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Brentford vs Bournemouth: Bees Seek Home Advantage Against Struggling Cherries
Brentford host Bournemouth in a Premier League clash where the home side's strong home record meets a Cherries outfit struggling on the road. Recent form suggests a tight encounter, but the underlying stats point towards Brentford having the edge.
Brentford's home form, characterised by a higher shot volume and increased scoring efficiency, suggests they will look to impose themselves on the game. Their possession figures at home are lower than their away average, indicating a potential for more direct play or effective counter-attacking when turnovers occur. Bournemouth, despite their recent draws, have shown significant defensive instability on the road, conceding a high number of goals and shots. Expect Brentford to exploit these spaces, perhaps through wide overloads or by pressing Bournemouth's less assured build-up play, aiming to create clear-cut chances.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Brentford have won 62.5% of their league games at home this season, averaging two goals per match.
- • Bournemouth have lost 50% of their away league fixtures, conceding an average of 2.9 goals on the road.
- • Recent form shows Brentford scoring 2.3 goals at home in their last three, while Bournemouth conceded 3.7 goals in their last three away games.
AI Prediction
Brentford's potent home attack, coupled with Bournemouth's considerable defensive weaknesses away from home, points towards a home victory. The odds favour Brentford, aligning with their superior home performance. While Bournemouth can score, their leaky defence makes them vulnerable, suggesting goals at both ends and a higher total.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U63%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U50%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U43%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U57%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U47%BTTS60%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U53%BTTS67%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U53%BTTS57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U47%BTTS53%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U37%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U50%BTTS67%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U57%BTTS60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U30%BTTS43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U47%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Brentford Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Wolves | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Leeds | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Tottenham | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Arsenal | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Burnley | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Brighton | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Newcastle | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Crystal Palace | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Liverpool | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | West Ham | 2 - 0 |
Brentford have built a solid platform at home this season, securing victory in 62.5% of their games at the Gtech Community Stadium. They average a healthy two goals per home fixture, a significant improvement on their overall scoring rate. While their overall possession is below 45%, they've managed to be clinical in front of their own fans, averaging over four shots on target per home outing. Recent performances have seen an uptick, with two wins and a draw in their last three home matches, scoring an impressive 2.3 goals per game in that spell.
Bournemouth Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Burnley | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Manchester United | 4 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Chelsea | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Everton | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sunderland | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | West Ham | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Aston Villa | 0 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Manchester City | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Nottingham Forest | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Crystal Palace | 3 - 3 |
Bournemouth present a stark contrast when playing away from home. Their 50% away loss record tells a grim story, conceding nearly three goals per away game on average. Despite a decent overall scoring rate of 1.5 goals per game, their defence has been porous on the road, a trend that has continued in recent away fixtures where they've conceded an alarming 3.7 goals across their last three. Although they've drawn three of their last four away matches, the underlying defensive frailties remain a significant concern.
Odds
Brentford
(4-2-3-1)
Bournemouth
(4-2-3-1)
Injuries / suspensions
Brentford Injuries / suspensions
Bournemouth Injuries / suspensions
