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Sporting KC vs New York Red Bulls: Statistical Chasm in MLS
Sporting Kansas City hosts New York Red Bulls in a Major League Soccer fixture that pits two teams with starkly contrasting recent fortunes. While the Red Bulls come into this match on a strong unbeaten run, Sporting KC's overall season form has been concerning, particularly at home.
This fixture sets up a clash of styles and form. Sporting KC, despite their struggles, showed signs of life in their last home game, perhaps aiming to build on that with a more aggressive approach. However, their overall possession numbers are low, suggesting they may look to play more directly or rely on moments of individual brilliance. The Red Bulls, on the other hand, have been more dominant with the ball in recent games, though their last away performance saw a drop in possession. They will likely look to exploit Sporting KC's defensive frailties, especially given the hosts' poor record at home, potentially using wide overloads and quick transitions.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Sporting Kansas City has lost 8 of their 13 league games this season.
- • New York Red Bulls are on a three-match unbeaten streak.
- • Sporting Kansas City concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game overall.
AI Prediction
While Sporting Kansas City secured a morale-boosting home win in their last match, their overall season and home form are deeply concerning, particularly their defensive record. The New York Red Bulls are in significantly better recent form and possess the attacking threat to exploit Kansas City's weaknesses. The odds also favour the visitors, aligning with the statistical trends pointing towards an away victory.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U47%BTTS57%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U57%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U60%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U67%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U60%BTTS50%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google75% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U63%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U47%BTTS47%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U53%BTTS40%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U50%BTTS43%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U60%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Sporting Kansas City Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Austin | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Portland Timbers | 0 - 6 | |||||
HOME | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Chicago Fire | 0 - 5 | |||||
AWAY | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 - 1 |
Sporting Kansas City's season has been a difficult one, evidenced by a high number of losses and a porous defense that concedes over two goals per game on average. Their home form has been particularly worrying, with only one win from six matches and a defensive record that has seen them ship an average of two goals. While their last outing saw a promising 3-1 home victory with increased attacking output, this appears to be an outlier in a generally bleak picture. They struggle to retain possession and are often outshot by opponents.
New York Red Bulls Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | New York City FC | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Columbus Crew | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Chicago Fire | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | FC Dallas | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | FC Cincinnati | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | DC United | 4 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | CF Montreal | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Inter Miami | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Charlotte | 1 - 6 |
New York Red Bulls arrive with considerable momentum, having not lost in their last three outings, winning two. Their recent performances have seen an uptick in goal scoring, netting 2.3 goals per game in their last three, while tightening up defensively to concede just 1.3. Their overall season statistics paint a picture of a more balanced side, capable of scoring and creating a good number of chances, though they do concede more than they score. Their away form is respectable, with a decent scoring record and a willingness to shoot, but their last away match saw them concede three goals.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.