham	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Burnley	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Liverpool	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Sunderland	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Arsenal	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Nottingham Forest	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Brentford	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Aston Villa	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Crystal Palace	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Everton	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Brighton have built a solid foundation at home this season, averaging 1.5 goals and conceding just over a goal per game. Their recent form shows a clear upturn, with two wins in their last three matches, including a strong offensive showing in their latest home outing. While their overall possession stats hover around 52%, they tend to increase that at home, controlling more of the ball and looking to build attacks patiently.

Chelsea

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Manchester United	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Manchester City	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Everton	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Newcastle	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Aston Villa	4 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Arsenal	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Burnley	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Leeds	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Wolves	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	West Ham	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y

Chelsea arrive with a more potent overall scoring record, particularly away from home where they net nearly two goals per game. However, their recent form is a significant concern, having lost their last three matches without a single win, conceding over two goals per game in that stretch. They have a tendency to dominate possession, often exceeding 58% ball control, but this hasn't translated into positive results lately, and their defence has looked particularly porous.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.3

DRAW

3.6

AWAY

2.9

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.67

UNDER

2.2

BTTS

YES

1.53

2.38

Lineups

Brighton

(4-2-3-1)

Bart Verbruggen

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Olivier Boscagli

Jan Paul van Hecke

Mats Wieffer

Carlos Baleba

Pascal Groß

Kaoru Mitoma

Jack Hinshelwood

Yankuba Minteh

Georginio Rutter

Liam Delap

Enzo Fernández

Moisés Caicedo

Roméo Lavia

Pedro Neto

Marc Cucurella

Jorrel Hato

Trevoh Chalobah

Wesley Fofana

Malo Gusto

Robert Sánchez

Chelsea

(5-4-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

England Premier League

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	19	14	3	2	37	12	25	45	WWWWL
2	Manchester City	18	13	1	4	43	17	26	40	WWWWW
3	Aston Villa	19	12	3	4	30	23	7	39	LWWWW
4	Liverpool	18	10	2	6	30	26	4	32	WWWDD
5	Chelsea	19	8	6	5	32	21	11	30	DLDWD
6	Manchester United	19	8	6	5	33	29	4	30	DWLDW
7	Sunderland	18	7	7	4	20	18	2	28	DDWLD
8	Everton	19	8	4	7	20	20	0	28	WDLLW
9	Brentford	18	8	2	8	28	26	2	26	WWDLL
10	Newcastle	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WLDLW
11	Crystal Palace	18	7	5	6	21	20	1	26	LLLWW
12	Fulham	18	8	2	8	25	26	-1	26	WWWLL
13	Tottenham	18	7	4	7	27	23	4	25	WLLWD
14	Brighton	19	6	7	6	28	27	1	25	DLDLD
15	Bournemouth	19	5	8	6	29	35	-6	23	DLDDD
16	Leeds	18	5	5	8	25	32	-7	20	DWDDW
17	Nottingham Forest	19	5	3	11	18	30	-12	18	LLLWL
18	West Ham	19	3	5	11	21	38	-17	14	DLLLD
19	Burnley	19	3	3	13	20	37	-17	12	LDDLL
20	Wolves	19	0	3	16	11	40	-29	3	DLLLL

Brighton vs Chelsea AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Brighton vs Chelsea: Seagulls Seek Home Advantage Against Struggling Blues

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Brighton Team recent

Chelsea Team recent

Odds

Brighton

Chelsea

Injuries / suspensions

League table