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Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution: MLS Showdown with Contrasting Fortunes
This Major League Soccer fixture pits Orlando City SC against New England Revolution, with the home side looking to leverage their home advantage against a New England team that has shown flashes of brilliance but struggled for consistency on the road. Expect a contest where offensive intent may outweigh defensive solidity, especially given recent trends.
This match presents an interesting tactical clash. Orlando City, often enjoying more possession at home, will likely look to build their attacks patiently, probing for openings. New England's recent away surge, marked by high shot volumes and goal returns, suggests they are prepared to play a more transitional game, looking to exploit spaces. Given Orlando's tendency to concede and New England's recent attacking prowess, the visitors might adopt a strategy of quick counter-attacks, aiming to punish Orlando's defensive gaps. Orlando will need to tighten up their backline, which has been leaky, especially considering New England's recent spree of finding the net.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Orlando City SC concedes an average of 2.6 goals per game overall this season.
- • New England Revolution have won 72.7% of their home games but only 30% of their away fixtures.
- • Both teams have recently scored 3 goals in their last respective matches.
AI Prediction
While New England have a stronger overall record, Orlando's home advantage and their own recent attacking uptick, combined with New England's susceptibility on the road, make the home side slight favourites. Both teams have shown they can score recently, and their defensive records, particularly Orlando's season-long struggles and New England's recent concession pattern, point towards a game with multiple goals. The odds also favour a high-scoring affair and both teams to score, aligning with the statistical outlook.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U63%BTTS57%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek75% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U53%BTTS33%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Orlando City SC Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Minnesota United FC | 3 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Real Salt Lake | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Chicago Fire | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | FC Cincinnati | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | New York Red Bulls | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | FC Cincinnati | 2 - 6 | - | ||||
HOME | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Philadelphia Union | 4 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | CF Montreal | 0 - 2 | - |
Orlando City SC's season-long statistics paint a picture of a team that scores freely but also concedes a significant number of goals, averaging 1.7 scored and 2.6 conceded per game across all matches. Their home record reflects this dichotomy, with a 40% win rate but also conceding 1.7 goals per home outing. Recent form shows a slight improvement in scoring, netting 2 goals in their last three, with a notable 3-3 draw in their most recent outing. However, the last fixture also saw them ship 3 goals, indicating defensive frailties persist.
New England Revolution Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Columbus Crew | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | New York City FC | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | DC United | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Toronto FC | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | CF Montreal | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Atlanta United FC | 4 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Charlotte | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Nashville SC | 0 - 3 | - |
New England Revolution, by contrast, have a more balanced overall record, winning more than half their games with a solid defensive structure that concedes just 1.3 goals per match. Their home form is particularly impressive, boasting a 72.7% win rate. However, their away form tells a different story, with a 50% loss rate and conceding 1.6 goals per game. Recent form has been explosive, with two wins and a draw in their last three, scoring an impressive 2.3 goals per game and netting 3 in their last outing, though they also conceded 1. This suggests a team capable of potent attacking displays but potentially vulnerable at the back when pushed.
Odds