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Preview
Orlando City SC vs Charlotte: A Tale of Two Defences in MLS
Orlando City SC host Charlotte in a Major League Soccer clash that pits a statistically porous defence against a more resilient one. While Orlando's home form shows signs of life, their overall defensive record is alarming, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.
This fixture is poised to be a fascinating battle of contrasting defensive strategies. Orlando City SC's high concession rate suggests a team that struggles to maintain shape and discipline, potentially inviting pressure. Charlotte FC, on the other hand, will likely look to exploit any defensive frailties, aiming to play on the transition. Given Orlando's possession numbers often hover around the 40-45% mark, they may struggle to impose their game, especially when playing at home. Charlotte's ability to be clinical when chances arise could be the deciding factor, particularly if Orlando's backline remains as fragile as the statistics suggest.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Orlando City SC have conceded an average of 3.1 goals per game this season.
- • Charlotte FC have won 50% of their overall matches, compared to Orlando's 12.5%.
- • Charlotte's recent away form shows they can grind out results, securing a draw in their last away outing.
AI Prediction
Charlotte's superior defensive record and more consistent form make them the slight favourites, despite Orlando's home advantage. Orlando's defensive frailties are too significant to ignore, and Charlotte's attacking prowess should see them capitalize. The odds reflect a close contest, but Charlotte's overall solidity gives them the edge.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U47%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U57%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U60%BTTS67%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U60%BTTS63%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U57%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U57%BTTS67%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U60%BTTS63%- llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U67%BTTS57%
- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U53%BTTS73%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai65% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U40%BTTS43%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai81% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS67%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U57%BTTS60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai75% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U53%BTTS67%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U67%BTTS73%
mimo-v2-flash (id)by xiaomi78% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U57%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Orlando City SC Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Columbus Crew | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Los Angeles FC | 0 - 6 | |||||
AWAY | Nashville SC | 0 - 5 | |||||
HOME | CF Montreal | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | New York City FC | 0 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Inter Miami | 2 - 4 | |||||
HOME | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 2 |
Orlando City SC have endured a torrid start to the season, with their overall record marred by a staggering 75% loss rate. Their defence, in particular, has been a major concern, conceding an average of 3.1 goals per game across all competitions. While their home form shows a slight improvement, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2 conceded, they still struggle to secure points, having lost three of their four home fixtures. Recent performances haven't offered much respite, with just one win in their last three outings, and a concerning zero goals scored in their last match.
Charlotte Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | New York City FC | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Nashville SC | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | New York Red Bulls | 6 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Inter Miami | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Austin | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 |
Charlotte FC present a much more balanced picture. They boast a solid 50% win rate overall and have a respectable defensive record, conceding 1.3 goals per game. Their home form is particularly strong, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only conceding one per match. However, their away form is less convincing, with a 33.3% win rate and conceding 1.7 goals on average. Despite this, their recent form is encouraging, with two wins in their last three games, and they managed a draw in their most recent away fixture, showing resilience on the road.
Odds
Orlando City SC
(5-3-2)
Charlotte
(4-2-3-1)