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New England Revolution vs Toronto FC: Revs Aim to Extend Dominant Home Run
New England Revolution host Toronto FC in a Major League Soccer clash. The Revolution have been formidable at home this season, contrasting sharply with Toronto's struggles on the road. This fixture pits a strong home side against an away team desperate for points.
New England's home dominance is built on a potent attack that fires over 11 shots per game, with a high proportion on target. They tend to dominate possession at home and will likely look to set a high tempo, using their attacking width to stretch Toronto's defence. Toronto, on the other hand, has shown some resilience in recent away games with a more balanced possession and a slightly improved defensive record in their last three away outings. However, their overall offensive output remains low, suggesting they may adopt a more cautious approach, aiming to frustrate the hosts and catch them on a transition, though their recent defensive record at home to the Revs has been poor.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • New England Revolution boast an 87.5% win rate at home this season.
- • Toronto FC have only won 16.7% of their away games this season.
- • The odds favour a home win, with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals also seen as likely outcomes.
AI Prediction
New England's overwhelming home form, coupled with their superior scoring average and Toronto's poor away record, makes the hosts the clear favourite. Although Toronto's last match was a draw, their overall statistics and recent performance indicate a tough outing. The odds also reflect this, with the home win being the most likely outcome, and the data suggests both teams could find the net in a relatively open contest.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x263%O/U40%BTTS43%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x263%O/U57%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U63%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
New England Revolution Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Charlotte | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Nashville SC | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Charlotte | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Inter Miami | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atlanta United FC | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Columbus Crew | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | DC United | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | CF Montreal | 3 - 0 |
New England Revolution have established a fortress at home this season, boasting an impressive seven wins from eight games. Their attacking output is significantly higher on home soil, averaging over two goals per game while conceding less than one. Overall, they've secured a commendable 57% win rate across the campaign, demonstrating a consistent ability to get results. However, recent form shows a dip, with two losses in their last three matches, suggesting a slight vulnerability that Toronto might seek to exploit.
Toronto FC Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | CF Montreal | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Chicago Fire | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Charlotte | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Inter Miami | 2 - 4 | |||||
HOME | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Philadelphia Union | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Austin | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | FC Cincinnati | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Colorado Rapids | 3 - 2 |
Toronto FC are enduring a difficult spell, particularly away from home where they've managed only a single victory in six attempts. Their overall season record reflects these struggles, with a 40% loss rate and a negative goal difference. Recent form mirrors this trend, with no wins in their last three games and a concerning lack of goals, scoring just seven in their last fifteen outings. Despite this, they managed a draw in their last fixture, hinting at a potential to grind out results, even if scoring remains a challenge.
