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St. Louis City vs Austin: Home Advantage Key in MLS Encounter
St. Louis City host Austin in a Major League Soccer fixture that pits contrasting recent fortunes against each other. The home side has found good form, particularly at home, while Austin's away struggles continue to be a significant concern.
This match sets up as a clash between St. Louis City's improved home form and Austin's persistent away-day frailties. The home side will likely aim to leverage their attacking momentum, pushing for early dominance and trying to exploit Austin's defensive vulnerabilities. Austin, conversely, will probably adopt a more defensive posture, looking to absorb pressure and hit on transitions, though their low possession stats away from home suggest they will struggle to dictate play. St. Louis City's higher average corner count could also prove a significant weapon.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • St. Louis City have won 40% of their home games this season, averaging 1.6 goals.
- • Austin FC are yet to win an away game this season, conceding an average of 3.1 goals per away fixture.
- • St. Louis City's recent home form shows two wins in three games with an average of 2.3 goals scored.
AI Prediction
St. Louis City's strong home record and recent goal-scoring form, coupled with Austin's dire away performance, makes the hosts the clear favourite. Austin's defensive issues on the road, conceding over three goals per game away from home, should allow St. Louis City to find the net multiple times. Despite Austin's own scoring potential, their overall defensive fragility suggests BTTS is likely, and the high offensive output from both sides points towards an over 2.5 goals outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x227%O/U50%BTTS67%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U57%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U50%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U47%BTTS67%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U43%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U37%BTTS53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x223%O/U53%BTTS57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U33%BTTS57%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U37%BTTS60%
H2H
Team recent
St. Louis City Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | DC United | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Los Angeles FC | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Austin | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | FC Dallas | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | New York City FC | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | New England Revolution | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Los Angeles FC | 0 - 2 |
St. Louis City have shown resilience this season, currently sitting on a respectable points tally. While their overall record is mixed, their home form offers a significant boost, with a 40% win rate and averaging 1.6 goals per game. Recent performances have been particularly encouraging, securing two wins in their last three home outings and scoring an impressive 2.3 goals in that spell. They've shown an ability to create chances, evidenced by a recent surge in shots on goal, though their discipline has waned slightly with a higher card count in recent matches.
Austin Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Sporting Kansas City | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | San Diego | 0 - 5 | |||||
AWAY | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | St. Louis City | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Houston Dynamo | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 5 | |||||
AWAY | Toronto FC | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Inter Miami | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Los Angeles FC | 0 - 0 |
Austin FC face a challenging away trip, their away record painting a grim picture with no wins and a heavy concession rate of 3.1 goals per game over the season. Their recent away form has not improved, suffering two losses in their last three away fixtures and scoring only once in that period. Despite these struggles, they have managed to find the net in recent away matches, suggesting they can still pose a threat on the counter, though their overall shot volume away from home is notably low.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
