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Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union: Home Attack Meets Away Struggles in MLS
Orlando City SC host Philadelphia Union in a Major League Soccer clash that pits a potent home attack against a Philadelphia side struggling for wins on the road. Recent form suggests a lively encounter, but Philadelphia's overall defensive frailties away from home could be their undoing.
This fixture looks set to be a battle between Orlando City's attacking intent at home and Philadelphia's defensive vulnerabilities on the road. Orlando's recent home surge, marked by increased shot volume and attacking efficiency, will likely see them push to set the rhythm of the game. Philadelphia's struggles in possession and their tendency to concede on the road suggest they may adopt a more reactive approach, potentially looking for quick transitions. However, Orlando's historically weak defense, conceding 1.8 goals at home this season, means Philadelphia could find opportunities, even if their overall away threat is limited.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Orlando City SC average 1.8 goals scored per home game this season.
- • Philadelphia Union have lost 71.4% of their away league matches.
- • Both teams have conceded an average of over 1.5 goals per game overall.
AI Prediction
Orlando City's strong recent home form, highlighted by a significant scoring increase and a dominant last home performance, contrasts sharply with Philadelphia Union's poor away record and defensive struggles. While Philadelphia have shown flashes of scoring ability, their overall defensive vulnerability on the road makes them susceptible. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the statistical narrative of Orlando's home advantage.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U43%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U43%BTTS50%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U47%BTTS37%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x227%O/U43%BTTS47%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U53%BTTS53%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U57%BTTS50%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U50%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
Orlando City SC Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | CF Montreal | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Inter Miami | 4 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | DC United | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Charlotte | 4 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Columbus Crew | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Los Angeles FC | 0 - 6 | |||||
AWAY | Nashville SC | 0 - 5 | |||||
HOME | CF Montreal | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | New York City FC | 0 - 5 |
Orlando City SC have endured a difficult overall season, marked by a high number of losses and a porous defense conceding nearly three goals per game on average. However, their home form presents a stark contrast. In their last five home matches, they've averaged 1.8 goals scored while conceding an equal amount, securing two wins. Their most recent home outing was a dominant 4-1 victory, showcasing an offensive surge with six shots on target from 11 attempts. This suggests Orlando can be a different proposition when playing on familiar turf, particularly in the final third.
Philadelphia Union Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | New England Revolution | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Nashville SC | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Columbus Crew | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Toronto FC | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | DC United | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | CF Montreal | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Charlotte | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Chicago Fire | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 - 1 |
Philadelphia Union present a picture of a team struggling for consistency, particularly in their away form. Their overall season record is poor, with a high win rate and a significant number of defeats. Away from home, they concede two goals per game and have only managed one victory in seven attempts. While their recent overall form has seen them fail to win any of their last three, they did manage to score in two of those matches. However, their last away game resulted in a 2-0 defeat, where they registered just two shots on target from 11 attempts and struggled with possession.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.