Philadelphia Union vs DC United - AI Match Preview

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USA Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

DC United

AI football analysis, now on Android Google Play

Match Events

35'

T. Baribo

37'

Peglow

60'

N. Markovic

Preview

Philadelphia Union vs DC United: Hosts Seek Respite Amidst Difficult Season

Philadelphia Union host DC United in Major League Soccer, with the home side enduring a torrid start to the campaign. Despite recent positive signs for DC United away from home, they face a Union side desperately needing to turn their fortunes around on their own turf.

This fixture sees a Philadelphia Union side likely looking to establish control through possession, aiming to break their home losing streak. Their average ball possession is around 49%, but their home possession dips slightly. DC United, conversely, typically concede possession, averaging just 41.3% overall and a mere 38.5% away. DC's strategy might involve a compact defensive shape, looking to frustrate the Union and hit them on the counter or exploit set pieces, especially given Philadelphia's discipline issues which have seen a high average of yellow cards and red cards. The Union's struggles to convert chances despite decent shot volumes could play into DC's hands if they can remain organised.

Team statistics

USA Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

DC United

Matches played

1 - 0 - 6

Results

2 - 1 - 4

14.3%

Win %

28.6%

0.9

Goals scored

0.6

1.7

Goals conceded

1.3

3.7

Shots on target

2.7

6.6

Shots off target

4.4

3.7

Blocked shots

3.1

49.4

Ball possession

41.3

75.3

Pass accuracy

Fouls

14.1

2.7

Goalkeeper saves

3.4

2.7

Yellow cards

1.4

0.3

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Philadelphia Union have lost all 3 home games this season, conceding 1.7 goals per game.
• DC United have a balanced away record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, conceding less than a goal per game on average.
• Despite a high loss rate, Philadelphia Union are favoured by the odds at home, hinting at potential value.

AI Prediction

Philadelphia Union's overall win rate is dire, but the odds favour them at home, suggesting the market believes they can turn it around. Their home record is abysmal, yet DC United's recent away form, while not spectacular, has shown some resilience defensively. However, DC's recent offensive struggles, coupled with Philadelphia's desperation for a home win, might just see the hosts edge it. The odds for both teams to score are appealing given Philadelphia's underlying defensive frailty and DC's slightly improved away scoring record.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

65%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

50%

O/U

70%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Major League Soccer H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
2/22/2026	Philadelphia Union	L 0 - 1 W	DC United HOME	U	N
9/27/2025	Philadelphia Union	W 6 - 0 L	DC United HOME	O	N
4/26/2025	HOME Philadelphia Union	W 3 - 0 L	DC United	O	N
9/22/2024	HOME Philadelphia Union	W 4 - 0 L	DC United	O	N
5/4/2024	Philadelphia Union	D 2 - 2 D	DC United HOME	O	Y
8/26/2023	Philadelphia Union	W 3 - 1 L	DC United HOME	O	Y
5/17/2023	HOME Philadelphia Union	D 0 - 0 D	DC United	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Philadelphia Union

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	CF Montreal	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Charlotte	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Chicago Fire	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Atlanta United FC	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	San Jose Earthquakes	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	New York City FC	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	DC United	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y

Philadelphia Union's season has been a stark disappointment, marked by a staggering 85.7% loss rate overall. Their home form is even more concerning, having lost all three games played at home, conceding heavily in the process. While they average nearly 14 shots per game overall, their scoring output remains low at 0.9 per match, and this has been particularly dire at home with just 0.7 goals scored. The last outing, a home defeat, saw them concede twice and score only once, reinforcing the narrative of struggle in front of their own fans.

DC United

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	New England Revolution	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	FC Dallas	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
AWAY	Atlanta United FC	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Chicago Fire	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
HOME	Inter Miami	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Austin	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Philadelphia Union	1 - 0	W	U	N	N

DC United present a more mixed, yet slightly more encouraging, picture. Their overall record shows more draws and wins than their hosts, though they still lose over half their games. Away from home, their record is a balanced one win, one draw, and two losses, with a surprisingly solid defensive record of 0.8 goals conceded per game. Their recent form has seen them struggle to score, with three games yielding no goals, but their last outing was a positive 2-1 away victory. This suggests they can find results on the road, even if consistency is an issue.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.83

DRAW

3.6

AWAY

4.33

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.08

UNDER

1.73

BTTS

YES

1.95

1.8

Lineups